Simona Waltert vs Lanlana Tararudee
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
26 Ene 2026, 10:00
26 Ene 2026, 10:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Simona Waltert
Simona …: 70,6%
Lanlana …: 29,4%
¿Por qué Simona Waltert?
UTR 12,15 vs 11,89
(+0,26)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Simona … | Lanlana … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,50 | 1,50 | 40,0% |
| Gamdom | 2,42 | 1,60 | 41,3% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,42 | 3,40 | 70,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Simona …: +33,1%
Lanlana …: -33,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Simona Waltert
Ranking
#87
UTR Rating
12,15 Pro
UTR Ranking
#66
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
8/12 = 66,7%
Lanlana Tararudee
Ranking
#131
UTR Rating
11,89 Pro
UTR Ranking
#132
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
4/10 = 40,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 44,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,5057 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,4093 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 275,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 45,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 20,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 6,1905 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 57,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 42,8571 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 10,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,2000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4333 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,4333 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,8600 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 3,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 1,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 20,5000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -2,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 58,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -36,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -25,2250 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -3,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,7349 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,2973 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,1858 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,0560 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0560 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 20,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2600 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4576 | |
| utr_advantage | 2,1631 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24157
API ID
15423227
Gamdom ID
628645
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24157,
"api_id": 15423227,
"gamdom_id": 628645,
"player1": "Simona Waltert",
"player2": "Lanlana Tararudee",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-26T06:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.5,
"p2": 1.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 2.42,
"p2": 1.6
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 2.32,
"p2": 1.57
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7058,
"prob_p2": 0.2942,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7058,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 87,
"utr_singles": 12.15,
"utr_ranking": 66,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 12,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 131,
"utr_singles": 11.89,
"utr_ranking": 132,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 40.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 4,
"wr_surface_total": 10,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 12.15,
"ranking": 66,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.89,
"ranking": 132,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.4882352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.45764705882352946,
"utr_diff": 0.2599999999999998,
"rank_ratio": 1.5057471264367817,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 57.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 275,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 20.5,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 1,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -35.99999999999999,
"p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"p2_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"surface_wr_p1": 60.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 40.0,
"utr_advantage": 2.1630615640598987,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 45,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.40928920454656786,
"rank_advantage": 44,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -3,
"surface_wr_diff": 20.0,
"bp_converted_diff": -2.3999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 10,
"p2_surface_matches": 10,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.8599999999999994,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 3.0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.2,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.734893690212365,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.297341757594484,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.185784090931357,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 57.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 42.857142857142854,
"second_serve_won_diff": 1.1999999999999957,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -25.22500000000001,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 20.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 6,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.05599999999999994,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.05599999999999994,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 6.190476190476191,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}