Jakub Mensik vs Ethan Quinn
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 13:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jakub Mensik
Jakub …: 67,9% Ethan …: 32,1%
¿Por qué Jakub Mensik?
UTR 15,40 vs 14,94 (+0,46) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jakub … Ethan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,50 2,63 66,7%
Gamdom 1,47 2,85 68,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,47 3,12 67,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Jakub …: +4,2% Ethan …: -4,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jakub Mensik
Ranking #17
UTR Rating 15,40 Pro
UTR Ranking #37
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 20/32 = 62,5%
Ethan Quinn
Ranking #80
UTR Rating 14,94 Pro
UTR Ranking #93
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 26/44 = 59,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 63,0000
rank_ratio 4,7059
log_rank_ratio 1,5488
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 1612,0000
best_rank_diff 48,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 3,4091
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,7778
surface_matches_ratio 0,7273
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 62,5000
surface_wr_p2 59,0909
surface_wr_p1_stable 61,1111
surface_wr_p2_stable 58,3333
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 44,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2500
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 17,5947
first_serve_won_diff 6,8170
second_serve_won_diff -0,6295
bp_saved_diff 6,1477
bp_converted_diff -8,1227
aces_per_match_diff 7,1875
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,4000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 72,0000
momentum_diff 28,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 5,4140
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,1710
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9189
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6190
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,3846
serve_consistency_p1 7,6661
serve_consistency_p2 6,0268
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 5,2800
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0620
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1539
elite_surface_amplifier 6,8182
UTR
utr_diff 0,4600
utr_p1 0,8706
utr_p2 0,8165
utr_advantage 3,0323
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23895
API ID 15345280
Gamdom ID 589742
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23895,
    "api_id": 15345280,
    "gamdom_id": 589742,
    "player1": "Jakub Mensik",
    "player2": "Ethan Quinn",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-24T09:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.63
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.75
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6793,
    "prob_p2": 0.3207,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6793,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 17,
      "utr_singles": 15.4,
      "utr_ranking": 37,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.5,
      "wr_surface_wins": 20,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 80,
      "utr_singles": 14.94,
      "utr_ranking": 93,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 59.09090909090909,
      "wr_surface_wins": 26,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.4,
      "ranking": 37,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.94,
      "ranking": 93,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8705882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.8164705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.46000000000000085,
    "rank_ratio": 4.705882352941177,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 72.0,
    "points_diff": 1612,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 6.147727272727266,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 27.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 62.5,
    "surface_wr_p2": 59.09090909090909,
    "utr_advantage": 3.032300593276209,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 48,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.5488132906176655,
    "rank_advantage": 63,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6190476190476191,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.38461538461538464,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 3.4090909090909065,
    "bp_converted_diff": -8.122727272727278,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 44,
    "serve_quality_diff": 17.59465909090909,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1709844559585492,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.918918918918919,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 7.1875,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 6.81704545454545,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.25,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.666112648806906,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.02676757274188,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 5.280045308923856,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 61.111111111111114,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 58.333333333333336,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.6295454545454504,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7272727272727273,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 5.413999999999987,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 6.818181818181813,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.062000000000000055,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.15390909090909088,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.7777777777777786,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}