Karolína Plíšková vs Madison Keys
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 03:30
24 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Madison Keys
Karolína …: 9,9%
Madison …: 90,1%
¿Por qué Madison Keys?
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Karolína … | Madison … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 4,00 | 1,25 | 25,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 10,09 | 1,11 | 9,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Karolína …: -13,9%
Madison …: +13,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karolína Plíšková
Ranking
#-
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Madison Keys
Ranking
#9
UTR Rating
12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking
#25
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -491,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0180 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -4,0174 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -5,0000 | |
| points_diff | -4111,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -495,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,4444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 72,2222 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -59,2500 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -66,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -55,1250 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -56,3375 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -44,8438 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,6563 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 72,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -6,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -12,4500 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7788 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,0876 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,6954 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 301,3038 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0090 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2410 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5294 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5294 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23894
API ID
15345424
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23894,
"api_id": 15345424,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Karol\u00edna Pl\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1",
"player2": "Madison Keys",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-23T23:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 5.46,
"p2": 1.15
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.0991,
"prob_p2": 0.9009,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.9009,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": null,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 9,
"utr_singles": 12.5,
"utr_ranking": 25,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 24,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": null
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.5,
"ranking": 25,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5294117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.018,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 72.0,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -4111,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -56.3375,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 5,
"momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -495,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -4.017383521085972,
"rank_advantage": -491,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -75.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -44.84375,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 32,
"serve_quality_diff": -59.25,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.778816199376947,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.65625,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -5,
"first_serve_won_diff": -66.8,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.087571998940928,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.695404752347657,
"surface_rank_synergy": 301.3037640814479,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.22222222222221,
"second_serve_won_diff": -55.125,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -12.450000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.009000000000000008,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.241,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.44444444444444,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
},
"feature_importance": {}
}