Jessica Pegula vs Oksana Selekhmeteva
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jessica Pegula
Jessica …: 71,6% Oksana …: 28,4%
¿Por qué Jessica Pegula?
UTR 12,75 vs 12,02 (+0,73) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jessica … Oksana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,11 6,50 90,1%
Gamdom 1,07 11,00 93,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,40 3,52 71,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Jessica …: -13,8% Oksana …: +13,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jessica Pegula
Ranking #6
UTR Rating 12,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 34/49 = 69,4%
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Ranking #101
UTR Rating 12,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #100
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 9/13 = 69,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 95,0000
rank_ratio 16,8333
log_rank_ratio 2,8234
rank_tier_advantage 4,0000
points_diff 4684,0000
best_rank_diff 93,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,1570
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,3711
surface_matches_ratio 3,7692
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,3878
surface_wr_p2 69,2308
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,9245
surface_wr_p2_stable 64,7059
p1_surface_matches 49,0000
p2_surface_matches 13,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3878
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,4733
combined_confidence 0,7367
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,5667
first_serve_won_diff 1,9143
second_serve_won_diff -0,0143
bp_saved_diff 8,2286
bp_converted_diff 4,0143
aces_per_match_diff -0,1931
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,2132
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,3778
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3571
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 10,8393
serve_consistency_p2 6,8445
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,4432
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0989
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2873
elite_surface_amplifier 0,6279
UTR
utr_diff 0,7300
utr_p1 0,5588
utr_p2 0,4729
utr_advantage 5,8942
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23893
API ID 15345442
Gamdom ID 589814
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23893,
    "api_id": 15345442,
    "gamdom_id": 589814,
    "player1": "Jessica Pegula",
    "player2": "Oksana Selekhmeteva",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-23T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.11,
      "p2": 6.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.07,
      "p2": 11.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.06,
      "p2": 9.51
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7163,
    "prob_p2": 0.2837,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7163,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 6,
      "utr_singles": 12.75,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.38775510204081,
      "wr_surface_wins": 34,
      "wr_surface_total": 49,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 101,
      "utr_singles": 12.02,
      "utr_ranking": 100,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.23076923076923,
      "wr_surface_wins": 9,
      "wr_surface_total": 13,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.75,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.02,
      "ranking": 100,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5588235294117647,
    "utr_p2": 0.4729411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.7300000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 16.833333333333332,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 4684,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 8.228571428571435,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.47333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.38775510204081,
    "surface_wr_p2": 69.23076923076923,
    "utr_advantage": 5.89422688736375,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 93,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.8233610476132043,
    "rank_advantage": 95,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.35714285714285715,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0.15698587127158703,
    "bp_converted_diff": 4.014285714285727,
    "p1_surface_matches": 49,
    "p2_surface_matches": 13,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.566671899529041,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.213235294117647,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.37777777777777777,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.1930926216640505,
    "combined_confidence": 0.7366666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 4,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.914285714285711,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3877551020408163,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.839337645928856,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.844488970870507,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.44322779397381956,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.9245283018868,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 64.70588235294117,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.014285714285712459,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 3.769230769230769,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.6279434850863481,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.09887755102040818,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.28730769230769226,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.371069182389941,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}