Sakura Hosogi vs Stefi Marithe Aludo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
25 Ene 2026, 07:00
25 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sakura Hosogi
Sakura …: 61,6%
Stefi …: 38,4%
¿Por qué Sakura Hosogi?
UTR 11,09 vs 8,00
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sakura … | Stefi … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,03 | 10,50 | 97,6% |
| Gamdom | 1,03 | 13,00 | 97,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,62 | 2,60 | 61,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sakura …: -29,5%
Stefi …: +29,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sakura Hosogi
Ranking
#298
UTR Rating
11,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#448
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Stefi Marithe Aludo
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
8,00 Junior
UTR Ranking
#833
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 202,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6779 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,5175 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 216,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 296,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -50,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,7020 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2980 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3635 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24126
API ID
15422295
Gamdom ID
628293
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24126,
"api_id": 15422295,
"gamdom_id": 628293,
"player1": "Sakura Hosogi",
"player2": "Stefi Marithe Aludo",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-25T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.025,
"p2": 10.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.03,
"p2": 13.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.02,
"p2": 13.94
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6159,
"prob_p2": 0.3841,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6159,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 298,
"utr_singles": 11.09,
"utr_ranking": 448,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 8.0,
"utr_ranking": 833,
"utr_division": "Junior",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.09,
"ranking": 448,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 8.0,
"ranking": 833,
"division": "Junior",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3635294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.3635294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 1.6778523489932886,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 216,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 296,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.5175146119167873,
"rank_advantage": 202,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -50.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.702,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.29800000000000004,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}