Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin vs Alan Magadan
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay | Semifinals
24 Ene 2026, 23:55
24 Ene 2026, 23:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alan Magadan
Joao …: 43,0%
Alan …: 57,0%
¿Por qué Alan Magadan?
UTR 12,97 vs 13,29
(-0,32)
— Niveles similares
Joao …
W42-L25
63% WR
vs UTR 12,4
L3
Alan …
W53-L29
65% WR
vs UTR 12,7
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joao … | Alan … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,63 | 1,44 | 38,1% |
| Gamdom | 2,50 | 1,41 | 40,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,33 | 1,75 | 43,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Joao …: +7,5%
Alan …: -7,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1127
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Clay
0/1 = 0,0%
Alan Magadan
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,29 General
UTR Ranking
#1051
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
75% (8p)
WR Clay
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Record 2025
42W - 25L (63%)
Racha
3L
UTR Oponentes
12,4
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
W
W
Alan Magadan
Record 2025
53W - 29L (65%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,7
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -14,1067 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 4,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -1,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 52,3700 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 71,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 42,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 50,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -0,0300 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,6487 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,9312 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6224 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,4372 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
23972
API ID
15419344
Gamdom ID
627719
Torneo
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie
Clay
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 23972,
"api_id": 15419344,
"gamdom_id": 627719,
"player1": "Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin",
"player2": "Alan Magadan",
"tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
"surface": "clay",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-24T19:55:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.625,
"p2": 1.4444444444444444
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.41
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.62,
"p2": 1.43
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4299,
"prob_p2": 0.5701,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5701,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 12.97,
"utr_ranking": 1127,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 42,
"utr_v4_losses": 25,
"utr_v4_wr": 62.68656716417911,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.43,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.32,
"opponent_name": "Mathis Bondaz"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.73,
"opponent_name": "Donald Nikolas Stoot"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.83,
"opponent_name": "Alex Martinez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.8,
"opponent_name": "Ian Bracks"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.56,
"opponent_name": "Krish Arora"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.122968+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.29,
"utr_ranking": 1051,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 53,
"utr_v4_losses": 29,
"utr_v4_wr": 64.63414634146342,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.65,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.31,
"opponent_name": "Peter Bertran"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.01,
"opponent_name": "Jesse Flores"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.45,
"opponent_name": "Juan Jose Bianchi"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.38,
"opponent_name": "Taha Baadi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.81,
"opponent_name": "Nicaise Muamba"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.052045+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 75.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.97,
"ranking": 1127,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.29,
"ranking": 1051,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5847058823529413,
"utr_p2": 0.6223529411764704,
"utr_diff": -0.3199999999999985,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 50.0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -2.437166793602426,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 1,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 52.37,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 71.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.648700831179321,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.931237501006336,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 42.9,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -0.030000000000001137,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}