Aleksandr Braynin vs Alec Beckley
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard | Semifinals
24 Ene 2026, 14:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alec Beckley
Aleksandr …: 39,0% Alec …: 61,0%
¿Por qué Alec Beckley?
UTR 13,02 vs 13,34 (-0,32) — Niveles similares
Aleksandr …
W30-L35
46% WR
vs UTR 13,0
W1
Alec …
W37-L21
64% WR
vs UTR 12,8
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Aleksandr … Alec … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,70 1,35 37,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,57 1,64 39,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aleksandr Braynin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,02 Pro
UTR Ranking #1074
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (5p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Alec Beckley
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,34 Pro
UTR Ranking #825
Forma L5 100% (4p)
Forma L10 100% (4p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Aleksandr Braynin
Record 2025 30W - 35L (46%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 13,0
Últimos 5:
W L L W W
Alec Beckley
Record 2025 37W - 21L (64%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,8
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 1,2267
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 0,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 41,0200
first_serve_won_diff 51,4000
second_serve_won_diff 44,4000
bp_saved_diff 44,4000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 1,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,4700
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 15,9958
serve_consistency_p2 5,0163
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3200
utr_p1 0,5906
utr_p2 0,6282
utr_advantage -2,4279
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23961
API ID 15417743
Gamdom ID 626436
Torneo UTR Trnava M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23961,
    "api_id": 15417743,
    "gamdom_id": 626436,
    "player1": "Aleksandr Braynin",
    "player2": "Alec Beckley",
    "tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-24T10:45:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.7,
      "p2": 1.35
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.89,
      "p2": 1.36
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3898,
    "prob_p2": 0.6102,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6102,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.02,
      "utr_ranking": 1074,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 30,
      "utr_v4_losses": 35,
      "utr_v4_wr": 46.15384615384615,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.99,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Karim Mabrouk"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.11,
          "opponent_name": "Michael Bassem Sobhy"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.52,
          "opponent_name": "Nikolay Vylegzhanin"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.78,
          "opponent_name": "Luca Potenza"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Dimitris Azoidis"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:07.195614+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.34,
      "utr_ranking": 825,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 37,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.793103448275865,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.79,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Matt Ponchet"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.54,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Goldsteiner"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vitek Horak"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.452427+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 4,
      "form_l10_matches": 4
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.02,
      "ranking": 1074,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.34,
      "ranking": 825,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5905882352941176,
    "utr_p2": 0.628235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -0.3200000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 44.4,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.427921092564494,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 41.019999999999996,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 51.4,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.9957846231895,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.016271516153069,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 44.4,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.4699999999999989,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 1.2266666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}