Selina Atay vs Adela Polakovicova
UTR Trnava W01 | Hard |
29 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Selina Atay
Selina …: 59,8% Adela …: 40,2%
¿Por qué Selina Atay?
UTR 9,73 vs 9,00 (+0,73) — Niveles similares
Selina …
W19-L32
37% WR
vs UTR 9,9
L3
Adela …
W15-L25
38% WR
vs UTR 9,8
W1
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Selina … Adela … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 3,58 1,18 27,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,67 2,49 59,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Selina Atay
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,73 Pro
UTR Ranking #1179
Forma L5 0% (3p)
Forma L10 0% (3p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Adela Polakovicova
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1291
Forma L5 100% (2p)
Forma L10 100% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Selina Atay
Record 2025 19W - 32L (37%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 9,9
Últimos 5:
L L L W L
Adela Polakovicova
Record 2025 15W - 25L (38%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 9,8
Últimos 5:
W L L W W
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -15,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 0,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 119,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7300
utr_p1 0,2035
utr_p2 0,1176
utr_advantage 7,7950
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24086
API ID 15418315
Gamdom ID 627547
Torneo UTR Trnava W01
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24086,
    "api_id": 15418315,
    "gamdom_id": 627547,
    "player1": "Selina Atay",
    "player2": "Adela Polakovicova",
    "tournament": "UTR Trnava W01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-29T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.58,
      "p2": 1.18
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 6.72,
      "p2": 1.07
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.598,
    "prob_p2": 0.402,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.598,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.73,
      "utr_ranking": 1179,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 19,
      "utr_v4_losses": 32,
      "utr_v4_wr": 37.254901960784316,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.88,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.4,
          "opponent_name": "Adelina Lachinova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ashleigh Simes"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.9,
          "opponent_name": "Katerina Tsygourova"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.94,
          "opponent_name": "Laura Boehner"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.18,
          "opponent_name": "Anna Kartseva"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:32.680079+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1291,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 15,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 37.5,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.77,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.54,
          "opponent_name": "Silvia Husarova"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.4,
          "opponent_name": "Yuriko Lily Miyazaki"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.66,
          "opponent_name": "Luisa Meyer auf der Heide"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Aliaksandra Skapets"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Nat\u00e1lie \u0160alkov\u00e1"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:01.288960+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 9.73,
      "ranking": 1179,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.0,
      "ranking": 1291,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.20352941176470593,
    "utr_p2": 0.11764705882352941,
    "utr_diff": 0.7300000000000004,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 7.794981313400966,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 119,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -15.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}