Yulia Putintseva vs Iva Jovic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 16
25 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Yulia …: 23,0% Iva …: 77,0%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,41 (-0,41) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yulia … Iva … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,50 1,30 28,6%
Gamdom 4,00 1,28 25,0%
IA Fair Odds 4,34 1,30 23,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Yulia …: -4,0% Iva …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking #94
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #104
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 15/32 = 46,9%
Iva Jovic
Ranking #27
UTR Rating 12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking #39
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 12/19 = 63,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -67,0000
rank_ratio 0,2872
log_rank_ratio -1,2475
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -872,0000
best_rank_diff 7,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -16,2829
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -11,1453
surface_matches_ratio 1,6842
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 46,8750
surface_wr_p2 63,1579
surface_wr_p1_stable 47,2222
surface_wr_p2_stable 60,8696
p1_surface_matches 32,0000
p2_surface_matches 19,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0625
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,6333
combined_confidence 0,8167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -2,3777
first_serve_won_diff 1,1594
second_serve_won_diff -4,2219
bp_saved_diff -11,1688
bp_converted_diff -5,7344
aces_per_match_diff -0,8454
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 8,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5574
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 5,8065
serve_consistency_p2 9,0572
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 20,3122
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0357
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0646
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4100
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,5188
utr_advantage -3,3593
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23947
API ID 15345453
Gamdom ID 589768
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23947,
    "api_id": 15345453,
    "gamdom_id": 589768,
    "player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
    "player2": "Iva Jovic",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-25T02:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.5,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 4.0,
      "p2": 1.28
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.69,
      "p2": 1.28
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2304,
    "prob_p2": 0.7696,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7696,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 94,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 104,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 46.875,
      "wr_surface_wins": 15,
      "wr_surface_total": 32,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 27,
      "utr_singles": 12.41,
      "utr_ranking": 39,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 19,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 104,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.41,
      "ranking": 39,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.5188235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 0.2872340425531915,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": -872,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -11.168750000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 8,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
    "surface_wr_p2": 63.1578947368421,
    "utr_advantage": -3.3592789840229424,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 7,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.2474579162656747,
    "rank_advantage": -67,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -16.282894736842103,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.734374999999993,
    "p1_surface_matches": 32,
    "p2_surface_matches": 19,
    "serve_quality_diff": -2.377664473684206,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.8453947368421053,
    "combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.1593750000000043,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.806547521447858,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.057175224804782,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 20.31222593919437,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.86956521739131,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -4.22187499999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6842105263157894,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03574999999999995,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06457894736842107,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.145330112721423,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}