Tatjana Maria vs Leolia Jeanjean
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 13:30
27 Ene 2026, 13:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Leolia Jeanjean
Tatjana …: 41,5%
Leolia …: 58,5%
¿Por qué Leolia Jeanjean?
UTR 11,90 vs 11,85
(+0,05)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Tatjana … | Leolia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,73 | 2,00 | 57,9% |
| Gamdom | 1,88 | 1,97 | 53,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,41 | 1,71 | 41,5% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Tatjana …: -12,1%
Leolia …: +12,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tatjana Maria
Ranking
#42
UTR Rating
11,90 Pro
UTR Ranking
#131
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
9/27 = 33,3%
Leolia Jeanjean
Ranking
#103
UTR Rating
11,85 Pro
UTR Ranking
#139
Forma L5
20% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
13/24 = 54,2%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 61,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,4524 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8971 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 472,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 55,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -18,1667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -12,7730 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,0417 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 36,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 54,1667 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 37,9310 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 53,5714 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 25,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,2800 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8333 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,8167 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -3,8433 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -5,4000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -11,2000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -9,3000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -1,4000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,1083 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 2,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 9,0050 | |
| current_streak_diff | 2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 8,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 1,0000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,4000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5652 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,5946 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,8000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 9,6497 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 9,3789 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -16,2966 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2010 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1027 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -36,3333 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0500 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4588 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4529 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,4211 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24158
API ID
15423234
Gamdom ID
628646
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24158,
"api_id": 15423234,
"gamdom_id": 628646,
"player1": "Tatjana Maria",
"player2": "Leolia Jeanjean",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-27T09:30:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.7272727272727273,
"p2": 2.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.88,
"p2": 1.97
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.8,
"p2": 1.94
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4153,
"prob_p2": 0.5847,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5847,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 42,
"utr_singles": 11.9,
"utr_ranking": 131,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 9,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 103,
"utr_singles": 11.85,
"utr_ranking": 139,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 54.166666666666664,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 20.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.9,
"ranking": 131,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 139,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4529411764705882,
"utr_diff": 0.05000000000000071,
"rank_ratio": 2.4523809523809526,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 22.0,
"momentum_p2": 2.0,
"points_diff": 472,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -9.300000000000011,
"h2h_wins_diff": 2,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.2,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8333333333333333,
"p2_confidence": 0.8,
"surface_wr_p1": 36.0,
"surface_wr_p2": 54.166666666666664,
"utr_advantage": 0.42105263157895334,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 55,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8970593699462676,
"rank_advantage": 61,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.8,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
"match_load_diff": 2,
"surface_wr_diff": -18.166666666666664,
"bp_converted_diff": -1.3999999999999986,
"p1_surface_matches": 25,
"p2_surface_matches": 24,
"serve_quality_diff": -3.8433333333333337,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5652173913043478,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.5945945945945946,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.1083333333333334,
"combined_confidence": 0.8166666666666667,
"current_streak_diff": 2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": -5.399999999999999,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.28,
"serve_consistency_p1": 9.649654517713543,
"serve_consistency_p2": 9.37890612158239,
"surface_rank_synergy": -16.29657855402386,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 37.93103448275862,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 53.57142857142857,
"second_serve_won_diff": -11.199999999999996,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.0416666666666667,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 9.005000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -36.33333333333333,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 8,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.20099999999999996,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.10266666666666657,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -12.772988505747126,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_p1": 2,
"h2h_wins_p2": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}