Ryotaro Matsumura vs Noritaka Koizumi
UTR Yokohama M03 | Hard |
30 Ene 2026, 06:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ryotaro Matsumura
Ryotaro …: 65,5% Noritaka …: 34,5%
¿Por qué Ryotaro Matsumura?
UTR 13,13 vs 12,37 (+0,76) — Niveles similares
Ryotaro …
W72-L16
82% WR
vs UTR 12,0
W6
Noritaka …
Sin datos
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ryotaro … Noritaka … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,14 5,00 87,5%
Gamdom 1,07 5,60 93,5%
IA Fair Odds 1,53 2,90 65,5%
Edge vs Mercado: Ryotaro …: -15,9% Noritaka …: +15,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ryotaro Matsumura
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #986
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Noritaka Koizumi
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 12,37 Pro
UTR Ranking #1676
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ryotaro Matsumura
Record 2025 72W - 16L (82%)
Racha 6W
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Noritaka Koizumi
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,3333
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 52,0000
momentum_diff 40,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 30,0000
current_streak_diff 4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 9,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 2,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 1,0000
h2h_on_surface 2,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 1,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,4000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,1360
serve_consistency_p2 11,2272
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,7600
utr_p1 0,6035
utr_p2 0,5141
utr_advantage 5,9608
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24230
API ID 15415510
Gamdom ID 624487
Torneo UTR Yokohama M03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24230,
    "api_id": 15415510,
    "gamdom_id": 624487,
    "player1": "Ryotaro Matsumura",
    "player2": "Noritaka Koizumi",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-30T02:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.1428571428571428,
      "p2": 5.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.07,
      "p2": 5.6
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.09,
      "p2": 6.44
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6551,
    "prob_p2": 0.3449,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6551,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.13,
      "utr_ranking": 986,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 72,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 81.81818181818183,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.95,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "yuga tashiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kotaro Mochizuki"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "takashi yoshida"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jacob Kailiang Shen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tokitaka Ito"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:25.548870+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 12.37,
      "utr_ranking": 1676,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.13,
      "ranking": 986,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.37,
      "ranking": 1676,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.603529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.5141176470588235,
    "utr_diff": 0.7600000000000016,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 52.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 2,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.33333333333333337,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.20000000000000007,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 40.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 5.960784313725503,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 2,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 1.0,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.4,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 1.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.135966001475486,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.227184874314977,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 30.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 9,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 2,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}