Ryotaro Matsumura vs Natsuki Yamamoto
UTR Yokohama M03 | Hard |
27 Ene 2026, 09:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Ryotaro Matsumura
Ryotaro …: 88,0% Natsuki …: 12,0%
¿Por qué Ryotaro Matsumura?
UTR 13,13 vs 11,00 (+2,13) — Ventaja clara
Ryotaro …
W72-L16
82% WR
vs UTR 12,0
W6
Natsuki …
W22-L32
41% WR
vs UTR 11,6
L1
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Ryotaro … Natsuki … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,04 7,00 96,2%
IA Fair Odds 1,14 8,36 88,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Ryotaro Matsumura
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,13 Pro
UTR Ranking #986
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Natsuki Yamamoto
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #6169
Forma L5 0% (2p)
Forma L10 0% (2p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Ryotaro Matsumura
Record 2025 72W - 16L (82%)
Racha 6W
UTR Oponentes 12,0
Últimos 5:
W W W W W
Natsuki Yamamoto
Record 2025 22W - 32L (41%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 11,6
Últimos 5:
L W L W L
Análisis Momentum
Ryotaro Matsumura en racha: 6 victorias seguidas.
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,8000
last3_wr_diff 1,0000
momentum_p1 92,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 92,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 69,0000
current_streak_diff 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 9,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 16,0000
match_load_p1 5,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 9,1360
serve_consistency_p2 14,0805
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 2,1300
utr_p1 0,6035
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 17,6544
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24232
API ID 15415532
Gamdom ID 624494
Torneo UTR Yokohama M03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24232,
    "api_id": 15415532,
    "gamdom_id": 624494,
    "player1": "Ryotaro Matsumura",
    "player2": "Natsuki Yamamoto",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama M03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-27T05:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.04,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.07,
      "p2": 7.15
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.8804,
    "prob_p2": 0.1196,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.8804,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.13,
      "utr_ranking": 986,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 72,
      "utr_v4_losses": 16,
      "utr_v4_wr": 81.81818181818183,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 6,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.95,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "yuga tashiro"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kotaro Mochizuki"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "takashi yoshida"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Jacob Kailiang Shen"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Tokitaka Ito"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:58:25.548870+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 6169,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 22,
      "utr_v4_losses": 32,
      "utr_v4_wr": 40.74074074074074,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 11.57,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.0,
          "opponent_name": "Ilya Maltsev"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 10.0,
          "opponent_name": "Yile Li"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.66,
          "opponent_name": "Arjun Mehrotra"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 4.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kean Ng"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 11.53,
          "opponent_name": "Dean Thurner"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:57.238509+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 2,
      "form_l10_matches": 2
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.13,
      "ranking": 986,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 6169,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.603529411764706,
    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 2.130000000000001,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 92.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.8,
    "match_load_p1": 5,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 92.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 17.65437215084957,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": 5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 9.135966001475486,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 14.080459770114949,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 69.0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 9,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 16,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}