Polina Kudermetova vs Miho Kuramochi
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
26 Ene 2026, 13:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Polina …: 76,2% Miho …: 23,8%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,71 vs 11,00 (+0,71) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Polina … Miho … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,07 7,50 93,3%
Gamdom 1,09 8,00 91,7%
IA Fair Odds 1,31 4,21 76,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Polina …: -11,3% Miho …: +11,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking #150
UTR Rating 11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking #182
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 17/35 = 48,6%
Miho Kuramochi
Ranking #364
UTR Rating 11,00 General
UTR Ranking #500
Forma L5 67% (3p)
Forma L10 67% (3p)
WR Hard 1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 214,0000
rank_ratio 2,4267
log_rank_ratio 0,8865
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 317,0000
best_rank_diff 306,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -1,4286
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -0,8504
surface_matches_ratio 17,5000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 48,5714
surface_wr_p2 50,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 48,7179
surface_wr_p2_stable 50,0000
p1_surface_matches 35,0000
p2_surface_matches 2,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,0286
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,3267
combined_confidence 0,6633
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 13,1454
first_serve_won_diff 7,1657
second_serve_won_diff 11,2086
bp_saved_diff 30,3771
bp_converted_diff -4,6314
aces_per_match_diff 3,1000
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,0667
last3_wr_diff -0,3333
momentum_p1 40,0000
momentum_p2 66,6667
momentum_diff -26,6667
weighted_momentum_diff -15,2000
current_streak_diff -2,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 2,0000
match_load_p2 1,0000
match_load_diff 1,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,7468
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,6000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 10,3130
serve_consistency_p2 13,2915
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy -1,2665
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2283
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2140
elite_surface_amplifier -1,4286
UTR
utr_diff 0,7100
utr_p1 0,4365
utr_p2 0,3529
utr_advantage 6,2528
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24350
API ID 15427051
Gamdom ID 630168
Torneo WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie Hard
Ronda Round of 32
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24350,
    "api_id": 15427051,
    "gamdom_id": 630168,
    "player1": "Polina Kudermetova",
    "player2": "Miho Kuramochi",
    "tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Round of 32",
    "date": "2026-01-26T09:20:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.0714285714285714,
      "p2": 7.5
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.09,
      "p2": 8.0
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.08,
      "p2": 6.99
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.7624,
    "prob_p2": 0.2376,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.7624,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 150,
      "utr_singles": 11.71,
      "utr_ranking": 182,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 35,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 364,
      "utr_singles": 11.0,
      "utr_ranking": 500,
      "utr_division": "General",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 50.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 1,
      "wr_surface_total": 2,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
      "form_l5_matches": 3,
      "form_l10_matches": 3
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 11.71,
      "ranking": 182,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 11.0,
      "ranking": 500,
      "division": "General",
      "is_pro": false
    }
  },
  "features": {
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    "utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
    "utr_diff": 0.7100000000000009,
    "rank_ratio": 2.4266666666666667,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 40.0,
    "momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
    "points_diff": 317,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 30.377142857142857,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666665,
    "match_load_p1": 2,
    "match_load_p2": 1,
    "momentum_diff": -26.66666666666667,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
    "surface_wr_p1": 48.57142857142857,
    "surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
    "utr_advantage": 6.252752091589615,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 306,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.8865185735404849,
    "rank_advantage": 214,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 1,
    "surface_wr_diff": -1.4285714285714306,
    "bp_converted_diff": -4.631428571428572,
    "p1_surface_matches": 35,
    "p2_surface_matches": 2,
    "serve_quality_diff": 13.145428571428567,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7468354430379747,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.1,
    "combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
    "current_streak_diff": -2,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 7.16571428571428,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.02857142857142857,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.313018371957806,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 13.291502148712297,
    "surface_rank_synergy": -1.2664551050578374,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.717948717948715,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 11.208571428571432,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 17.5,
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    "elite_surface_amplifier": -1.4285714285714306,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22828571428571426,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21399999999999997,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.8504273504273521,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}