Simona Waltert vs Lanlana Tararudee
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
26 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Simona …: 70,6% Lanlana …: 29,4%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,89 (+0,26) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Simona … Lanlana … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,50 1,50 40,0%
Gamdom 2,42 1,60 41,3%
IA Fair Odds 1,42 3,40 70,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Simona …: +33,1% Lanlana …: -33,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simona Waltert
Ranking #87
UTR Rating 12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking #66
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 8/12 = 66,7%
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking #131
UTR Rating 11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking #132
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 44,0000
rank_ratio 1,5057
log_rank_ratio 0,4093
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 275,0000
best_rank_diff 45,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 20,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 6,1905
surface_matches_ratio 1,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 60,0000
surface_wr_p2 40,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 57,1429
surface_wr_p2_stable 42,8571
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 10,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,2000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,4333
combined_confidence 0,4333
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,8600
first_serve_won_diff 3,0000
second_serve_won_diff 1,2000
bp_saved_diff 20,5000
bp_converted_diff -2,4000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 58,0000
momentum_diff -36,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -25,2250
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 6,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 6,0000
match_load_p1 1,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff -3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6667
serve_consistency_p1 4,7349
serve_consistency_p2 9,2973
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,1858
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,0560
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0560
elite_surface_amplifier 20,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2600
utr_p1 0,4882
utr_p2 0,4576
utr_advantage 2,1631
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24157
API ID 15423227
Gamdom ID 628645
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24157,
    "api_id": 15423227,
    "gamdom_id": 628645,
    "player1": "Simona Waltert",
    "player2": "Lanlana Tararudee",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-26T06:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.5,
      "p2": 1.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 2.42,
      "p2": 1.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 2.32,
      "p2": 1.57
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7058,
    "prob_p2": 0.2942,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7058,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 87,
      "utr_singles": 12.15,
      "utr_ranking": 66,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 12,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 131,
      "utr_singles": 11.89,
      "utr_ranking": 132,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 40.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 4,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.15,
      "ranking": 66,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.89,
      "ranking": 132,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.4882352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.45764705882352946,
    "utr_diff": 0.2599999999999998,
    "rank_ratio": 1.5057471264367817,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 275,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 20.5,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 1,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": -35.99999999999999,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
    "utr_advantage": 2.1630615640598987,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 45,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.40928920454656786,
    "rank_advantage": 44,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 20.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -2.3999999999999986,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 10,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.8599999999999994,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 3.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.734893690212365,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 9.297341757594484,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.185784090931357,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 1.1999999999999957,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -25.22500000000001,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 20.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05599999999999994,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05599999999999994,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.190476190476191,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}