Simona Ogescu vs Magdalena Smekalova
UTR Dubai W02 | Hard |
28 Ene 2026, 10:25
28 Ene 2026, 10:25
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Ogescu
Simona …: 59,9%
Magdalena …: 40,2%
¿Por qué Simona Ogescu?
UTR 10,41 vs 10,00
(+0,41)
— Niveles similares
Simona …
Sin datos
Magdalena …
W25-L24
51% WR
vs UTR 9,5
L1
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Simona … | Magdalena … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,91 | 1,70 | 52,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,67 | 2,49 | 59,9% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simona Ogescu
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,41 Pro
UTR Ranking
#844
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
38% (8p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Magdalena Smekalova
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1081
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
57% (7p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Simona Ogescu
Sin datos UTR v4
Magdalena Smekalova
Record 2025
25W - 24L (51%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
9,5
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
L
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 48,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,7755 | |
| momentum_diff | 9,2245 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 6,9184 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,3072 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,6822 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,4100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,2835 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2353 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,0176 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24064
API ID
15416858
Gamdom ID
625372
Torneo
UTR Dubai W02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24064,
"api_id": 15416858,
"gamdom_id": 625372,
"player1": "Simona Ogescu",
"player2": "Magdalena Smekalova",
"tournament": "UTR Dubai W02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-28T06:25:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.91,
"p2": 1.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.92,
"p2": 1.78
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5985,
"prob_p2": 0.4015,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5985,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.41,
"utr_ranking": 844,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 37.5,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 8
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.0,
"utr_ranking": 1081,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 25,
"utr_v4_losses": 24,
"utr_v4_wr": 51.02040816326531,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.53,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Tereza Vajsejtlova"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Nela Linhartov\u00e1"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.0,
"opponent_name": "Nela \u0160\u00edlov\u00e1"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 9.8,
"opponent_name": "Nina Andronicou"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.0,
"opponent_name": "Denise Hrdinkova"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:30.274065+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 57.14285714285714,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 7
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.41,
"ranking": 844,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.0,
"ranking": 1081,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.2835294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.23529411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 48.00000000000001,
"momentum_p2": 38.775510204081634,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 9.224489795918373,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 4.017638412542873,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.30722183379538,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.682178473689827,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 6.91836734693878,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 2,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 4,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}