Aryna Sabalenka vs McCartney Kessler
Indian Wells | Hard | Round of 64
09 Mar 2025, 02:00
09 Mar 2025, 02:00
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Aryna … | McCartney … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Aryna Sabalenka
Ranking
#1
UTR Rating
12.97 Pro
UTR Ranking
#2
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
71/86 = 82.6%
McCartney Kessler
Ranking
#31
UTR Rating
12.40 Pro
UTR Ranking
#29
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
50/77 = 64.9%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 30.0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 31.0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 3.4340 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2.0000 | |
| points_diff | 9312.0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 29.0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 19.1494 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 16.9136 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1.1169 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 3.0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 83.8636 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 64.7143 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 81.1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 64.1975 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 86.0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 77.0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0.6512 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1.0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1.0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 8.1300 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 5.5288 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 3.4282 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 9.4902 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 1.4044 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 2.1686 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0.4000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0.3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 32.0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 70.0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -38.0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -27.7300 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 17.0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 2.0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0.0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 6.0000 | |
| match_load_diff | -6.0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0.0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0.5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0.0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1.1751 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0.7450 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0.7222 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0.4118 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10.7464 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 23.9236 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 65.7586 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0.3086 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0.1771 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 38.2987 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0.5700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0.5847 | |
| utr_p2 | 0.5176 | |
| utr_advantage | 4.4935 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1.0000 | |
| utr_available | 1.0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0.0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0.0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0.0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
surface_wr_diff
0.1064
utr_advantage
0.0605
surface_rank_synergy
0.0462
points_diff
0.0341
surface_wr_diff_adjusted
0.0245
utr_diff
0.0228
rank_advantage
0.0226
rank_ratio
0.0203
utr_both_pro
0.0201
utr_available
0.0180
Info del Partido
Match ID
2435
API ID
13575206
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Indian Wells
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 64
Status
finished
JSON Data
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"player2": "McCartney Kessler",
"tournament": "Indian Wells",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 64",
"date": "2025-03-09T02:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
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},
"gamdom": {
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"player_stats": {
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"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"serve_quality_diff": 8.130034632034636,
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"second_serve_won_diff": 3.4281818181818124,
"bp_saved_diff": 9.49015151515151,
"bp_converted_diff": 1.404393939393941,
"aces_per_match_diff": 2.168593073593073,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.4,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"momentum_p1": 32.0,
"momentum_p2": 70.0,
"momentum_diff": -38.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -27.730000000000004,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 17,
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"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 6,
"match_load_diff": -6,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
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"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
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"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
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"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.1751412429378532,
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"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7222222222222222,
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"serve_consistency_p1": 10.746359725218198,
"serve_consistency_p2": 23.923611357146264,
"surface_rank_synergy": 65.75862510406947,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.3086363636363636,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.17714285714285716,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 38.2987012987013,
"utr_diff": 0.5700000000000003,
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"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
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"feature_importance": {
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"rank_ratio": "0.0203",
"log_rank_ratio": "0.0168",
"rank_tier_advantage": "0.0153",
"points_diff": "0.0341",
"best_rank_diff": "0.0142",
"surface_wr_diff": "0.1064",
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": "0.0245",
"surface_matches_ratio": "0.0134",
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": "0.0122",
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"surface_wr_p2": "0.0157",
"surface_wr_p1_stable": "0.0114",
"surface_wr_p2_stable": "0.0135",
"p1_surface_matches": "0.0125",
"p2_surface_matches": "0.0132",
"p1_surface_dominance": "0.0149",
"p1_confidence": "0.0114",
"p2_confidence": "0.0127",
"combined_confidence": "0.0139",
"serve_quality_diff": "0.0129",
"first_serve_won_diff": "0.0132",
"second_serve_won_diff": "0.0122",
"bp_saved_diff": "0.0118",
"bp_converted_diff": "0.0122",
"aces_per_match_diff": "0.0119",
"last5_wr_diff": "0.0121",
"last3_wr_diff": "0.0097",
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"momentum_diff": "0.0135",
"weighted_momentum_diff": "0.0128",
"current_streak_diff": "0.0124",
"days_since_last_match_p1": "0.0132",
"days_since_last_match_p2": "0.0123",
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"match_load_p2": "0.0137",
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"h2h_wins_diff": "0.0127",
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