Peyton Stearns vs Amanda Anisimova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 05:10
24 Ene 2026, 05:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Peyton …: 12,9%
Amanda …: 87,1%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,07 vs 12,84
(-0,77)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Peyton … | Amanda … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 5,00 | 1,17 | 20,0% |
| Gamdom | 5,60 | 1,17 | 17,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,75 | 1,15 | 12,9% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Peyton …: -6,1%
Amanda …: +6,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Peyton Stearns
Ranking
#68
UTR Rating
12,07 Pro
UTR Ranking
#76
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
10/25 = 40,0%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking
#4
UTR Rating
12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#4
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -64,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0588 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -2,8332 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -5333,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -25,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -32,9730 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -26,9064 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,6757 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -2,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 72,9730 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 41,3793 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 70,7317 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 37,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,4264 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -3,2408 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,9823 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -1,0334 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,3982 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,3557 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,0600 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,8148 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9504 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4444 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,2440 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,3095 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 93,4195 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0360 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1657 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,7700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4788 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5694 | |
| utr_advantage | -6,1823 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23899
API ID
15345434
Gamdom ID
589792
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23899,
"api_id": 15345434,
"gamdom_id": 589792,
"player1": "Peyton Stearns",
"player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-24T01:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 5.0,
"p2": 1.17
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.6,
"p2": 1.17
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 5.22,
"p2": 1.16
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.129,
"prob_p2": 0.871,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.871,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 68,
"utr_singles": 12.07,
"utr_ranking": 76,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 10,
"wr_surface_total": 25,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 4,
"utr_singles": 12.84,
"utr_ranking": 4,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 37,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 76,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 4,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5694117647058823,
"utr_diff": -0.7699999999999996,
"rank_ratio": 0.058823529411764705,
"h2h_matches": 1,
"momentum_p1": 77.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -5333,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -1.0334054054054107,
"h2h_wins_diff": 1,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 40.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
"utr_advantage": -6.182256122039338,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -25,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -2.833213344056216,
"rank_advantage": -64,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4444444444444444,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -32.97297297297297,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.398162162162158,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 37,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.426410810810808,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.8148148148148148,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.35567567567567604,
"combined_confidence": 0.9166666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -3.2407567567567597,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.24404150030684,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.309494724853113,
"surface_rank_synergy": 93.41946702023198,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 41.37931034482759,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.98227027027027,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.6756756756756757,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.060000000000002274,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.03600000000000003,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.16572972972972977,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -26.90636389122512,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}