Coco Gauff vs Karolina Muchova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 16
25 Ene 2026, 09:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 52,8% Karolina …: 47,2%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,57 (+0,20) — Niveles similares
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coco … Karolina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,53 2,50 65,4%
Gamdom 1,48 2,85 67,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,90 2,12 52,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Coco …: -9,3% Karolina …: +9,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 25/36 = 69,4%
Karolina Muchova
Ranking #19
UTR Rating 12,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #18
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 24/37 = 64,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 16,0000
rank_ratio 6,3333
log_rank_ratio 1,8458
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 4340,0000
best_rank_diff 6,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 4,5796
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 4,0854
surface_matches_ratio 0,9730
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,4444
surface_wr_p2 64,8649
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,4146
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3889
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,2965
first_serve_won_diff 2,3203
second_serve_won_diff 3,7529
bp_saved_diff -10,8101
bp_converted_diff 15,1586
aces_per_match_diff -0,4947
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 8,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,0982
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5455
serve_consistency_p1 4,0632
serve_consistency_p2 9,7933
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,4531
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1784
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1646
elite_surface_amplifier 4,5796
UTR
utr_diff 0,2000
utr_p1 0,5612
utr_p2 0,5376
utr_advantage 1,5785
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23927
API ID 15345451
Gamdom ID 589764
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23927,
    "api_id": 15345451,
    "gamdom_id": 589764,
    "player1": "Coco Gauff",
    "player2": "Karolina Muchova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-25T05:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.48,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.46,
      "p2": 2.7
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.5276,
    "prob_p2": 0.4724,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.5276,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 12.77,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 19,
      "utr_singles": 12.57,
      "utr_ranking": 18,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 64.86486486486487,
      "wr_surface_wins": 24,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.57,
      "ranking": 18,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5376470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.1999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 6.333333333333333,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 4340,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -10.810135135135141,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 7.999999999999986,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 64.86486486486487,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5785319652722913,
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    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.8458266904983307,
    "rank_advantage": 16,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5454545454545454,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 4.579579579579573,
    "bp_converted_diff": 15.15855855855856,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.2965240240240163,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.098159509202454,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.49474474474474484,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.3202702702702567,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.06318709908049,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.793320699993465,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.4531102192491,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.41463414634146,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.752927927927928,
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    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
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    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1784444444444444,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.1646486486486487,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 4.085365853658537,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}