Joanna Garland vs Solana Sierra
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 16:20
27 Ene 2026, 16:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Solana Sierra
Joanna …: 31,5%
Solana …: 68,5%
¿Por qué Solana Sierra?
UTR 11,86 vs 12,06
(-0,20)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Joanna … | Solana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,57 | 2,48 | 63,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,17 | 1,46 | 31,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Joanna …: -22,1%
Solana …: +22,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joanna Garland
Ranking
#117
UTR Rating
11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#143
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
3/7 = 42,9%
Solana Sierra
Ranking
#63
UTR Rating
12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking
#89
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -54,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5385 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6190 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -373,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -54,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,1905 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 2,7313 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5833 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 41,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,1515 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 43,7500 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 12,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4600 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,1500 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 6,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -13,2000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 10,5000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 20,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 40,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 25,3350 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6364 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9488 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,1722 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -0,7370 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0174 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1373 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4541 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4776 | |
| utr_advantage | -1,6722 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24152
API ID
15423226
Gamdom ID
628648
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24152,
"api_id": 15423226,
"gamdom_id": 628648,
"player1": "Joanna Garland",
"player2": "Solana Sierra",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-27T12:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.57,
"p2": 2.48
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.53,
"p2": 2.4
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3153,
"prob_p2": 0.6847,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6847,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 117,
"utr_singles": 11.86,
"utr_ranking": 143,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 63,
"utr_singles": 12.06,
"utr_ranking": 89,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 143,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.06,
"ranking": 89,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
"utr_diff": -0.20000000000000107,
"rank_ratio": 0.5384615384615384,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 20.0,
"points_diff": -373,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -13.20000000000001,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 3,
"momentum_diff": 40.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.46,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
"utr_advantage": -1.6722408026755942,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -54,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6190392084062235,
"rank_advantage": -54,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.1904761904761827,
"bp_converted_diff": 10.5,
"p1_surface_matches": 7,
"p2_surface_matches": 12,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.1499999999999986,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.42666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0.6999999999999957,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.9487504406005165,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.172210130393874,
"surface_rank_synergy": -0.7369514385788327,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.151515151515156,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
"second_serve_won_diff": 5.999999999999993,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5833333333333334,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 25.335000000000008,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.017428571428571404,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1373333333333333,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.731313131313133,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}