Steffan van Weldam vs Alec Beckley
UTR PTT Krakow Men 01 | Carpet |
28 Ene 2026, 15:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alec Beckley
Steffan …: 36,1% Alec …: 63,9%
¿Por qué Alec Beckley?
UTR 12,00 vs 13,34 (-1,34) — Ligera ventaja
Steffan …
W21-L25
46% WR
vs UTR 11,5
L1
Alec …
W37-L21
64% WR
vs UTR 12,8
L1
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Steffan … Alec … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 8,00 1,01 12,5%
IA Fair Odds 2,77 1,56 36,1%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Steffan van Weldam
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1929
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (8p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Alec Beckley
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,34 Pro
UTR Ranking #825
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 83% (6p)
WR Carpet 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Steffan van Weldam
Record 2025 21W - 25L (46%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,5
Últimos 5:
L W L W W
Alec Beckley
Record 2025 37W - 21L (64%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,8
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
Análisis Momentum
Alec Beckley ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 12,8 vs 11,5).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 13,5778
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 6,6667
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,3133
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -49,6500
first_serve_won_diff -58,6000
second_serve_won_diff -54,5000
bp_saved_diff -57,1000
bp_converted_diff -46,2000
aces_per_match_diff -2,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 72,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff 12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 9,0000
current_streak_diff 3,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 44,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 2,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 5,0000
match_load_diff -5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 16,8188
serve_consistency_p2 8,7158
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,3400
utr_p1 0,4706
utr_p2 0,6282
utr_advantage -10,5762
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24186
API ID 15416691
Gamdom ID 625334
Torneo UTR PTT Krakow Men 01
Superficie Carpet
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24186,
    "api_id": 15416691,
    "gamdom_id": 625334,
    "player1": "Steffan van Weldam",
    "player2": "Alec Beckley",
    "tournament": "UTR PTT Krakow Men 01",
    "surface": "carpet",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-28T11:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.0,
      "p2": 1.01
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 11.8,
      "p2": 1.02
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3609,
    "prob_p2": 0.6391,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6391,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1929,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 21,
      "utr_v4_losses": 25,
      "utr_v4_wr": 45.65217391304348,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.52,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.14,
          "opponent_name": "Congsup Congcar"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Mao Takada"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.42,
          "opponent_name": "Fanming Meng"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Bastiaan Bauman"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Max Van Nunen"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:40.494557+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.34,
      "utr_ranking": 825,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 37,
      "utr_v4_losses": 21,
      "utr_v4_wr": 63.793103448275865,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.79,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.38,
          "opponent_name": "Matt Ponchet"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Petr Michnev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.54,
          "opponent_name": "Peter Goldsteiner"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Patrik Homola"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Vitek Horak"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:05.452427+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 83.33333333333334,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 6
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.0,
      "ranking": 1929,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.34,
      "ranking": 825,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.47058823529411764,
    "utr_p2": 0.628235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -1.3399999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 72.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -57.1,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 5,
    "momentum_diff": 12.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -10.576164167324386,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": -5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": -46.2,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": -49.65,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -2.0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.31333333333333335,
    "current_streak_diff": 3,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -58.6,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 16.818781128072146,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.715824963478118,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 6.666666666666666,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -54.5,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 9.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 44,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 2,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 13.57777777777778,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}