Donna Vekić vs Kyoka Okamura
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 16:10
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Donna Vekić
Donna …: 64,7% Kyoka …: 35,3%
¿Por qué Donna Vekić?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Donna … Kyoka … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 7,00 92,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,55 2,83 64,7%
Edge vs Mercado: Donna …: -21,9% Kyoka …: +21,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Donna Vekić
Ranking #72
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 7/20 = 35,0%
Kyoka Okamura
Ranking #310
UTR Rating 11,22 Pro
UTR Ranking #380
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 4/12 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 238,0000
rank_ratio 4,3056
log_rank_ratio 1,4599
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 726,0000
best_rank_diff 161,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,6667
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 1,6667
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 35,0000
surface_wr_p2 33,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 37,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 37,5000
p1_surface_matches 20,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,3000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,6667
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,5633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 3,5567
first_serve_won_diff 0,8000
second_serve_won_diff 3,3000
bp_saved_diff 0,1000
bp_converted_diff 10,1000
aces_per_match_diff 1,0833
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 10,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff -10,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,3140
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 61,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,8511
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,2000
serve_consistency_p1 12,1437
serve_consistency_p2 7,6094
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,4332
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,3880
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0713
elite_surface_amplifier 3,3333
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3788
utr_p2 0,3788
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24150
API ID 15423231
Gamdom ID -
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24150,
    "api_id": 15423231,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Donna Veki\u0107",
    "player2": "Kyoka Okamura",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-27T12:10:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6467,
    "prob_p2": 0.3533,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6467,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 72,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": null,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 35.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 20,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 310,
      "utr_singles": 11.22,
      "utr_ranking": 380,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": null
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.22,
      "ranking": 380,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.3788235294117648,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 4.305555555555555,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 10.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": 726,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0.10000000000000142,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -10.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.6666666666666666,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 35.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
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    "best_rank_diff": 161,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.4599061784631366,
    "rank_advantage": 238,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.2,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.6666666666666714,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.100000000000001,
    "p1_surface_matches": 20,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 3.5566666666666578,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.851063829787234,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.0833333333333333,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5633333333333334,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.79999999999999,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.3,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.143662663235585,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 7.60944518799491,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.4331769641052348,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 37.5,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 3.3000000000000043,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.6666666666666667,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.313999999999993,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 3.333333333333343,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 61,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.388,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.07133333333333325,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}