Aleksandr Braynin vs Alec Beckley
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard | Semifinals
24 Ene 2026, 14:45
24 Ene 2026, 14:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alec Beckley
Aleksandr …: 39,0%
Alec …: 61,0%
¿Por qué Alec Beckley?
UTR 13,02 vs 13,34
(-0,32)
— Niveles similares
Aleksandr …
W30-L35
46% WR
vs UTR 13,0
W1
Alec …
W37-L21
64% WR
vs UTR 12,8
L1
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aleksandr … | Alec … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 2,70 | 1,35 | 37,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,57 | 1,64 | 39,0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandr Braynin
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,02 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1074
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Alec Beckley
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,34 Pro
UTR Ranking
#825
Forma L5
100% (4p)
Forma L10
100% (4p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Aleksandr Braynin
Record 2025
30W - 35L (46%)
Racha
1W
UTR Oponentes
13,0
Últimos 5:
W
L
L
W
W
Alec Beckley
Record 2025
37W - 21L (64%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 1,2267 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 41,0200 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 51,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 44,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 44,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -1,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 15,9958 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,0163 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5906 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6282 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,4279 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23961
API ID
15417743
Gamdom ID
626436
Torneo
UTR Trnava M01
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23961,
"api_id": 15417743,
"gamdom_id": 626436,
"player1": "Aleksandr Braynin",
"player2": "Alec Beckley",
"tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-24T10:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.7,
"p2": 1.35
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.89,
"p2": 1.36
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3898,
"prob_p2": 0.6102,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6102,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.02,
"utr_ranking": 1074,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 30,
"utr_v4_losses": 35,
"utr_v4_wr": 46.15384615384615,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.99,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Karim Mabrouk"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Michael Bassem Sobhy"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.52,
"opponent_name": "Nikolay Vylegzhanin"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.78,
"opponent_name": "Luca Potenza"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.98,
"opponent_name": "Dimitris Azoidis"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:07.195614+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.34,
"utr_ranking": 825,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 37,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 63.793103448275865,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.79,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.38,
"opponent_name": "Matt Ponchet"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.21,
"opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.54,
"opponent_name": "Peter Goldsteiner"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Vitek Horak"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.452427+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 4,
"form_l10_matches": 4
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.02,
"ranking": 1074,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.34,
"ranking": 825,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5905882352941176,
"utr_p2": 0.628235294117647,
"utr_diff": -0.3200000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 44.4,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -2.427921092564494,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 41.019999999999996,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 51.4,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 15.9957846231895,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.016271516153069,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 44.4,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -1.4699999999999989,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2266666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}