Yexin MA vs Darja Semenistaja
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
27 Ene 2026, 13:45
27 Ene 2026, 13:45
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Yexin MA
Yexin …: 56,4%
Darja …: 43,7%
¿Por qué Yexin MA?
UTR 11,60 vs 11,94
(-0,34)
— Niveles similares
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (38%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yexin … | Darja … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 3,40 | 1,30 | 29,4% |
| Gamdom | 3,35 | 1,35 | 29,9% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,77 | 2,29 | 56,4% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yexin …: +28,7%
Darja …: -28,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yexin MA
Ranking
#225
UTR Rating
11,60 Pro
UTR Ranking
#217
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Darja Semenistaja
Ranking
#98
UTR Rating
11,94 Pro
UTR Ranking
#121
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
3/9 = 33,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -127,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,4356 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,8311 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | -2,0000 | |
| points_diff | -454,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -90,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 8,8873 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 33,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 63,8095 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 40,4218 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 9,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,4200 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3800 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 15,5789 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 10,9000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 10,8000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 15,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 4,9000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,4444 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 22,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 18,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 7,9850 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 12,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 6,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,7692 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,9198 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 7,8608 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -27,7044 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,2937 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2937 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,3400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4235 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,4635 | |
| utr_advantage | -2,8887 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24160
API ID
15423232
Gamdom ID
628642
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24160,
"api_id": 15423232,
"gamdom_id": 628642,
"player1": "Yexin MA",
"player2": "Darja Semenistaja",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-27T09:45:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 3.4,
"p2": 1.3
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 3.35,
"p2": 1.35
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 3.22,
"p2": 1.32
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.5635,
"prob_p2": 0.4365,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.5635,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 225,
"utr_singles": 11.6,
"utr_ranking": 217,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 98,
"utr_singles": 11.94,
"utr_ranking": 121,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 33.33333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 9,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 11.6,
"ranking": 217,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.94,
"ranking": 121,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.4635294117647058,
"utr_diff": -0.33999999999999986,
"rank_ratio": 0.43555555555555553,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 22.0,
"points_diff": -454,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 15.899999999999999,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": 18.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.42,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 33.33333333333333,
"utr_advantage": -2.888700084961766,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -90,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.8311329235338483,
"rank_advantage": -127,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 1.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 1.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 33.33333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 4.899999999999999,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 9,
"serve_quality_diff": 15.57888888888889,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.7692307692307693,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.4444444444444446,
"combined_confidence": 0.38,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": -2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 10.900000000000006,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.919845839061003,
"serve_consistency_p2": 7.860808555650854,
"surface_rank_synergy": -27.704430784461604,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 63.809523809523796,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 40.421836228287845,
"second_serve_won_diff": 10.799999999999997,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 7.984999999999999,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 12,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 6,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.2936666666666665,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.29366666666666674,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 8.887321280869662,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}