Ewan Ogura vs Koki Matsuda
UTR Yokohama M03 | Hard |
28 Ene 2026, 05:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Koki Matsuda
Ewan …: 13,8% Koki …: 86,2%
¿Por qué Koki Matsuda?
UTR 11,00 vs 13,37 (-2,37) — Ventaja clara
Ewan …
Sin datos
Koki …
W66-L24
73% WR
vs UTR 12,5
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (36%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ewan … Koki … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 7,50 1,07 13,3%
Gamdom 8,80 11,4%
IA Fair Odds 7,23 1,16 13,8%
Edge vs Mercado: Ewan …: +1,3% Koki …: -1,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ewan Ogura
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #4990
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Koki Matsuda
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #795
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 75% (8p)
WR Hard 5/9 = 55,6%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ewan Ogura
Sin datos UTR v4
Koki Matsuda
Record 2025 66W - 24L (73%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,5
Últimos 5:
L W L L W
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -55,5556
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,4462
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -2,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 55,5556
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 54,0171
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 9,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,4200
combined_confidence 0,3600
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -67,8367
first_serve_won_diff -71,1222
second_serve_won_diff -55,7333
bp_saved_diff -53,1111
bp_converted_diff -36,2889
aces_per_match_diff -7,7778
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 22,0000
momentum_p2 60,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -28,5000
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 36,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,7500
serve_consistency_p1 10,0169
serve_consistency_p2 6,4486
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,0556
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -2,3700
utr_p1 0,3529
utr_p2 0,6318
utr_advantage -19,4501
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24217
API ID 15415501
Gamdom ID 624476
Torneo UTR Yokohama M03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24217,
    "api_id": 15415501,
    "gamdom_id": 624476,
    "player1": "Ewan Ogura",
    "player2": "Koki Matsuda",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-28T01:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 7.5,
      "p2": 1.0714285714285714
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 8.8,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 8.29,
      "p2": 1.06
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1383,
    "prob_p2": 0.8617,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8617,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 4990,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.37,
      "utr_ranking": 795,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 66,
      "utr_v4_losses": 24,
      "utr_v4_wr": 73.33333333333333,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.51,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.51,
          "opponent_name": "Yusuke Kusuhara"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.08,
          "opponent_name": "Ren Nakamura"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.64,
          "opponent_name": "Yusuke Takahashi"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 14.02,
          "opponent_name": "Duje AJDUKOVIC"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 14.26,
          "opponent_name": "Abdullah Shelbayh"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:12.468225+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 55.55555555555556,
      "wr_surface_wins": 5,
      "wr_surface_total": 9,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 75.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 4990,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.37,
      "ranking": 795,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_p2": 0.6317647058823529,
    "utr_diff": -2.369999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 22.0,
    "momentum_p2": 60.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -53.111111111111114,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.42,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 55.55555555555556,
    "utr_advantage": -19.450143619203935,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.75,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": -55.55555555555556,
    "bp_converted_diff": -36.28888888888889,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 9,
    "serve_quality_diff": -67.83666666666666,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -7.777777777777778,
    "combined_confidence": 0.36,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -71.12222222222222,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.016867521921165,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.448623420227,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 54.01709401709402,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -55.733333333333334,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -28.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 36,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.05555555555555558,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.4461538461538461,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -2
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}