Jose Murariu vs Isaac Nortey
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay | Semifinals
24 Ene 2026, 22:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Isaac Nortey
Jose …: 48,1% Isaac …: 51,9%
¿Por qué Isaac Nortey?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,37 (-0,37) — Niveles similares
Jose …
W26-L23
53% WR
vs UTR 11,1
L3
Isaac …
W31-L23
57% WR
vs UTR 11,9
L2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Jose … Isaac … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,25 1,33 30,8%
Gamdom 3,05 1,28 32,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,08 1,92 48,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Jose …: +19,0% Isaac …: -19,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Jose Murariu
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #3923
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Isaac Nortey
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #1673
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Clay 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Jose Murariu
Record 2025 26W - 23L (53%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 11,1
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
Isaac Nortey
Record 2025 31W - 23L (57%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 11,9
Últimos 5:
L L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 42,8571
momentum_p2 10,0000
momentum_diff 32,8571
weighted_momentum_diff 24,6429
current_streak_diff 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 9,0000
match_load_diff -7,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 2,4532
serve_consistency_p2 8,0204
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3700
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,5141
utr_advantage -3,0365
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23979
API ID 15419355
Gamdom ID 627728
Torneo UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie Clay
Ronda Semifinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23979,
    "api_id": 15419355,
    "gamdom_id": 627728,
    "player1": "Jose Murariu",
    "player2": "Isaac Nortey",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-24T18:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.25,
      "p2": 1.3333333333333333
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.05,
      "p2": 1.28
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.25,
      "p2": 1.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4805,
    "prob_p2": 0.5195,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5195,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 3923,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 26,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 53.06122448979592,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.11,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.82,
          "opponent_name": "Mihai Alexandru Coman"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ilan Hediger"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.23,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel De Jonge"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.64,
          "opponent_name": "Darius Florin Pop"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.54,
          "opponent_name": "Twan van Zijl"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:58.258800+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.37,
      "utr_ranking": 1673,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 31,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.407407407407405,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Albert Saar"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Wissam Abderrahman"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.01,
          "opponent_name": "Jan Sebesta"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Edgar Destouet"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.36,
          "opponent_name": "Luis Felipe Miguel"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:43.225429+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 3923,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.37,
      "ranking": 1673,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.5141176470588235,
    "utr_diff": -0.3699999999999992,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
    "momentum_p2": 10.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 9,
    "momentum_diff": 32.85714285714286,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -3.036520311858837,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -7,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 2.453222453222452,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.02042506949514,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 24.64285714285714,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}