Margaux Maquet vs Claudia Hoste Ferrer
UTR Carvoeiro W02 | Hard | Semifinals
25 Ene 2026, 19:00
25 Ene 2026, 19:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Margaux Maquet
Margaux …: 60,5%
Claudia …: 39,5%
¿Por qué Margaux Maquet?
UTR 10,58 vs 9,84
(+0,74)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Margaux … | Claudia … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,33 | 2,75 | 75,2% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,65 | 2,53 | 60,5% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Margaux Maquet
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
10,58 Pro
UTR Ranking
#741
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Claudia Hoste Ferrer
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
9,84 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1131
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,0000 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_p2 | 78,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -11,3333 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 16,7022 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 11,5178 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3035 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,2165 | |
| utr_advantage | 7,2478 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24171
API ID
15425562
Gamdom ID
629515
Torneo
UTR Carvoeiro W02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
postponed
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24171,
"api_id": 15425562,
"gamdom_id": 629515,
"player1": "Margaux Maquet",
"player2": "Claudia Hoste Ferrer",
"tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro W02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-25T15:00:00+00:00",
"status": "postponed"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.33,
"p2": 2.75
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.35,
"p2": 2.9
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6048,
"prob_p2": 0.3952,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6048,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 10.58,
"utr_ranking": 741,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 9.84,
"utr_ranking": 1131,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 10.58,
"ranking": 741,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 9.84,
"ranking": 1131,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.3035294117647059,
"utr_p2": 0.2164705882352941,
"utr_diff": 0.7400000000000002,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 66.66666666666667,
"momentum_p2": 77.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.06666666666666665,
"match_load_p1": 3,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": -11.333333333333314,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 7.247796278158669,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -1,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.3,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 16.702183577459756,
"serve_consistency_p2": 11.517790748046297,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}