Karolína Plíšková vs Madison Keys
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 03:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Madison Keys
Karolína …: 9,9% Madison …: 90,1%
¿Por qué Madison Keys?
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Karolína … Madison … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 4,00 1,25 25,0%
IA Fair Odds 10,09 1,11 9,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Karolína …: -13,9% Madison …: +13,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Karolína Plíšková
Ranking #-
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Madison Keys
Ranking #9
UTR Rating 12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #25
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 24/32 = 75,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -491,0000
rank_ratio 0,0180
log_rank_ratio -4,0174
rank_tier_advantage -5,0000
points_diff -4111,0000
best_rank_diff -495,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -75,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,4444
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 75,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 72,2222
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 32,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -59,2500
first_serve_won_diff -66,8000
second_serve_won_diff -55,1250
bp_saved_diff -56,3375
bp_converted_diff -44,8438
aces_per_match_diff -4,6563
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff -6,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -12,4500
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7788
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 4,0876
serve_consistency_p2 5,6954
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 301,3038
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0090
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2410
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,5294
utr_p2 0,5294
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23894
API ID 15345424
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23894,
    "api_id": 15345424,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Karol\u00edna Pl\u00ed\u0161kov\u00e1",
    "player2": "Madison Keys",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-23T23:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.46,
      "p2": 1.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.0991,
    "prob_p2": 0.9009,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.9009,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 9,
      "utr_singles": 12.5,
      "utr_ranking": 25,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 75.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.5,
      "ranking": 25,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.018,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -4111,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -56.3375,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -5.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 75.0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -495,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -4.017383521085972,
    "rank_advantage": -491,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -75.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -44.84375,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 32,
    "serve_quality_diff": -59.25,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.778816199376947,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.65625,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -5,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -66.8,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.087571998940928,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.695404752347657,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 301.3037640814479,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 72.22222222222221,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -55.125,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -12.450000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.009000000000000008,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.241,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.44444444444444,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
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  "feature_importance": {}
}