Karen Khachanov vs Luciano Darderi
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Karen Khachanov
Karen …: 67,3% Luciano …: 32,7%
¿Por qué Karen Khachanov?
UTR 15,58 vs 15,11 (+0,47) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karen … Luciano … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,20 73,5%
Gamdom 1,23 4,60 81,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,49 3,06 67,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Karen …: -2,9% Luciano …: +2,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karen Khachanov
Ranking #18
UTR Rating 15,58 Pro
UTR Ranking #21
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 15/30 = 50,0%
Luciano Darderi
Ranking #25
UTR Rating 15,11 Pro
UTR Ranking #80
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 6/20 = 30,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 7,0000
rank_ratio 1,3889
log_rank_ratio 0,3285
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 721,0000
best_rank_diff 16,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,8889
surface_matches_ratio 1,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 30,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 33,3333
p1_surface_matches 30,0000
p2_surface_matches 20,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6667
combined_confidence 0,8333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,7578
first_serve_won_diff 4,8550
second_serve_won_diff -0,0100
bp_saved_diff 9,9050
bp_converted_diff -9,1300
aces_per_match_diff 0,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -11,8000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2081
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7658
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,5000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3000
serve_consistency_p1 6,0305
serve_consistency_p2 7,9679
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 6,5701
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0070
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1930
elite_surface_amplifier 20,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4700
utr_p1 0,8918
utr_p2 0,8365
utr_advantage 3,0629
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23892
API ID 15345283
Gamdom ID 589718
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23892,
    "api_id": 15345283,
    "gamdom_id": 589718,
    "player1": "Karen Khachanov",
    "player2": "Luciano Darderi",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-23T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.23,
      "p2": 4.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.21,
      "p2": 4.27
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6731,
    "prob_p2": 0.3269,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6731,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 18,
      "utr_singles": 15.58,
      "utr_ranking": 21,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 25,
      "utr_singles": 15.11,
      "utr_ranking": 80,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 30.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.58,
      "ranking": 21,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.11,
      "ranking": 80,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8917647058823529,
    "utr_p2": 0.8364705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.47000000000000064,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3888888888888888,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 721,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 9.905000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 30.0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.06288693385468,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 16,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.32850406697203605,
    "rank_advantage": 7,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.5,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.3,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 20.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -9.129999999999995,
    "p1_surface_matches": 30,
    "p2_surface_matches": 20,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.7578333333333234,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.2081218274111676,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7657657657657657,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 4.855000000000004,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.030499871866853,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.967851786501763,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 6.570081339440721,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 33.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.010000000000012221,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -11.799999999999997,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 20.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.007000000000000006,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.193,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.888888888888891,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}