Otso Martikainen vs Piotr Galus
UTR Trnava M01 | Hard | Final
25 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Otso Martikainen
Otso …: 60,1% Piotr …: 39,9%
¿Por qué Otso Martikainen?
Otso …
W46-L21
69% WR
vs UTR 11,5
W4
Piotr …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Otso … Piotr … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,43 2,42 69,9%
IA Fair Odds 1,66 2,51 60,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Otso Martikainen
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1635
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 33% (6p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Piotr Galus
Ranking #-
UTR Ranking #1907 Pro
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Otso Martikainen
Record 2025 46W - 21L (69%)
Racha 4W
UTR Oponentes 11,5
Últimos 5:
W W W W L
Piotr Galus
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 4,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 1,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -1,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3133
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 53,1900
first_serve_won_diff 60,0000
second_serve_won_diff 77,3000
bp_saved_diff 20,0000
bp_converted_diff 33,3000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 48,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,8119
serve_consistency_p2 3,1121
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,4205
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,4211
utr_advantage 3,5669
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,5000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24143
API ID 15423257
Gamdom ID 628613
Torneo UTR Trnava M01
Superficie Hard
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24143,
    "api_id": 15423257,
    "gamdom_id": 628613,
    "player1": "Otso Martikainen",
    "player2": "Piotr Galus",
    "tournament": "UTR Trnava M01",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2026-01-25T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.43,
      "p2": 2.42
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.45,
      "p2": 2.59
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6011,
    "prob_p2": 0.3989,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6011,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1635,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 46,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 68.65671641791045,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.45,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Lauri Kiiski"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ville-Petteri AHTI"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Juho-Eric Biggs"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Santtu Leskinen"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.38,
          "opponent_name": "Edas Butvilas"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:07.510597+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 33.33333333333333,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": 1907,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1635,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": 1907,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.42111458358011666,
    "utr_diff": 0.42052603956900825,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.00000000000001,
    "momentum_p2": 48.00000000000001,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 20.0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 3.5668822830797517,
    "utr_available": 0.5,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 33.3,
    "p1_surface_matches": 1,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 53.19,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 60.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -1.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.811892477174307,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.112098038092865,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 4.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 77.3,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}