Peter Alam vs Norbert Marosik
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard | Final
25 Ene 2026, 13:35
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Peter Alam
Peter …: 64,8% Norbert …: 35,2%
¿Por qué Peter Alam?
UTR 12,74 vs 12,23 (+0,51) — Niveles similares
Peter …
W24-L24
50% WR
vs UTR 12,0
L1
Norbert …
W44-L33
57% WR
vs UTR 12,1
W1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Peter … Norbert … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,81 1,79 55,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,84 64,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Peter Alam
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #1350
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Norbert Marosik
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,23 Pro
UTR Ranking #1767
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Peter Alam
Record 2025 24W - 24L (50%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
L W W L L
Norbert Marosik
Record 2025 44W - 33L (57%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 12,1
Últimos 5:
W L W W L
Análisis Momentum
Momentum similar entre ambos jugadores.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 80,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,0000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,3980
serve_consistency_p2 7,3135
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,5100
utr_p1 0,5576
utr_p2 0,4976
utr_advantage 4,0849
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24132
API ID 15423119
Gamdom ID 628597
Torneo UTR Trnava M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24132,
    "api_id": 15423119,
    "gamdom_id": 628597,
    "player1": "Peter Alam",
    "player2": "Norbert Marosik",
    "tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2026-01-25T09:35:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.81,
      "p2": 1.79
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.86,
      "p2": 1.84
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6483,
    "prob_p2": 0.3517,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6483,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.74,
      "utr_ranking": 1350,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 24,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 50.0,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.0,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.97,
          "opponent_name": "Jonas GUNDACKER"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tomas Talajka"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.6,
          "opponent_name": "Sebastian Prechtel"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.23,
          "opponent_name": "Daniel De Jonge"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Oscar Brown"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:11.098980+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.23,
      "utr_ranking": 1767,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 44,
      "utr_v4_losses": 33,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.14285714285714,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.07,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Radim Paral"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.5,
          "opponent_name": "Jack Karlsson Wistrand"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.65,
          "opponent_name": "Bercel Sandor Takacs"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Filip Poklemba"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.98,
          "opponent_name": "Tudor Batin"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:03.338252+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.74,
      "ranking": 1350,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.23,
      "ranking": 1767,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5576470588235294,
    "utr_p2": 0.49764705882352944,
    "utr_diff": 0.5099999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 80.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 4.084901882258709,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.398027752924472,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.313459466815674,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}