Linda Noskova vs Xinyu Wang
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 07:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Linda Noskova
Linda …: 66,5% Xinyu …: 33,5%
¿Por qué Linda Noskova?
UTR 12,56 vs 12,25 (+0,31) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Linda … Xinyu … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,36 3,20 73,5%
Gamdom 1,47 2,85 68,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,50 2,98 66,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Linda …: -3,7% Xinyu …: +3,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Linda Noskova
Ranking #13
UTR Rating 12,56 Pro
UTR Ranking #19
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Xinyu Wang
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 12/27 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 33,0000
rank_ratio 3,5385
log_rank_ratio 1,2637
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 1444,0000
best_rank_diff 20,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 16,9192
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,4926
surface_matches_ratio 1,6296
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,3636
surface_wr_p2 44,4444
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,4167
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,1613
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2273
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 10,8723
first_serve_won_diff 5,8222
second_serve_won_diff 8,8886
bp_saved_diff -1,8980
bp_converted_diff -1,0754
aces_per_match_diff 2,6473
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,9800
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 6,0000
match_load_diff -4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 1,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9725
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7416
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2500
serve_consistency_p1 6,5701
serve_consistency_p2 8,4484
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 21,3806
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0806
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0226
elite_surface_amplifier 16,9192
UTR
utr_diff 0,3100
utr_p1 0,5365
utr_p2 0,5000
utr_advantage 2,4990
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23898
API ID 15345428
Gamdom ID 589798
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23898,
    "api_id": 15345428,
    "gamdom_id": 589798,
    "player1": "Linda Noskova",
    "player2": "Xinyu Wang",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-24T03:25:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3599999999999999,
      "p2": 3.2
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.71
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6648,
    "prob_p2": 0.3352,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6648,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 13,
      "utr_singles": 12.56,
      "utr_ranking": 19,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 19,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5,
    "utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
    "rank_ratio": 3.5384615384615383,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 1444,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.8979797979797866,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 6,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
    "surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
    "utr_advantage": 2.498992341797666,
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    "best_rank_diff": 20,
    "h2h_on_surface": 1,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2636920390275583,
    "rank_advantage": 33,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": -4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 16.919191919191924,
    "bp_converted_diff": -1.0754208754208676,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
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    "serve_quality_diff": 10.872289562289545,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9724770642201835,
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    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.6473063973063975,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 5.822222222222209,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.570109049623499,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.448430185544813,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 21.38064813506223,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.16129032258064,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 8.888552188552183,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6296296296296295,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08063636363636373,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.022555555555555662,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.492607526881722,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}