Peyton Stearns vs Amanda Anisimova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Peyton …: 12,9% Amanda …: 87,1%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,07 vs 12,84 (-0,77) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Peyton … Amanda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 5,00 1,17 20,0%
Gamdom 5,60 1,17 17,9%
IA Fair Odds 7,75 1,15 12,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Peyton …: -6,1% Amanda …: +6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Peyton Stearns
Ranking #68
UTR Rating 12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking #76
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 10/25 = 40,0%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking #4
UTR Rating 12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -64,0000
rank_ratio 0,0588
log_rank_ratio -2,8332
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -5333,0000
best_rank_diff -25,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -32,9730
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -26,9064
surface_matches_ratio 0,6757
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 40,0000
surface_wr_p2 72,9730
surface_wr_p1_stable 41,3793
surface_wr_p2_stable 70,7317
p1_surface_matches 25,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8333
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,4264
first_serve_won_diff -3,2408
second_serve_won_diff -6,9823
bp_saved_diff -1,0334
bp_converted_diff 8,3982
aces_per_match_diff -0,3557
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 78,0000
momentum_p2 78,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,0600
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8148
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9504
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4444
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 10,2440
serve_consistency_p2 6,3095
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 93,4195
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0360
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1657
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,7700
utr_p1 0,4788
utr_p2 0,5694
utr_advantage -6,1823
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23899
API ID 15345434
Gamdom ID 589792
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23899,
    "api_id": 15345434,
    "gamdom_id": 589792,
    "player1": "Peyton Stearns",
    "player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-24T01:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 5.0,
      "p2": 1.17
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.6,
      "p2": 1.17
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.22,
      "p2": 1.16
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.129,
    "prob_p2": 0.871,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.871,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 68,
      "utr_singles": 12.07,
      "utr_ranking": 76,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 10,
      "wr_surface_total": 25,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 4,
      "utr_singles": 12.84,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": 12.07,
      "ranking": 76,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.84,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5694117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -0.7699999999999996,
    "rank_ratio": 0.058823529411764705,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -5333,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -1.0334054054054107,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 1,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
    "utr_advantage": -6.182256122039338,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -25,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.833213344056216,
    "rank_advantage": -64,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -32.97297297297297,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.398162162162158,
    "p1_surface_matches": 25,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.426410810810808,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8148148148148148,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.35567567567567604,
    "combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -3.2407567567567597,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.24404150030684,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.309494724853113,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 93.41946702023198,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.37931034482759,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.98227027027027,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.6756756756756757,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.060000000000002274,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03600000000000003,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16572972972972977,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -26.90636389122512,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}