Camila Osorio vs Sakura Hosogi
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
26 Ene 2026, 12:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Camila Osorio
Camila …: 61,1% Sakura …: 38,9%
¿Por qué Camila Osorio?
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Camila … Sakura … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,08 7,00 92,3%
Gamdom 1,08 9,00 92,6%
IA Fair Odds 1,64 2,57 61,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Camila …: -25,5% Sakura …: +25,5%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Camila Osorio
Ranking #84
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 11/24 = 45,8%
Sakura Hosogi
Ranking #298
UTR Rating 11,09 Pro
UTR Ranking #448
Forma L5 100% (1p)
Forma L10 100% (1p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 214,0000
rank_ratio 3,5476
log_rank_ratio 1,2663
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 624,0000
best_rank_diff 171,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 45,8333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -1,9643
surface_matches_ratio 24,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 45,8333
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 46,4286
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 24,0000
p2_surface_matches 0,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0833
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,8000
p2_confidence 0,3000
combined_confidence 0,5500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 50,8692
first_serve_won_diff 61,1083
second_serve_won_diff 55,2167
bp_saved_diff 52,4583
bp_converted_diff 44,0500
aces_per_match_diff 1,8750
Forma
last5_wr_diff -1,0000
last3_wr_diff -1,0000
momentum_p1 0,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff -100,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -68,2140
current_streak_diff -6,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 7,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,5152
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 5,7491
serve_consistency_p2 10,0000
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 58,0377
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2557
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,2860
elite_surface_amplifier 91,6667
UTR
utr_diff 0,0000
utr_p1 0,3635
utr_p2 0,3635
utr_advantage 0,0000
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 0,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24347
API ID 15427050
Gamdom ID 630167
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24347,
    "api_id": 15427050,
    "gamdom_id": 630167,
    "player1": "Camila Osorio",
    "player2": "Sakura Hosogi",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-26T08:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0833333333333333,
      "p2": 7.0
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 9.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6113,
    "prob_p2": 0.3887,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6113,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 84,
      "utr_singles": null,
      "utr_ranking": null,
      "utr_division": null,
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 45.83333333333333,
      "wr_surface_wins": 11,
      "wr_surface_total": 24,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 298,
      "utr_singles": 11.09,
      "utr_ranking": 448,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 1,
      "form_l10_matches": 1
    }
  },
  "utr": {
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      "score": null,
      "ranking": null,
      "division": null,
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
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      "ranking": 448,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.3635294117647059,
    "utr_diff": 0.0,
    "rank_ratio": 3.5476190476190474,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 0.0,
    "momentum_p2": 100.0,
    "points_diff": 624,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 52.458333333333336,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -1.0,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -100.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.8,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3,
    "surface_wr_p1": 45.83333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": 0.0,
    "utr_available": 0.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 171,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.2662766876620908,
    "rank_advantage": 214,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": 45.83333333333333,
    "bp_converted_diff": 44.050000000000004,
    "p1_surface_matches": 24,
    "p2_surface_matches": 0,
    "serve_quality_diff": 50.86916666666667,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.5151515151515151,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 1.875,
    "combined_confidence": 0.55,
    "current_streak_diff": -6,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 61.10833333333334,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.08333333333333333,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 5.749085759246943,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 10.0,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 58.03768151784582,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 46.42857142857143,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 55.21666666666667,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 24.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -68.214,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 91.66666666666666,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 7,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2556666666666667,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.28600000000000003,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -1.9642857142857133,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}