Joanna Garland vs Solana Sierra
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 16:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Solana Sierra
Joanna …: 31,5% Solana …: 68,5%
¿Por qué Solana Sierra?
UTR 11,86 vs 12,06 (-0,20) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Joanna … Solana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,73 2,00 57,9%
Gamdom 1,57 2,48 63,7%
IA Fair Odds 3,17 1,46 31,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Joanna …: -22,1% Solana …: +22,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Joanna Garland
Ranking #117
UTR Rating 11,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #143
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 3/7 = 42,9%
Solana Sierra
Ranking #63
UTR Rating 12,06 Pro
UTR Ranking #89
Forma L5 20% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -54,0000
rank_ratio 0,5385
log_rank_ratio -0,6190
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -373,0000
best_rank_diff -54,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,1905
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 2,7313
surface_matches_ratio 0,5833
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 41,6667
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,1515
surface_wr_p2_stable 43,7500
p1_surface_matches 7,0000
p2_surface_matches 12,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3933
p2_confidence 0,4600
combined_confidence 0,4267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,1500
first_serve_won_diff 0,7000
second_serve_won_diff 6,0000
bp_saved_diff -13,2000
bp_converted_diff 10,5000
aces_per_match_diff -0,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,6000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 60,0000
momentum_p2 20,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 25,3350
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 3,0000
match_load_diff -2,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6364
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 6,9488
serve_consistency_p2 5,1722
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -0,7370
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0174
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1373
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,2000
utr_p1 0,4541
utr_p2 0,4776
utr_advantage -1,6722
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24152
API ID 15423226
Gamdom ID 628648
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24152,
    "api_id": 15423226,
    "gamdom_id": 628648,
    "player1": "Joanna Garland",
    "player2": "Solana Sierra",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-27T12:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.7272727272727273,
      "p2": 2.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.57,
      "p2": 2.48
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.53,
      "p2": 2.4
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3153,
    "prob_p2": 0.6847,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6847,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 117,
      "utr_singles": 11.86,
      "utr_ranking": 143,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 63,
      "utr_singles": 12.06,
      "utr_ranking": 89,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.86,
      "ranking": 143,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.06,
      "ranking": 89,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.45411764705882346,
    "utr_p2": 0.4776470588235295,
    "utr_diff": -0.20000000000000107,
    "rank_ratio": 0.5384615384615384,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 60.0,
    "momentum_p2": 20.0,
    "points_diff": -373,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -13.20000000000001,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.6000000000000001,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 3,
    "momentum_diff": 40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "p2_confidence": 0.46,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 41.66666666666667,
    "utr_advantage": -1.6722408026755942,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -54,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6190392084062235,
    "rank_advantage": -54,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -2,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.1904761904761827,
    "bp_converted_diff": 10.5,
    "p1_surface_matches": 7,
    "p2_surface_matches": 12,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.1499999999999986,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6363636363636364,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.42666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0.6999999999999957,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.9487504406005165,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.172210130393874,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -0.7369514385788327,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.151515151515156,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 43.75,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 5.999999999999993,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5833333333333334,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 25.335000000000008,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.017428571428571404,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1373333333333333,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 2.731313131313133,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}