Alina Charaeva vs Alexandra Eala
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
26 Ene 2026, 16:00
26 Ene 2026, 16:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Alina …: 27,8%
Alexandra …: 72,2%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
UTR 11,61 vs 12,18
(-0,57)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alina … | Alexandra … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 5,00 | 1,14 | 20,0% |
| Gamdom | 5,80 | 1,15 | 17,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,59 | 1,39 | 27,8% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alina …: +9,2%
Alexandra …: -9,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alina Charaeva
Ranking
#163
UTR Rating
11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking
#212
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
5/11 = 45,5%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking
#49
UTR Rating
12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#59
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -114,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,3006 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -1,2019 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -723,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -93,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -9,8291 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -6,3509 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3462 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 55,5556 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 65,3846 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 53,4615 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 63,3333 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 26,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,1111 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6433 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,7402 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 1,8000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -7,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,7000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 7,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,4701 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -30,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -32,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -3,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 1,1837 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6250 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,2366 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,7918 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 11,8138 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1696 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0398 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4247 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4918 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,7919 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24149
API ID
15423223
Gamdom ID
628650
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24149,
"api_id": 15423223,
"gamdom_id": 628650,
"player1": "Alina Charaeva",
"player2": "Alexandra Eala",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-26T12:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 5.0,
"p2": 1.1428571428571428
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 5.8,
"p2": 1.15
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 5.45,
"p2": 1.13
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2784,
"prob_p2": 0.7216,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7216,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 163,
"utr_singles": 11.61,
"utr_ranking": 212,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
"wr_surface_wins": 5,
"wr_surface_total": 11,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 49,
"utr_singles": 12.18,
"utr_ranking": 59,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 26,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 212,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.18,
"ranking": 59,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
"utr_diff": -0.5700000000000003,
"rank_ratio": 0.3006134969325153,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -723,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.700000000000003,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -30.000000000000004,
"p1_confidence": 0.42,
"p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
"surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
"utr_advantage": -4.791929382093319,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -93,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -1.2019299026961359,
"rank_advantage": -114,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -9.82905982905983,
"bp_converted_diff": 7.29999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 9,
"p2_surface_matches": 26,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.740170940170941,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.47008547008547,
"combined_confidence": 0.6433333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -3,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 1.79999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.236581918778441,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.791771011406654,
"surface_rank_synergy": 11.813840923936379,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.46153846153846,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
"second_serve_won_diff": -6.999999999999993,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.34615384615384615,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -32.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16955555555555557,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.039846153846153864,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.350854700854699,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}