Tommaso Compagnucci vs Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01 | Clay | Final
25 Ene 2026, 19:30
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Tommaso Compagnucci
Tommaso …: 77,9% Joao …: 22,2%
¿Por qué Tommaso Compagnucci?
UTR 13,75 vs 12,97 (+0,78) — Niveles similares
Tommaso …
W38-L24
61% WR
vs UTR 13,5
L1
Joao …
W42-L25
63% WR
vs UTR 12,4
L3
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (37%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Tommaso … Joao … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,29 3,50 77,8%
Gamdom 1,28 3,00 78,1%
IA Fair Odds 1,28 4,51 77,9%
Edge vs Mercado: Tommaso …: +4,7% Joao …: -4,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Tommaso Compagnucci
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,75 Pro
UTR Ranking #527
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 78% (9p)
WR Clay 5/10 = 50,0%
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,97 Pro
UTR Ranking #1127
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Clay 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Tommaso Compagnucci
Record 2025 38W - 24L (61%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 13,5
Últimos 5:
L W W W L
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Record 2025 42W - 25L (63%)
Racha 3L
UTR Oponentes 12,4
Últimos 5:
L L L W W
Análisis Momentum
Tommaso Compagnucci ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,5 vs 12,4).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 50,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 17,1733
surface_matches_ratio 10,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 50,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 10,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4333
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3733
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 2,9700
first_serve_won_diff -5,0000
second_serve_won_diff 2,9000
bp_saved_diff 4,3000
bp_converted_diff 39,7000
aces_per_match_diff 2,3000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -1,5000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,4693
serve_consistency_p2 8,0310
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7800
utr_p1 0,6765
utr_p2 0,5847
utr_advantage 5,8383
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24164
API ID 15425670
Gamdom ID 629573
Torneo UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01
Superficie Clay
Ronda Final
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24164,
    "api_id": 15425670,
    "gamdom_id": 629573,
    "player1": "Tommaso Compagnucci",
    "player2": "Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Bonita Springs Men +H 01",
    "surface": "clay",
    "round": "Final",
    "date": "2026-01-25T15:30:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.2857142857142856,
      "p2": 3.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.28,
      "p2": 3.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.26,
      "p2": 3.53
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7785,
    "prob_p2": 0.2215,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7785,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.75,
      "utr_ranking": 527,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 38,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 61.29032258064516,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.46,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.12,
          "opponent_name": "Lilian Marmousez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.57,
          "opponent_name": "Tiago Torres"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.44,
          "opponent_name": "Robin Catry"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.69,
          "opponent_name": "Alec Deckers"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.81,
          "opponent_name": "Georgii Kravchenko"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:52.116052+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 10,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 77.77777777777779,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 9
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.97,
      "utr_ranking": 1127,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 42,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 62.68656716417911,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 3,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.43,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.32,
          "opponent_name": "Mathis Bondaz"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.73,
          "opponent_name": "Donald Nikolas Stoot"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.83,
          "opponent_name": "Alex Martinez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.8,
          "opponent_name": "Ian Bracks"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.56,
          "opponent_name": "Krish Arora"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.122968+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.75,
      "ranking": 527,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.97,
      "ranking": 1127,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6764705882352942,
    "utr_p2": 0.5847058823529413,
    "utr_diff": 0.7799999999999994,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 4.299999999999997,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": -2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.43333333333333335,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.838323353293409,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 50.0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 39.7,
    "p1_surface_matches": 10,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 2.969999999999999,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 2.3,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3733333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -5.0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.46930747993595,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.03099528926192,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 2.8999999999999986,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 10.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -1.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 17.173333333333332,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}