Ksenia Laskutova vs Magdalena Smekalova
UTR Dubai W02 | Hard |
27 Ene 2026, 11:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Magdalena Smekalova
Ksenia …: 38,9% Magdalena …: 61,1%
¿Por qué Magdalena Smekalova?
UTR 9,81 vs 10,00 (-0,19) — Niveles similares
Ksenia …
Sin datos
Magdalena …
W25-L24
51% WR
vs UTR 9,5
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ksenia … Magdalena … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,23 1,51 44,8%
IA Fair Odds 2,57 1,64 38,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ksenia Laskutova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,81 Pro
UTR Ranking #1141
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Magdalena Smekalova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1081
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (6p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ksenia Laskutova
Sin datos UTR v4
Magdalena Smekalova
Record 2025 25W - 24L (51%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,5
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,1000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 38,7755
momentum_diff -28,7755
weighted_momentum_diff -21,5816
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 2,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 4,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 8,1709
serve_consistency_p2 12,6822
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1900
utr_p1 0,2129
utr_p2 0,2353
utr_advantage -1,9182
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24058
API ID 15416838
Gamdom ID 625380
Torneo UTR Dubai W02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24058,
    "api_id": 15416838,
    "gamdom_id": 625380,
    "player1": "Ksenia Laskutova",
    "player2": "Magdalena Smekalova",
    "tournament": "UTR Dubai W02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-27T07:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.23,
      "p2": 1.51
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.33,
      "p2": 1.54
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3888,
    "prob_p2": 0.6112,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6112,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.81,
      "utr_ranking": 1141,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1081,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 25,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.02040816326531,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.53,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tereza Vajsejtlova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nela Linhartov\u00e1"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nela \u0160\u00edlov\u00e1"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.8,
          "opponent_name": "Nina Andronicou"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Denise Hrdinkova"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:30.274065+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.81,
      "ranking": 1141,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1081,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.2129411764705883,
    "utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": -0.1899999999999995,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.775510204081634,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -28.775510204081634,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -1.9182231196365418,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.170917038496526,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.682178473689827,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -21.58163265306122,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}