Eliot Spizzirri vs Jannik Sinner
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 32
24 Ene 2026, 05:20
24 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Jannik Sinner
Eliot …: 6,6%
Jannik …: 93,4%
¿Por qué Jannik Sinner?
UTR 15,16 vs 16,39
(-1,23)
— Ligera ventaja
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Eliot … | Jannik … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 67,00 | 1,00 | 1,5% |
| Gamdom | 30,00 | 3,3% | |
| IA Fair Odds | 15,15 | 1,07 | 6,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Eliot …: +5,1%
Jannik …: -5,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Eliot Spizzirri
Ranking
#85
UTR Rating
15,16 Pro
UTR Ranking
#70
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
27/44 = 61,4%
Jannik Sinner
Ranking
#2
UTR Rating
16,39 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
100% (10p)
WR Hard
39/42 = 92,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -83,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,0235 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -3,7495 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -3,0000 | |
| points_diff | -10775,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -84,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -31,4935 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -28,7138 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0476 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 61,3636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 92,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 60,4167 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 89,1304 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 44,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 42,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2273 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -11,6103 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -12,5140 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -6,4737 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -14,8877 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -7,4321 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7056 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 80,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,6700 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,9677 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,0758 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7391 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,8200 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 1,7710 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 118,0850 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1966 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,3456 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -1,2300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,8424 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,9871 | |
| utr_advantage | -7,7971 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23909
API ID
15345293
Gamdom ID
589722
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23909,
"api_id": 15345293,
"gamdom_id": 589722,
"player1": "Eliot Spizzirri",
"player2": "Jannik Sinner",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-24T01:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 67.0,
"p2": 1.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 30.0,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 37.5,
"p2": 1.01
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.066,
"prob_p2": 0.934,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.934,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 85,
"utr_singles": 15.16,
"utr_ranking": 70,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 61.36363636363637,
"wr_surface_wins": 27,
"wr_surface_total": 44,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 2,
"utr_singles": 16.39,
"utr_ranking": 1,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 92.85714285714286,
"wr_surface_wins": 39,
"wr_surface_total": 42,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 70,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 1,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.9870588235294119,
"utr_diff": -1.2300000000000004,
"rank_ratio": 0.023529411764705882,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 80.0,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -10775,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -14.887662337662348,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.33333333333333337,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 7,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": -19.999999999999986,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 61.36363636363637,
"surface_wr_p2": 92.85714285714286,
"utr_advantage": -7.797147385103013,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -84,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -3.7495040759303713,
"rank_advantage": -83,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7391304347826086,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": -31.493506493506494,
"bp_converted_diff": -7.432142857142857,
"p1_surface_matches": 44,
"p2_surface_matches": 42,
"serve_quality_diff": -11.610346320346324,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.967741935483871,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.075801749271137,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7056277056277054,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -3,
"first_serve_won_diff": -12.513961038961043,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.22727272727272727,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.819957435802862,
"serve_consistency_p2": 1.7710151256377478,
"surface_rank_synergy": 118.08503096274221,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 60.416666666666664,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 89.13043478260869,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.4737012987013,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0476190476190477,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.6699999999999875,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1966363636363636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.34557142857142864,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -28.713768115942024,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -4
},
"feature_importance": {}
}