Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin vs Alan Magadan
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay | Semifinals
24 Ene 2026, 23:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alan Magadan
Joao …: 43,0% Alan …: 57,0%
¿Por qué Alan Magadan?
UTR 12,97 vs 13,29 (-0,32) — Niveles similares
Joao …
W42-L25
63% WR
vs UTR 12,4
L3
Alan …
W53-L29
65% WR
vs UTR 12,7
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Joao … Alan … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,63 1,44 38,1%
Gamdom 2,50 1,41 40,0%
IA Fair Odds 2,33 1,75 43,0%
Edge vs Mercado: Joao …: +7,5% Alan …: -7,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #1127
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Clay 0/1 = 0,0%
Alan Magadan
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,29 General
UTR Ranking #1051
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 75% (8p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Record 2025 42W - 25L (63%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 12,4
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
Alan Magadan
Record 2025 53W - 29L (65%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,7
Últimos 5:
L W W L W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 52,3700
first_serve_won_diff 71,0000
second_serve_won_diff 42,9000
bp_saved_diff 50,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 2,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -0,0300
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 7,6487
serve_consistency_p2 5,9312
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3200
utr_p1 0,5847
utr_p2 0,6224
utr_advantage -2,4372
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23972
API ID 15419344
Gamdom ID 627719
Torneo UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23972,
    "api_id": 15419344,
    "gamdom_id": 627719,
    "player1": "Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin",
    "player2": "Alan Magadan",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-24T19:55:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.625,
      "p2": 1.4444444444444444
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.41
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.62,
      "p2": 1.43
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4299,
    "prob_p2": 0.5701,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5701,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.97,
      "utr_ranking": 1127,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 42,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.68656716417911,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.43,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.32,
          "opponent_name": "Mathis Bondaz"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.73,
          "opponent_name": "Donald Nikolas Stoot"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.83,
          "opponent_name": "Alex Martinez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.8,
          "opponent_name": "Ian Bracks"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.56,
          "opponent_name": "Krish Arora"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.122968+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.29,
      "utr_ranking": 1051,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 53,
      "utr_v4_losses": 29,
      "utr_v4_wr": 64.63414634146342,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.65,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.31,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Bertran"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.01,
          "opponent_name": "Jesse Flores"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.45,
          "opponent_name": "Juan Jose Bianchi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Taha Baadi"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.81,
          "opponent_name": "Nicaise Muamba"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.052045+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.97,
      "ranking": 1127,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.29,
      "ranking": 1051,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.6223529411764704,
    "utr_diff": -0.3199999999999985,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 50.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -2.437166793602426,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 52.37,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 71.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.648700831179321,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.931237501006336,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 42.9,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -0.030000000000001137,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}