Rina Saigo vs Peangtarn Plipuech
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Qualification Final
25 Ene 2026, 10:10
25 Ene 2026, 10:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Rina Saigo
Rina …: 76,7%
Peangtarn …: 23,3%
¿Por qué Rina Saigo?
UTR 11,31 vs 10,79
(+0,52)
— Niveles similares
Rina …
Sin datos
Peangtarn …
W23-L21
52% WR
vs UTR 10,8
L1
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (32%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Rina … | Peangtarn … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,20 | 4,33 | 83,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,23 | 4,20 | 81,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,30 | 4,29 | 76,7% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Rina …: -1,6%
Peangtarn …: +1,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Rina Saigo
Ranking
#306
UTR Rating
11,31 Pro
UTR Ranking
#341
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
67% (6p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Peangtarn Plipuech
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#618
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (5p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Rina Saigo
Sin datos UTR v4
Peangtarn Plipuech
Record 2025
23W - 21L (52%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
10,8
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
L
W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 194,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,6340 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4910 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 214,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 202,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,7200 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 4,9700 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 14,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,4000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 12,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 57,1000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -2,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 52,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 68,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -16,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,5500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 88,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,8905 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,7227 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 24,5511 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,1940 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3060 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,5200 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3282 | |
| utr_advantage | 4,7059 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24129
API ID
15422296
Gamdom ID
628261
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Final
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24129,
"api_id": 15422296,
"gamdom_id": 628261,
"player1": "Rina Saigo",
"player2": "Peangtarn Plipuech",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Final",
"date": "2026-01-25T06:10:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.2,
"p2": 4.333333333333334
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.23,
"p2": 4.2
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.21,
"p2": 4.11
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.767,
"prob_p2": 0.233,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.767,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 306,
"utr_singles": 11.31,
"utr_ranking": 341,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 6
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.79,
"utr_ranking": 618,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 23,
"utr_v4_losses": 21,
"utr_v4_wr": 52.27272727272727,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 10.77,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.98,
"opponent_name": "Han Shi"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.45,
"opponent_name": "Mai Hontama"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.35,
"opponent_name": "Patcharin Cheapchandej"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 10.64,
"opponent_name": "Hikaru Sato"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 10.72,
"opponent_name": "Kamonwan Yodpetch"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:10.373575+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.31,
"ranking": 341,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 10.79,
"ranking": 618,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3894117647058824,
"utr_p2": 0.32823529411764696,
"utr_diff": 0.5200000000000014,
"rank_ratio": 1.6339869281045751,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 52.0,
"momentum_p2": 68.0,
"points_diff": 214,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 12.399999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -16.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 4.705882352941188,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 202,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.49102299646981096,
"rank_advantage": 194,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
"bp_converted_diff": 57.1,
"p1_surface_matches": 2,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 4.969999999999999,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -2.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.31999999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 14.100000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.890514857547739,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.7226890756302495,
"surface_rank_synergy": 24.551149823490547,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 6.399999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.549999999999997,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 88,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.19399999999999995,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.30600000000000005,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.719999999999997,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}