Jessica Pegula vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 03:30
24 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jessica Pegula
Jessica …: 71,6%
Oksana …: 28,4%
¿Por qué Jessica Pegula?
UTR 12,75 vs 12,02
(+0,73)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Jessica … | Oksana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,11 | 6,50 | 90,1% |
| Gamdom | 1,07 | 11,00 | 93,5% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,40 | 3,52 | 71,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Jessica …: -13,8%
Oksana …: +13,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking
#6
UTR Rating
12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
34/49 = 69,4%
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ranking
#101
UTR Rating
12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#100
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
9/13 = 69,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 95,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 16,8333 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,8234 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 4,0000 | |
| points_diff | 4684,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 93,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,1570 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,3711 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,7692 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,3878 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 69,2308 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67,9245 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64,7059 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 49,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 13,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3878 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4733 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7367 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,5667 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,9143 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0143 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 8,2286 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,0143 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1931 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,2132 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,3778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3571 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,8393 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,8445 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,4432 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0989 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2873 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,6279 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4729 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,8942 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23893
API ID
15345442
Gamdom ID
589814
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23893,
"api_id": 15345442,
"gamdom_id": 589814,
"player1": "Jessica Pegula",
"player2": "Oksana Selekhmeteva",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-23T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.11,
"p2": 6.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.07,
"p2": 11.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.06,
"p2": 9.51
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7163,
"prob_p2": 0.2837,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7163,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 6,
"utr_singles": 12.75,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.38775510204081,
"wr_surface_wins": 34,
"wr_surface_total": 49,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 101,
"utr_singles": 12.02,
"utr_ranking": 100,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 13,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 100,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4729411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.7300000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 16.833333333333332,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 80.0,
"points_diff": 4684,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 8.228571428571435,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.38775510204081,
"surface_wr_p2": 69.23076923076923,
"utr_advantage": 5.89422688736375,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 93,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.8233610476132043,
"rank_advantage": 95,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0.15698587127158703,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.014285714285727,
"p1_surface_matches": 49,
"p2_surface_matches": 13,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.566671899529041,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.213235294117647,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.37777777777777777,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.1930926216640505,
"combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 4,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.914285714285711,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3877551020408163,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.839337645928856,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.844488970870507,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.44322779397381956,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.9245283018868,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.70588235294117,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.014285714285712459,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.769230769230769,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.6279434850863481,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09887755102040818,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.28730769230769226,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.371069182389941,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}