Sebastian Fanselow vs Brody Nejedly Krall
UTR Newport Beach M03 | Hard |
26 Ene 2026, 23:55
26 Ene 2026, 23:55
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Sebastian Fanselow
Sebastian …: 87,1%
Brody …: 12,9%
¿Por qué Sebastian Fanselow?
UTR 13,04 vs 11,00
(+2,04)
— Ventaja clara
Sebastian …
W21-L20
51% WR
vs UTR 13,1
W4
Brody …
W44-L54
45% WR
vs UTR 11,7
L6
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (32%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Sebastian … | Brody … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,06 | 8,00 | 94,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,15 | 7,76 | 87,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Sebastian …: -1,2%
Brody …: +1,2%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Sebastian Fanselow
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,04 Pro
UTR Ranking
#1058
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
2/3 = 66,7%
Brody Nejedly Krall
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#4841
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
40% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Sebastian Fanselow
Record 2025
21W - 20L (51%)
Racha
4W
UTR Oponentes
13,1
Últimos 5:
W
W
W
W
L
Brody Nejedly Krall
Record 2025
44W - 54L (45%)
Racha
6L
UTR Oponentes
11,7
Últimos 5:
L
L
L
L
L
Análisis Momentum
Sebastian Fanselow viene en racha ganadora (4W) mientras Brody Nejedly Krall perdió 6 seguidos.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,6857 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 3,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 66,6667 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 52,1429 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 3,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3333 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3400 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3200 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 43,3600 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 51,7000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 51,7000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 61,9000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 50,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 60,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 20,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 15,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 3,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 7,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -2,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,6022 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,5642 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1667 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 2,0400 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5929 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 16,9717 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24214
API ID
15422261
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
UTR Newport Beach M03
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Status
cancelled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24214,
"api_id": 15422261,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Sebastian Fanselow",
"player2": "Brody Nejedly Krall",
"tournament": "UTR Newport Beach M03",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "",
"date": "2026-01-26T19:55:00+00:00",
"status": "cancelled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0625,
"p2": 8.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.06,
"p2": 7.46
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.8712,
"prob_p2": 0.1288,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.8712,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.04,
"utr_ranking": 1058,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 21,
"utr_v4_losses": 20,
"utr_v4_wr": 51.21951219512195,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 4,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.12,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 11.9,
"opponent_name": "Goncalo Quintela"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.36,
"opponent_name": "Karol Malirz"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.66,
"opponent_name": "Jack Loge"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.25,
"opponent_name": "Joao Domingues"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 14.17,
"opponent_name": "Alastair Gray"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:31.652872+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 66.66666666666666,
"wr_surface_wins": 2,
"wr_surface_total": 3,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 4841,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 44,
"utr_v4_losses": 54,
"utr_v4_wr": 44.89795918367347,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 6,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.73,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 11.0,
"opponent_name": "Pavan Uppu"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Sean Grosman"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.0,
"opponent_name": "Evan Sharygin"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.51,
"opponent_name": "Ilias Hirani Worthington"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.19,
"opponent_name": "Derek Pham"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:55:41.617685+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 40.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.04,
"ranking": 1058,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.0,
"ranking": 4841,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5929411764705881,
"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 2.039999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 60.0,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 61.9,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
"match_load_p1": 5,
"match_load_p2": 7,
"momentum_diff": 20.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.33999999999999997,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 66.66666666666666,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 16.971713810316132,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": -2,
"surface_wr_diff": 66.66666666666666,
"bp_converted_diff": 50.0,
"p1_surface_matches": 3,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 43.36000000000001,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 0.31999999999999995,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 51.70000000000001,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.602152985642829,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.564181375707005,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 52.14285714285714,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 51.70000000000001,
"surface_matches_ratio": 3.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 15.0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 3,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.16666666666666652,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.6857142857142843,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}