Reece Falck vs William Freshwater
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay | Semifinals
24 Ene 2026, 20:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Reece Falck
Reece …: 64,6% William …: 35,4%
¿Por qué Reece Falck?
Reece …
W3-L0
100% WR
vs UTR 10,0
W3
William …
W79-L40
66% WR
vs UTR 10,8
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Reece … William … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,13 5,50 88,9%
Gamdom 1,10 5,00 90,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,55 2,83 64,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Reece …: -18,4% William …: +18,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Reece Falck
Ranking #-
UTR Ranking #1140 General
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
William Freshwater
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #5175
Forma L5 33% (3p)
Forma L10 33% (3p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Reece Falck
Record 2025 3W - 0L (100%)
Racha 3W
UTR Oponentes 10,0
Últimos 5:
W W W
William Freshwater
Record 2025 79W - 40L (66%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 10,8
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Análisis Momentum
Reece Falck en racha: 3 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 0,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0667
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 70,0000
momentum_p2 22,2222
momentum_diff 47,7778
weighted_momentum_diff 35,8333
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 10,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 7,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,5701
serve_consistency_p2 11,7964
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,9146
utr_p1 0,4605
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 7,9830
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23976
API ID 15419354
Gamdom ID 627725
Torneo UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23976,
    "api_id": 15419354,
    "gamdom_id": 627725,
    "player1": "Reece Falck",
    "player2": "William Freshwater",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-24T16:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.125,
      "p2": 5.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.1,
      "p2": 5.83
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6465,
    "prob_p2": 0.3535,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6465,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": 1140,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 3,
      "utr_v4_losses": 0,
      "utr_v4_wr": 100.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Henry Lugar"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alberto Orso"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "David Durham"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:18.159050+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 5175,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 79,
      "utr_v4_losses": 40,
      "utr_v4_wr": 66.38655462184873,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.75,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eoghan Jennings"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Alexander Sasha Nikolov"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jose Manuel Sastron Redondo"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lorenzo LORENZO ACOSTA-SJOGREN"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Evan Sharygin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:59:01.053886+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": 1140,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 5175,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.46054620270532837,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 0.9146427229952909,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 70.0,
    "momentum_p2": 22.222222222222225,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.06666666666666671,
    "match_load_p1": 10,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 47.77777777777777,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.9830415342014405,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 7,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.570090435905355,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.796356851806785,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 35.83333333333333,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}