Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jannik Sinner
Eliot …: 6,6% Jannik …: 93,4%
¿Por qué Jannik Sinner?
UTR 15,16 vs 16,39 (-1,23) — Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Eliot … Jannik … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 67,00 1,00 1,5%
Gamdom 30,00 3,3%
IA Fair Odds 15,15 1,07 6,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Eliot …: +5,1% Jannik …: -5,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking #85
UTR Rating 15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking #70
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/44 = 61,4%
Jannik Sinner
Ranking #2
UTR Rating 16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking #1
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 100% (10p)
WR Hard 39/42 = 92,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -83,0000
rank_ratio 0,0235
log_rank_ratio -3,7495
rank_tier_advantage -3,0000
points_diff -10775,0000
best_rank_diff -84,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -31,4935
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -28,7138
surface_matches_ratio 1,0476
surface_tournaments_won_diff -4,0000
surface_wr_p1 61,3636
surface_wr_p2 92,8571
surface_wr_p1_stable 60,4167
surface_wr_p2_stable 89,1304
p1_surface_matches 44,0000
p2_surface_matches 42,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2273
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -11,6103
first_serve_won_diff -12,5140
second_serve_won_diff -6,4737
bp_saved_diff -14,8877
bp_converted_diff -7,4321
aces_per_match_diff -1,7056
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 80,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,6700
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 7,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,9677
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0758
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7391
tiebreak_wr_p2 1,0000
serve_consistency_p1 6,8200
serve_consistency_p2 1,7710
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 118,0850
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1966
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,3456
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,2300
utr_p1 0,8424
utr_p2 0,9871
utr_advantage -7,7971
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23909
API ID 15345293
Gamdom ID 589722
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23909,
    "api_id": 15345293,
    "gamdom_id": 589722,
    "player1": "Eliot Spizzirri",
    "player2": "Jannik Sinner",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-24T01:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 67.0,
      "p2": 1.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 30.0,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 37.5,
      "p2": 1.01
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.066,
    "prob_p2": 0.934,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.934,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 85,
      "utr_singles": 15.16,
      "utr_ranking": 70,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 44,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 2,
      "utr_singles": 16.39,
      "utr_ranking": 1,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 92.85714285714286,
      "wr_surface_wins": 39,
      "wr_surface_total": 42,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.16,
      "ranking": 70,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 16.39,
      "ranking": 1,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.8423529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.9870588235294119,
    "utr_diff": -1.2300000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 0.023529411764705882,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 80.0,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -10775,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -14.887662337662348,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 7,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": -19.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
    "surface_wr_p2": 92.85714285714286,
    "utr_advantage": -7.797147385103013,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -84,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -3.7495040759303713,
    "rank_advantage": -83,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": -31.493506493506494,
    "bp_converted_diff": -7.432142857142857,
    "p1_surface_matches": 44,
    "p2_surface_matches": 42,
    "serve_quality_diff": -11.610346320346324,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.967741935483871,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.075801749271137,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.7056277056277054,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -3,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -12.513961038961043,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.819957435802862,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 1.7710151256377478,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 118.08503096274221,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 89.13043478260869,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.4737012987013,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0476190476190477,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.6699999999999875,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1966363636363636,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.34557142857142864,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -28.713768115942024,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}