Elizabeth Abarquez vs Mai Hontama
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
26 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mai Hontama
Elizabeth …: 27,0% Mai …: 73,0%
¿Por qué Mai Hontama?
UTR 6,00 vs 11,38 — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Elizabeth … Mai … Prob Impl. P1
IA Fair Odds 3,71 1,37 27,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elizabeth Abarquez
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 6,00 General
UTR Ranking #26805
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Mai Hontama
Ranking #244
UTR Rating 11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking #312
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -256,0000
rank_ratio 0,4880
log_rank_ratio -0,7174
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -299,0000
best_rank_diff -395,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -43,7500
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,0833
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 43,7500
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 45,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 16,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,5333
combined_confidence 0,4167
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -47,5250
first_serve_won_diff -60,0000
second_serve_won_diff -50,5000
bp_saved_diff -58,1000
bp_converted_diff -50,3000
aces_per_match_diff -1,1875
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,1000
last3_wr_diff 0,1667
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -5,6000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 11,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 2,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 3,6297
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 31,3880
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2440
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,3185
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3976
utr_p2 0,3976
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24151
API ID 15423225
Gamdom ID -
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24151,
    "api_id": 15423225,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Elizabeth Abarquez",
    "player2": "Mai Hontama",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-26T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.9,
      "p2": 1.92
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2698,
    "prob_p2": 0.7302,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7302,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 6.0,
      "utr_ranking": 26805,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 244,
      "utr_singles": 11.38,
      "utr_ranking": 312,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.75,
      "wr_surface_wins": 7,
      "wr_surface_total": 16,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 6.0,
      "ranking": 26805,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.38,
      "ranking": 312,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.3976470588235295,
    "utr_p2": 0.3976470588235295,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 0.488,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": -299,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -58.1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 2,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -395,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.7174398731289899,
    "rank_advantage": -256,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": -43.75,
    "bp_converted_diff": -50.3,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 16,
    "serve_quality_diff": -47.525,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.1875,
    "combined_confidence": 0.41666666666666663,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -60.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 3.629704841061862,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 31.38799444939331,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -50.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -5.600000000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.244,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3185,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.083333333333333,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}