Nao Hibino vs Himeno Sakatsume
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 16:05
27 Ene 2026, 16:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Himeno Sakatsume
Nao …: 32,3%
Himeno …: 67,7%
¿Por qué Himeno Sakatsume?
UTR 11,69 vs 12,04
(-0,35)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Nao … | Himeno … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,25 | 1,33 | 30,8% |
| Gamdom | 3,65 | 1,30 | 27,4% |
| IA Fair Odds | 3,09 | 1,48 | 32,3% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Nao …: +3,2%
Himeno …: -3,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Nao Hibino
Ranking
#204
UTR Rating
11,69 Pro
UTR Ranking
#188
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
0% (10p)
WR Hard
6/17 = 35,3%
Himeno Sakatsume
Ranking
#140
UTR Rating
12,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#94
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
4/7 = 57,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -64,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,6863 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,3765 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -1,0000 | |
| points_diff | -155,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 84,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -21,8487 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -8,2701 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 2,4286 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 35,2941 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 38,0952 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 55,3247 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 7,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2941 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3933 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -7,1426 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -15,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 12,9000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 3,4000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -5,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -1,7563 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,6000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,6667 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -58,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -43,4940 | |
| current_streak_diff | -4,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 13,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,3704 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,3333 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 12,8672 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,3098 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,2256 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,0831 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,0074 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4341 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4753 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,9499 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24155
API ID
15423224
Gamdom ID
628640
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24155,
"api_id": 15423224,
"gamdom_id": 628640,
"player1": "Nao Hibino",
"player2": "Himeno Sakatsume",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-27T12:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.25,
"p2": 1.3333333333333333
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.65,
"p2": 1.3
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.43,
"p2": 1.29
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3233,
"prob_p2": 0.6767,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6767,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 204,
"utr_singles": 11.69,
"utr_ranking": 188,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 35.294117647058826,
"wr_surface_wins": 6,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 0.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 140,
"utr_singles": 12.04,
"utr_ranking": 94,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 57.14285714285714,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 7,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.69,
"ranking": 188,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.04,
"ranking": 94,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4341176470588235,
"utr_p2": 0.4752941176470587,
"utr_diff": -0.34999999999999964,
"rank_ratio": 0.6862745098039216,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": -155,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 3.3999999999999986,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.6666666666666666,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.6,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -57.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.3933333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 35.294117647058826,
"surface_wr_p2": 57.14285714285714,
"utr_advantage": -2.949852507374629,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 84,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.3764775712349121,
"rank_advantage": -64,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.3333333333333333,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": -21.848739495798313,
"bp_converted_diff": -5.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 17,
"p2_surface_matches": 7,
"serve_quality_diff": -7.142605042016804,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.37037037037037035,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -1.7563025210084033,
"combined_confidence": 0.48,
"current_streak_diff": -4,
"rank_tier_advantage": -1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -14.999999999999993,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.29411764705882354,
"serve_consistency_p1": 12.867170715919821,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.309826318523976,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.225560379922447,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 38.095238095238095,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 55.32467532467532,
"second_serve_won_diff": 12.899999999999999,
"surface_matches_ratio": 2.4285714285714284,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -43.49400000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 13,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0830588235294118,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.007428571428571451,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -8.270129870129868,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}