Lin Zhu vs Lulu Sun
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 17:40
27 Ene 2026, 17:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Lulu Sun
Lin …: 31,2%
Lulu …: 68,8%
¿Por qué Lulu Sun?
UTR 11,79 vs 12,28
(-0,49)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Lin … | Lulu … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,83 | 1,83 | 54,5% |
| Gamdom | 2,00 | 1,85 | 50,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,21 | 1,45 | 31,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Lin …: -18,8%
Lulu …: +18,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Lin Zhu
Ranking
#164
UTR Rating
11,79 Pro
UTR Ranking
#159
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
6/14 = 42,9%
Lulu Sun
Ranking
#86
UTR Rating
12,28 Pro
UTR Ranking
#46
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
14/29 = 48,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -78,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,5244 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,6455 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -395,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 8,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -7,1429 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -3,9444 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 42,8571 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 44,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 28,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,1429 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,7100 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -15,6000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -11,1000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -3,5000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -12,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 6,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -4,5000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 30,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 13,6800 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 11,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5484 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5816 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 8,5891 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 14,1024 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 4,6109 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0066 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0780 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4900 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4459 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5035 | |
| utr_advantage | -4,0715 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24154
API ID
15423228
Gamdom ID
628641
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24154,
"api_id": 15423228,
"gamdom_id": 628641,
"player1": "Lin Zhu",
"player2": "Lulu Sun",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-27T13:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.8333333333333335,
"p2": 1.8333333333333335
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.95,
"p2": 1.78
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3117,
"prob_p2": 0.6883,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6883,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 164,
"utr_singles": 11.79,
"utr_ranking": 159,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 42.857142857142854,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 86,
"utr_singles": 12.28,
"utr_ranking": 46,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.275862068965516,
"wr_surface_wins": 14,
"wr_surface_total": 29,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 159,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 46,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.5035294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.4900000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 0.524390243902439,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 30.000000000000004,
"points_diff": -395,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -12.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 19.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.9333333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 42.857142857142854,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": -4.071458246780226,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 8,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.6455191315706906,
"rank_advantage": -78,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6666666666666666,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -7.142857142857146,
"bp_converted_diff": 6.399999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 28,
"serve_quality_diff": -15.600000000000001,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5483870967741935,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5816326530612245,
"aces_per_match_diff": -4.5,
"combined_confidence": 0.71,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -11.099999999999994,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.14285714285714285,
"serve_consistency_p1": 8.58914297289811,
"serve_consistency_p2": 14.102376629353353,
"surface_rank_synergy": 4.610850939790649,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 44.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": -3.5,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 13.680000000000007,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 11,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.006571428571428506,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.07799999999999996,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -3.9444444444444455,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}