Camila Osorio vs Sakura Hosogi
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
26 Ene 2026, 12:40
26 Ene 2026, 12:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Camila Osorio
Camila …: 61,1%
Sakura …: 38,9%
¿Por qué Camila Osorio?
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Camila … | Sakura … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,08 | 7,00 | 92,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,08 | 9,00 | 92,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,64 | 2,57 | 61,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Camila …: -25,5%
Sakura …: +25,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camila Osorio
Ranking
#84
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
11/24 = 45,8%
Sakura Hosogi
Ranking
#298
UTR Rating
11,09 Pro
UTR Ranking
#448
Forma L5
100% (1p)
Forma L10
100% (1p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 214,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 3,5476 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,2663 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 624,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 171,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 45,8333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -1,9643 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 24,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 45,8333 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 46,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 24,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0833 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,8000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 50,8692 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 61,1083 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 55,2167 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 52,4583 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 44,0500 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 1,8750 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -1,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -100,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -68,2140 | |
| current_streak_diff | -6,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 7,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,5152 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 5,7491 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 10,0000 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 58,0377 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2557 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,2860 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 91,6667 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,3635 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3635 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 0,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24347
API ID
15427050
Gamdom ID
630167
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24347,
"api_id": 15427050,
"gamdom_id": 630167,
"player1": "Camila Osorio",
"player2": "Sakura Hosogi",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-26T08:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0833333333333333,
"p2": 7.0
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 9.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6113,
"prob_p2": 0.3887,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6113,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 84,
"utr_singles": null,
"utr_ranking": null,
"utr_division": null,
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 45.83333333333333,
"wr_surface_wins": 11,
"wr_surface_total": 24,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 298,
"utr_singles": 11.09,
"utr_ranking": 448,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 100.0,
"form_l5_matches": 1,
"form_l10_matches": 1
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": null,
"ranking": null,
"division": null,
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 11.09,
"ranking": 448,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.3635294117647059,
"utr_diff": 0.0,
"rank_ratio": 3.5476190476190474,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 0.0,
"momentum_p2": 100.0,
"points_diff": 624,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 52.458333333333336,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -1.0,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -100.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.8,
"p2_confidence": 0.3,
"surface_wr_p1": 45.83333333333333,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": 0.0,
"utr_available": 0.0,
"best_rank_diff": 171,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.2662766876620908,
"rank_advantage": 214,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": 45.83333333333333,
"bp_converted_diff": 44.050000000000004,
"p1_surface_matches": 24,
"p2_surface_matches": 0,
"serve_quality_diff": 50.86916666666667,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 1.875,
"combined_confidence": 0.55,
"current_streak_diff": -6,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 61.10833333333334,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.08333333333333333,
"serve_consistency_p1": 5.749085759246943,
"serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
"surface_rank_synergy": 58.03768151784582,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.42857142857143,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 55.21666666666667,
"surface_matches_ratio": 24.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -68.214,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 91.66666666666666,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2556666666666667,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.28600000000000003,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.9642857142857133,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}