Alina Charaeva vs Alexandra Eala
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
26 Ene 2026, 16:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexandra Eala
Alina …: 27,8% Alexandra …: 72,2%
¿Por qué Alexandra Eala?
UTR 11,61 vs 12,18 (-0,57) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alina … Alexandra … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 5,00 1,14 20,0%
Gamdom 5,80 1,15 17,2%
IA Fair Odds 3,59 1,39 27,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Alina …: +9,2% Alexandra …: -9,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alina Charaeva
Ranking #163
UTR Rating 11,61 Pro
UTR Ranking #212
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 5/11 = 45,5%
Alexandra Eala
Ranking #49
UTR Rating 12,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #59
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 17/26 = 65,4%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -114,0000
rank_ratio 0,3006
log_rank_ratio -1,2019
rank_tier_advantage -2,0000
points_diff -723,0000
best_rank_diff -93,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -9,8291
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -6,3509
surface_matches_ratio 0,3462
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 55,5556
surface_wr_p2 65,3846
surface_wr_p1_stable 53,4615
surface_wr_p2_stable 63,3333
p1_surface_matches 9,0000
p2_surface_matches 26,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,1111
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4200
p2_confidence 0,8667
combined_confidence 0,6433
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,7402
first_serve_won_diff 1,8000
second_serve_won_diff -7,0000
bp_saved_diff 3,7000
bp_converted_diff 7,3000
aces_per_match_diff 1,4701
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff -30,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -32,0000
current_streak_diff -3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 1,1837
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6250
serve_consistency_p1 6,2366
serve_consistency_p2 3,7918
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 11,8138
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1696
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0398
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,5700
utr_p1 0,4247
utr_p2 0,4918
utr_advantage -4,7919
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24149
API ID 15423223
Gamdom ID 628650
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24149,
    "api_id": 15423223,
    "gamdom_id": 628650,
    "player1": "Alina Charaeva",
    "player2": "Alexandra Eala",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-26T12:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 5.0,
      "p2": 1.1428571428571428
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 5.8,
      "p2": 1.15
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 5.45,
      "p2": 1.13
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2784,
    "prob_p2": 0.7216,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7216,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 163,
      "utr_singles": 11.61,
      "utr_ranking": 212,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.45454545454545,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 11,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 49,
      "utr_singles": 12.18,
      "utr_ranking": 59,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 65.38461538461539,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 26,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.61,
      "ranking": 212,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.18,
      "ranking": 59,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4247058823529411,
    "utr_p2": 0.4917647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -0.5700000000000003,
    "rank_ratio": 0.3006134969325153,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -723,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.700000000000003,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -30.000000000000004,
    "p1_confidence": 0.42,
    "p2_confidence": 0.8666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 55.55555555555556,
    "surface_wr_p2": 65.38461538461539,
    "utr_advantage": -4.791929382093319,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -93,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -1.2019299026961359,
    "rank_advantage": -114,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.625,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -9.82905982905983,
    "bp_converted_diff": 7.29999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 9,
    "p2_surface_matches": 26,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.740170940170941,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 1.183673469387755,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.47008547008547,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6433333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 1.79999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.1111111111111111,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.236581918778441,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.791771011406654,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 11.813840923936379,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 53.46153846153846,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 63.33333333333333,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -6.999999999999993,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.34615384615384615,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -32.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16955555555555557,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.039846153846153864,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -6.350854700854699,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}