Cian McDonnell vs Tomas Lanik
UTR Gyor M01 | Hard |
29 Ene 2026, 13:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tomas Lanik
Cian …: 43,0% Tomas …: 57,0%
¿Por qué Tomas Lanik?
UTR 12,00 vs 12,50 (-0,50) — Niveles similares
Cian …
W43-L34
56% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L1
Tomas …
W9-L11
45% WR
vs UTR 12,3
W1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Cian … Tomas … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,21 1,52 45,2%
IA Fair Odds 2,33 1,75 43,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Cian McDonnell
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 General
UTR Ranking #2067
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Tomas Lanik
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,50 Pro
UTR Ranking #1541
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 75% (8p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Cian McDonnell
Record 2025 43W - 34L (56%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Tomas Lanik
Record 2025 9W - 11L (45%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,3
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Tomas Lanik ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,3 vs 12,0).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -62,7400
first_serve_won_diff -62,5000
second_serve_won_diff -58,3000
bp_saved_diff -77,8000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff -7,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -1,0000
momentum_p1 8,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff -90,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -67,5000
current_streak_diff -7,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 8,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 4,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 11,8134
serve_consistency_p2 10,3882
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5000
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,5294
utr_advantage -4,0816
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 23998
API ID 15418600
Gamdom ID 627567
Torneo UTR Gyor M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 23998,
    "api_id": 15418600,
    "gamdom_id": 627567,
    "player1": "Cian McDonnell",
    "player2": "Tomas Lanik",
    "tournament": "UTR Gyor M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-29T09:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.21,
      "p2": 1.52
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.33,
      "p2": 1.54
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4297,
    "prob_p2": 0.5703,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5703,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 2067,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 43,
      "utr_v4_losses": 34,
      "utr_v4_wr": 55.84415584415584,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.98,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Dylan Leeman"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.43,
          "opponent_name": "Matei Florin Breazu"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oscar Brown"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Janos FEKETE"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.89,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel Siniakov"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:49.582994+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.5,
      "utr_ranking": 1541,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 9,
      "utr_v4_losses": 11,
      "utr_v4_wr": 45.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.33,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Michael Wilson"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Balthazar Huss"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ibrahim Kandil"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Joaquin Humberto Diaz Richard"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.2,
          "opponent_name": "Herman Hoeyeraal"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:50.498022+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 2067,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.5,
      "ranking": 1541,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.5294117647058824,
    "utr_diff": -0.5,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 8.0,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -77.8,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 8,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -89.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -4.081632653061225,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 4,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": -62.739999999999995,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": -7,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -62.5,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 11.813350737765287,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.388222554413066,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -58.3,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -67.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 3,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}