Magdalena Smekalova vs Denise Hrdinkova
UTR Dubai W02 | Hard |
29 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Denise Hrdinkova
Magdalena …: 40,7% Denise …: 59,3%
¿Por qué Denise Hrdinkova?
UTR 10,00 vs 10,00 — Niveles similares
Magdalena …
W25-L24
51% WR
vs UTR 9,5
L1
Denise …
W82-L24
77% WR
vs UTR 9,6
L1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Magdalena … Denise … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 2,65 1,36 37,7%
IA Fair Odds 2,45 1,69 40,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Magdalena Smekalova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1081
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 63% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Denise Hrdinkova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,00 General
UTR Ranking #963
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Magdalena Smekalova
Record 2025 25W - 24L (51%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,5
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Denise Hrdinkova
Record 2025 82W - 24L (77%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 9,6
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,3000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 38,7755
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff -53,2245
weighted_momentum_diff -39,9184
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 3,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,6822
serve_consistency_p2 9,0379
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,2353
utr_p2 0,2353
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24061
API ID 15416837
Gamdom ID 625342
Torneo UTR Dubai W02
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24061,
    "api_id": 15416837,
    "gamdom_id": 625342,
    "player1": "Magdalena Smekalova",
    "player2": "Denise Hrdinkova",
    "tournament": "UTR Dubai W02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-29T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.65,
      "p2": 1.36
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.0,
      "p2": 1.33
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4074,
    "prob_p2": 0.5926,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5926,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1081,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 25,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 51.02040816326531,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.53,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tereza Vajsejtlova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nela Linhartov\u00e1"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nela \u0160\u00edlov\u00e1"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.8,
          "opponent_name": "Nina Andronicou"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Denise Hrdinkova"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:30.274065+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 62.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.0,
      "utr_ranking": 963,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 82,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 77.35849056603774,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.55,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.4,
          "opponent_name": "Maria Kalyakina"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Zinovia Vaneva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.2,
          "opponent_name": "Maria Toma"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.6,
          "opponent_name": "Alessia Popescu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.11,
          "opponent_name": "Andrea Obradovic"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:00.474623+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 1081,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.0,
      "ranking": 963,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 38.775510204081634,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666667,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.30000000000000004,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -53.224489795918366,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.682178473689827,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.037882515249253,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -39.91836734693878,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 4,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}