Viktoria Morvayova vs Nicole Fossa Huergo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
25 Ene 2026, 07:00
25 Ene 2026, 07:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Viktoria Morvayova
Viktoria …: 64,0%
Nicole …: 36,0%
¿Por qué Viktoria Morvayova?
UTR 11,27 vs 10,69
(+0,58)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (39%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Viktoria … | Nicole … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,30 | 3,40 | 76,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,27 | 3,85 | 78,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,56 | 2,78 | 64,0% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Viktoria …: -8,4%
Nicole …: +8,4%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Viktoria Morvayova
Ranking
#351
UTR Rating
11,27 Pro
UTR Ranking
#359
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
3/4 = 75,0%
Nicole Fossa Huergo
Ranking
#400
UTR Rating
10,69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#680
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
5/10 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 49,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,1396 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,1307 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 25,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -93,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 25,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 7,8667 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,4000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 75,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 4,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,5000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3533 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3933 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -4,5700 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,2000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 2,1000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 11,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,6000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,3000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 58,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 46,4700 | |
| current_streak_diff | 4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 87,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 62,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,7814 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,3706 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 3,2670 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2010 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0490 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5800 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3165 | |
| utr_advantage | 5,2823 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24127
API ID
15422299
Gamdom ID
628150
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24127,
"api_id": 15422299,
"gamdom_id": 628150,
"player1": "Viktoria Morvayova",
"player2": "Nicole Fossa Huergo",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-25T03:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.3,
"p2": 3.4
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.27,
"p2": 3.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.26,
"p2": 3.68
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6397,
"prob_p2": 0.3603,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6397,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 351,
"utr_singles": 11.27,
"utr_ranking": 359,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 75.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 4,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 400,
"utr_singles": 10.69,
"utr_ranking": 680,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.27,
"ranking": 359,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.69,
"ranking": 680,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3847058823529411,
"utr_p2": 0.31647058823529406,
"utr_diff": 0.5800000000000001,
"rank_ratio": 1.1396011396011396,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 57.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": 25,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 11.100000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 57.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.35333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 75.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 5.282331511839709,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -93,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.1306783236421162,
"rank_advantage": 49,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 25.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.600000000000001,
"p1_surface_matches": 4,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": -4.570000000000007,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.2999999999999998,
"combined_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": 4,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.200000000000003,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.5,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.781360208039679,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.370571876304707,
"surface_rank_synergy": 3.266958091052905,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 70.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 2.0999999999999943,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.4,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 46.47,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 87,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 62,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.20100000000000007,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.04899999999999993,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 7.866666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}