Lin Zhu vs Lulu Sun
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 17:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lulu Sun
Lin …: 31,2% Lulu …: 68,8%
¿Por qué Lulu Sun?
UTR 11,79 vs 12,28 (-0,49) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Lin … Lulu … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,83 1,83 54,5%
Gamdom 2,00 1,85 50,0%
IA Fair Odds 3,21 1,45 31,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Lin …: -18,8% Lulu …: +18,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lin Zhu
Ranking #164
UTR Rating 11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking #159
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (10p)
WR Hard 6/14 = 42,9%
Lulu Sun
Ranking #86
UTR Rating 12,28 Pro
UTR Ranking #46
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 14/29 = 48,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -78,0000
rank_ratio 0,5244
log_rank_ratio -0,6455
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -395,0000
best_rank_diff 8,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -7,1429
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -3,9444
surface_matches_ratio 0,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 42,8571
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 44,4444
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 28,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,1429
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,9333
combined_confidence 0,7100
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -15,6000
first_serve_won_diff -11,1000
second_serve_won_diff -3,5000
bp_saved_diff -12,5000
bp_converted_diff 6,4000
aces_per_match_diff -4,5000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 30,0000
momentum_diff 20,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 13,6800
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 11,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 5,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5484
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,5816
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6000
serve_consistency_p1 8,5891
serve_consistency_p2 14,1024
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 4,6109
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0066
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0780
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4900
utr_p1 0,4459
utr_p2 0,5035
utr_advantage -4,0715
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24154
API ID 15423228
Gamdom ID 628641
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24154,
    "api_id": 15423228,
    "gamdom_id": 628641,
    "player1": "Lin Zhu",
    "player2": "Lulu Sun",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-27T13:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.8333333333333335,
      "p2": 1.8333333333333335
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.95,
      "p2": 1.78
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3117,
    "prob_p2": 0.6883,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6883,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 164,
      "utr_singles": 11.79,
      "utr_ranking": 159,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 86,
      "utr_singles": 12.28,
      "utr_ranking": 46,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.275862068965516,
      "wr_surface_wins": 14,
      "wr_surface_total": 29,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.79,
      "ranking": 159,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.28,
      "ranking": 46,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4458823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
    "utr_diff": -0.4900000000000002,
    "rank_ratio": 0.524390243902439,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
    "points_diff": -395,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -12.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": 19.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": -4.071458246780226,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 8,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.6455191315706906,
    "rank_advantage": -78,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -7.142857142857146,
    "bp_converted_diff": 6.399999999999999,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 28,
    "serve_quality_diff": -15.600000000000001,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5483870967741935,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5816326530612245,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -4.5,
    "combined_confidence": 0.71,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -11.099999999999994,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 8.58914297289811,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.102376629353353,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 4.610850939790649,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -3.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 13.680000000000007,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.006571428571428506,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07799999999999996,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.9444444444444455,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}