Nao Hibino vs Himeno Sakatsume
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 16:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Nao …: 32,3% Himeno …: 67,7%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 11,69 vs 12,04 (-0,35) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Nao … Himeno … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,25 1,33 30,8%
Gamdom 3,65 1,30 27,4%
IA Fair Odds 3,09 1,48 32,3%
Edge vs Mercado: Nao …: +3,2% Himeno …: -3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nao Hibino
Ranking #204
UTR Rating 11,69 Pro
UTR Ranking #188
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 0% (10p)
WR Hard 6/17 = 35,3%
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking #140
UTR Rating 12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking #94
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -64,0000
rank_ratio 0,6863
log_rank_ratio -0,3765
rank_tier_advantage -1,0000
points_diff -155,0000
best_rank_diff 84,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -21,8487
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -8,2701
surface_matches_ratio 2,4286
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 35,2941
surface_wr_p2 57,1429
surface_wr_p1_stable 38,0952
surface_wr_p2_stable 55,3247
p1_surface_matches 17,0000
p2_surface_matches 7,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,2941
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,5667
p2_confidence 0,3933
combined_confidence 0,4800
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -7,1426
first_serve_won_diff -15,0000
second_serve_won_diff 12,9000
bp_saved_diff 3,4000
bp_converted_diff -5,0000
aces_per_match_diff -1,7563
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,6000
last3_wr_diff -0,6667
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -58,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -43,4940
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 13,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 8,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,3704
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,3333
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 12,8672
serve_consistency_p2 5,3098
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,2256
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0831
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0074
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,3500
utr_p1 0,4341
utr_p2 0,4753
utr_advantage -2,9499
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24155
API ID 15423224
Gamdom ID 628640
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24155,
    "api_id": 15423224,
    "gamdom_id": 628640,
    "player1": "Nao Hibino",
    "player2": "Himeno Sakatsume",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-27T12:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.25,
      "p2": 1.3333333333333333
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.65,
      "p2": 1.3
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.43,
      "p2": 1.29
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3233,
    "prob_p2": 0.6767,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6767,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 204,
      "utr_singles": 11.69,
      "utr_ranking": 188,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 35.294117647058826,
      "wr_surface_wins": 6,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 140,
      "utr_singles": 12.04,
      "utr_ranking": 94,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 7,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.69,
      "ranking": 188,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.04,
      "ranking": 94,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4341176470588235,
    "utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
    "utr_diff": -0.34999999999999964,
    "rank_ratio": 0.6862745098039216,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": -155,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 3.3999999999999986,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -57.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 35.294117647058826,
    "surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
    "utr_advantage": -2.949852507374629,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 84,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.3764775712349121,
    "rank_advantage": -64,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -21.848739495798313,
    "bp_converted_diff": -5.0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 17,
    "p2_surface_matches": 7,
    "serve_quality_diff": -7.142605042016804,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.37037037037037035,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -1.7563025210084033,
    "combined_confidence": 0.48,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": -1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -14.999999999999993,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.29411764705882354,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 12.867170715919821,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.309826318523976,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.225560379922447,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.095238095238095,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 12.899999999999999,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 2.4285714285714284,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -43.49400000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0830588235294118,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.007428571428571451,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.270129870129868,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}