Yulia Putintseva vs Iva Jovic
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 16
25 Ene 2026, 06:30
25 Ene 2026, 06:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Iva Jovic
Yulia …: 23,0%
Iva …: 77,0%
¿Por qué Iva Jovic?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,41
(-0,41)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yulia … | Iva … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,50 | 1,30 | 28,6% |
| Gamdom | 4,00 | 1,28 | 25,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 4,34 | 1,30 | 23,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yulia …: -4,0%
Iva …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yulia Putintseva
Ranking
#94
UTR Rating
12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#104
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
15/32 = 46,9%
Iva Jovic
Ranking
#27
UTR Rating
12,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#39
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
12/19 = 63,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -67,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,2872 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2475 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -872,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 7,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -16,2829 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -11,1453 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,6842 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 46,8750 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 63,1579 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 47,2222 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 60,8696 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 32,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 19,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0625 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,6333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -2,3777 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,1594 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -4,2219 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -11,1688 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,7344 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,8454 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 92,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5574 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,8065 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,0572 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 20,3122 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0357 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0646 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4706 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5188 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,3593 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23947
API ID
15345453
Gamdom ID
589768
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 16
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23947,
"api_id": 15345453,
"gamdom_id": 589768,
"player1": "Yulia Putintseva",
"player2": "Iva Jovic",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 16",
"date": "2026-01-25T02:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.5,
"p2": 1.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 4.0,
"p2": 1.28
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.69,
"p2": 1.28
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2304,
"prob_p2": 0.7696,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7696,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 94,
"utr_singles": 12.0,
"utr_ranking": 104,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 46.875,
"wr_surface_wins": 15,
"wr_surface_total": 32,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 27,
"utr_singles": 12.41,
"utr_ranking": 39,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 63.1578947368421,
"wr_surface_wins": 12,
"wr_surface_total": 19,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.0,
"ranking": 104,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.41,
"ranking": 39,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
"utr_p2": 0.5188235294117647,
"utr_diff": -0.41000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 0.2872340425531915,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 92.0,
"momentum_p2": 92.0,
"points_diff": -872,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -11.168750000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 6,
"match_load_p2": 8,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.6333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 46.875,
"surface_wr_p2": 63.1578947368421,
"utr_advantage": -3.3592789840229424,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 7,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2474579162656747,
"rank_advantage": -67,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -16.282894736842103,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.734374999999993,
"p1_surface_matches": 32,
"p2_surface_matches": 19,
"serve_quality_diff": -2.377664473684206,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5573770491803278,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7777777777777778,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.8453947368421053,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.1593750000000043,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.0625,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.806547521447858,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.057175224804782,
"surface_rank_synergy": 20.31222593919437,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 47.22222222222222,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 60.86956521739131,
"second_serve_won_diff": -4.22187499999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.6842105263157894,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.03574999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.06457894736842107,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -11.145330112721423,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}