Kanna Soeda vs Natsuho Arakawa
UTR Yokohama W03 | Hard |
26 Ene 2026, 05:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Natsuho Arakawa
Kanna …: 21,1% Natsuho …: 79,0%
¿Por qué Natsuho Arakawa?
UTR 8,00 vs 9,63 (-1,63) — Ligera ventaja
Kanna …
W23-L41
36% WR
vs UTR 8,9
W1
Natsuho …
Sin datos
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (30%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Kanna … Natsuho … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 3,75 1,25 26,7%
Gamdom 3,80 1,18 26,3%
IA Fair Odds 4,75 1,27 21,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Kanna …: -4,0% Natsuho …: +3,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Kanna Soeda
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 8,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #1396
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 13% (8p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Natsuho Arakawa
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 9,63 Pro
UTR Ranking #1221
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 40% (5p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Kanna Soeda
Record 2025 23W - 41L (36%)
Racha 1W
UTR Oponentes 8,9
Últimos 5:
W L L W L
Natsuho Arakawa
Sin datos UTR v4
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,0000
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,3000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,4000
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 38,0000
momentum_diff -38,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -28,5000
current_streak_diff -4,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 10,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 17,0000
match_load_p1 3,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 3,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff -1,0000
h2h_matches 1,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,0000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,0000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,9299
serve_consistency_p2 11,2673
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -1,6300
utr_p1 0,0000
utr_p2 0,1918
utr_advantage -18,4912
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24313
API ID 15415599
Gamdom ID 624512
Torneo UTR Yokohama W03
Superficie Hard
Ronda
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24313,
    "api_id": 15415599,
    "gamdom_id": 624512,
    "player1": "Kanna Soeda",
    "player2": "Natsuho Arakawa",
    "tournament": "UTR Yokohama W03",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "",
    "date": "2026-01-26T01:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 3.75,
      "p2": 1.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 3.8,
      "p2": 1.18
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 3.94,
      "p2": 1.21
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.2105,
    "prob_p2": 0.7895,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.7895,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 8.0,
      "utr_ranking": 1396,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 23,
      "utr_v4_losses": 41,
      "utr_v4_wr": 35.9375,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 8.9,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Hanh Hong Ngo"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Xiaochuan Nie"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 8.0,
          "opponent_name": "Saily Prashantkumar Thakkar"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 7.0,
          "opponent_name": "Kokoa Nakao"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 10.06,
          "opponent_name": "Moeka Miyata"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:57:05.637480+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 12.5,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 8
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 9.63,
      "utr_ranking": 1221,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 8.0,
      "ranking": 1396,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 9.63,
      "ranking": 1221,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.0,
    "utr_p2": 0.19176470588235303,
    "utr_diff": -1.6300000000000008,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 1,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 38.0,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": -1,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
    "match_load_p1": 3,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -38.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -18.49120816789564,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.0,
    "match_load_diff": 3,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.3,
    "current_streak_diff": -4,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.0,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.929949500503677,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 11.267292443924617,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -28.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 10,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 17,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.0,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 0,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}