Xinyu Wang vs Amanda Anisimova
Australian Open | Hard | Round of 16
26 Ene 2026, 07:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Amanda Anisimova
Xinyu …: 13,5% Amanda …: 86,5%
¿Por qué Amanda Anisimova?
UTR 12,25 vs 12,84 (-0,59) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Xinyu … Amanda … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 5,00 1,17 20,0%
Gamdom 5,80 1,17 17,2%
IA Fair Odds 7,42 1,16 13,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Xinyu …: -5,5% Amanda …: +5,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Xinyu Wang
Ranking #46
UTR Rating 12,25 Pro
UTR Ranking #54
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 12/27 = 44,4%
Amanda Anisimova
Ranking #4
UTR Rating 12,84 Pro
UTR Ranking #4
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 27/37 = 73,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -42,0000
rank_ratio 0,0870
log_rank_ratio -2,4423
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -5123,0000
best_rank_diff -29,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -28,5285
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -24,2919
surface_matches_ratio 0,7297
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 44,4444
surface_wr_p2 72,9730
surface_wr_p1_stable 45,1613
surface_wr_p2_stable 70,7317
p1_surface_matches 27,0000
p2_surface_matches 37,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,9000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -4,5167
first_serve_won_diff -2,8790
second_serve_won_diff -6,7406
bp_saved_diff -6,1165
bp_converted_diff 5,9103
aces_per_match_diff -0,5275
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 92,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 6,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7416
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9504
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,2500
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 9,1672
serve_consistency_p2 4,4286
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 69,6766
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0136
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1877
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5900
utr_p1 0,5000
utr_p2 0,5694
utr_advantage -4,7031
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24122
API ID 15345448
Gamdom ID 589769
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 16
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24122,
    "api_id": 15345448,
    "gamdom_id": 589769,
    "player1": "Xinyu Wang",
    "player2": "Amanda Anisimova",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 16",
    "date": "2026-01-26T03:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 5.0,
      "p2": 1.17
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.8,
      "p2": 1.17
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.48,
      "p2": 1.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1347,
    "prob_p2": 0.8653,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8653,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 46,
      "utr_singles": 12.25,
      "utr_ranking": 54,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 44.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 12,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 4,
      "utr_singles": 12.84,
      "utr_ranking": 4,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 72.97297297297297,
      "wr_surface_wins": 27,
      "wr_surface_total": 37,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.25,
      "ranking": 54,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.84,
      "ranking": 4,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.5694117647058823,
    "utr_diff": -0.5899999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.08695652173913043,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 92.0,
    "points_diff": -5123,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -6.116516516516526,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 6,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.9,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 72.97297297297297,
    "utr_advantage": -4.703068951773614,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -29,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -2.4423470353692043,
    "rank_advantage": -42,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.25,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -28.528528528528525,
    "bp_converted_diff": 5.910310310310301,
    "p1_surface_matches": 27,
    "p2_surface_matches": 37,
    "serve_quality_diff": -4.516736736736725,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7415730337078652,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.950381679389313,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5275275275275275,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -2.878978978978978,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.167199678600326,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 4.428608657998089,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 69.67656707509741,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 45.16129032258064,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 70.73170731707317,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.740640640640628,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.7297297297297297,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.013555555555555543,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.18772972972972968,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -24.291896144767904,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}