Miho Kuramochi vs Mia Horvit
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
25 Ene 2026, 09:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Miho Kuramochi
Miho …: 81,3% Mia …: 18,7%
¿Por qué Miho Kuramochi?
UTR 11,00 vs 10,59 (+0,41) — Niveles similares
Miho …
Sin datos
Mia …
W56-L26
68% WR
vs UTR 10,0
W2
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Miho … Mia … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,30 3,40 76,9%
Gamdom 1,22 4,40 82,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,23 5,34 81,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Miho …: +8,9% Mia …: -8,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Miho Kuramochi
Ranking #364
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #500
Forma L5 50% (2p)
Forma L10 50% (2p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Mia Horvit
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 10,59 Pro
UTR Ranking #740
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Miho Kuramochi
Sin datos UTR v4
Mia Horvit
Record 2025 56W - 26L (68%)
Racha 2W
UTR Oponentes 10,0
Últimos 5:
W W L W W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 136,0000
rank_ratio 1,3736
log_rank_ratio 0,3175
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 173,0000
best_rank_diff 140,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 2,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 2,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3267
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 41,2000
first_serve_won_diff 56,4000
second_serve_won_diff 40,0000
bp_saved_diff 25,0000
bp_converted_diff 54,5000
aces_per_match_diff 0,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 42,8571
momentum_p2 50,0000
momentum_diff -7,1429
weighted_momentum_diff 8,0000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 91,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 30,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 15,2477
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 15,8727
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,1360
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3640
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4100
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,3047
utr_advantage 3,7981
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24128
API ID 15422297
Gamdom ID 628146
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24128,
    "api_id": 15422297,
    "gamdom_id": 628146,
    "player1": "Miho Kuramochi",
    "player2": "Mia Horvit",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Final",
    "date": "2026-01-25T05:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.3,
      "p2": 3.4
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.22,
      "p2": 4.4
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.19,
      "p2": 4.31
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8128,
    "prob_p2": 0.1872,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8128,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 364,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 500,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 10.59,
      "utr_ranking": 740,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 56,
      "utr_v4_losses": 26,
      "utr_v4_wr": 68.29268292682927,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 9.99,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.0,
          "opponent_name": "Eva Khrustaleva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.16,
          "opponent_name": "Viktoria Veleva"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.74,
          "opponent_name": "Fiona Ganz"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.42,
          "opponent_name": "Anastasia Mozgaleva"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 9.38,
          "opponent_name": "Melis Rasim"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:47.847869+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 500,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 10.59,
      "ranking": 740,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.30470588235294116,
    "utr_diff": 0.41000000000000014,
    "rank_ratio": 1.3736263736263736,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 42.85714285714286,
    "momentum_p2": 50.0,
    "points_diff": 173,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 25.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -7.142857142857139,
    "p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.7980546549328404,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 140,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.3174542307854511,
    "rank_advantage": 136,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 54.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 2,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 41.2,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 56.4,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 15.247678018575854,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 15.872711539272554,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 40.0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 8.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 91,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 30,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.136,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.364,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}