Sakura Hosogi vs Stefi Marithe Aludo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
25 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sakura Hosogi
Sakura …: 61,6% Stefi …: 38,4%
¿Por qué Sakura Hosogi?
UTR 11,09 vs 8,00 — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Sakura … Stefi … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,03 10,50 97,6%
Gamdom 1,03 13,00 97,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,62 2,60 61,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Sakura …: -29,5% Stefi …: +29,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sakura Hosogi
Ranking #298
UTR Rating 11,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #448
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Stefi Marithe Aludo
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 Junior
UTR Ranking #833
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 202,0000
rank_ratio 1,6779
log_rank_ratio 0,5175
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 216,0000
best_rank_diff 296,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,5000
last3_wr_diff -0,5000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -50,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,7020
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2980
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3635
utr_p2 0,3635
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24126
API ID 15422295
Gamdom ID 628293
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24126,
    "api_id": 15422295,
    "gamdom_id": 628293,
    "player1": "Sakura Hosogi",
    "player2": "Stefi Marithe Aludo",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-25T03:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.025,
      "p2": 10.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.03,
      "p2": 13.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.02,
      "p2": 13.94
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6159,
    "prob_p2": 0.3841,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6159,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 298,
      "utr_singles": 11.09,
      "utr_ranking": 448,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 833,
      "utr_division": "Junior",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.09,
      "ranking": 448,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 833,
      "division": "Junior",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3635294117647059,
    "utr_p2": 0.3635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 1.6778523489932886,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 216,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 296,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.5175146119167873,
    "rank_advantage": 202,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -50.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.702,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.29800000000000004,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}