Elizabeth Abarquez vs Mai Hontama
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
26 Ene 2026, 10:00
26 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Mai Hontama
Elizabeth …: 27,0%
Mai …: 73,0%
¿Por qué Mai Hontama?
UTR 6,00 vs 11,38
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Elizabeth … | Mai … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IA Fair Odds | 3,71 | 1,37 | 27,0% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Elizabeth Abarquez
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
6,00 General
UTR Ranking
#26805
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Mai Hontama
Ranking
#244
UTR Rating
11,38 Pro
UTR Ranking
#312
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
7/16 = 43,8%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -256,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4880 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,7174 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -299,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -395,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,0833 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,7500 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 45,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 16,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -47,5250 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -60,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -50,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -58,1000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -50,3000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,1875 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,1000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,1667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 38,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -5,6000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 11,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 3,6297 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 31,3880 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2440 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,3185 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3976 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3976 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24151
API ID
15423225
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24151,
"api_id": 15423225,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Elizabeth Abarquez",
"player2": "Mai Hontama",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-26T06:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.9,
"p2": 1.92
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.2698,
"prob_p2": 0.7302,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.7302,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 6.0,
"utr_ranking": 26805,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 244,
"utr_singles": 11.38,
"utr_ranking": 312,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.75,
"wr_surface_wins": 7,
"wr_surface_total": 16,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 6.0,
"ranking": 26805,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.38,
"ranking": 312,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3976470588235295,
"utr_p2": 0.3976470588235295,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 0.488,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 38.0,
"points_diff": -299,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -58.1,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.16666666666666669,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.09999999999999998,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 2,
"momentum_diff": 12.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.5333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.75,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": -395,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.7174398731289899,
"rank_advantage": -256,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": -43.75,
"bp_converted_diff": -50.3,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 16,
"serve_quality_diff": -47.525,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.1875,
"combined_confidence": 0.41666666666666663,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -60.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 3.629704841061862,
"surface_rank_synergy": 31.38799444939331,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 45.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -50.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -5.600000000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 11,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.244,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.3185,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.083333333333333,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}