Linda Noskova vs Xinyu Wang
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 07:25
24 Ene 2026, 07:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Linda Noskova
Linda …: 66,5%
Xinyu …: 33,5%
¿Por qué Linda Noskova?
UTR 12,56 vs 12,25
(+0,31)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Linda … | Xinyu … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,36 | 3,20 | 73,5% |
| Gamdom | 1,47 | 2,85 | 68,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,50 | 2,98 | 66,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Linda …: -3,7%
Xinyu …: +3,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Linda Noskova
Ranking
#13
UTR Rating
12,56 Pro
UTR Ranking
#19
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Xinyu Wang
Ranking
#46
UTR Rating
12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking
#54
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
12/27 = 44,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 33,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,5385 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2637 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 1444,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 20,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 16,9192 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,4926 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6296 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,4167 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,1613 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2273 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 10,8723 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5,8222 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,8886 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,8980 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,0754 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,6473 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,9800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -4,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9725 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7416 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,2500 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,5701 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,4484 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 21,3806 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0806 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0226 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 16,9192 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,3100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,4990 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23898
API ID
15345428
Gamdom ID
589798
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23898,
"api_id": 15345428,
"gamdom_id": 589798,
"player1": "Linda Noskova",
"player2": "Xinyu Wang",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-24T03:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3599999999999999,
"p2": 3.2
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.45,
"p2": 2.71
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6648,
"prob_p2": 0.3352,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6648,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 13,
"utr_singles": 12.56,
"utr_ranking": 19,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 46,
"utr_singles": 12.25,
"utr_ranking": 54,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 19,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 54,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_diff": 0.3100000000000005,
"rank_ratio": 3.5384615384615383,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 1444,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.8979797979797866,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
"surface_wr_p2": 44.44444444444444,
"utr_advantage": 2.498992341797666,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 20,
"h2h_on_surface": 1,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2636920390275583,
"rank_advantage": 33,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.25,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": -4,
"surface_wr_diff": 16.919191919191924,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.0754208754208676,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": 10.872289562289545,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.9724770642201835,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7415730337078652,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.6473063973063975,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 5.822222222222209,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.570109049623499,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.448430185544813,
"surface_rank_synergy": 21.38064813506223,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.16129032258064,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.888552188552183,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6296296296296295,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.980000000000004,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 16.919191919191924,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.08063636363636373,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.022555555555555662,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.492607526881722,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}