Polina Kudermetova vs Miho Kuramochi
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles | Hard | Round of 32
26 Ene 2026, 13:20
26 Ene 2026, 13:20
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Polina Kudermetova
Polina …: 76,2%
Miho …: 23,8%
¿Por qué Polina Kudermetova?
UTR 11,71 vs 11,00
(+0,71)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Polina … | Miho … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,07 | 7,50 | 93,3% |
| Gamdom | 1,09 | 8,00 | 91,7% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,31 | 4,21 | 76,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Polina …: -11,3%
Miho …: +11,3%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Polina Kudermetova
Ranking
#150
UTR Rating
11,71 Pro
UTR Ranking
#182
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
17/35 = 48,6%
Miho Kuramochi
Ranking
#364
UTR Rating
11,00 General
UTR Ranking
#500
Forma L5
67% (3p)
Forma L10
67% (3p)
WR Hard
1/2 = 50,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 214,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 2,4267 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,8865 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 317,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 306,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -1,4286 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -0,8504 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 17,5000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 48,5714 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 48,7179 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 35,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 2,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,0286 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3267 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6633 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 13,1454 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 7,1657 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 11,2086 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 30,3771 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -4,6314 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,1000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,0667 | |
| last3_wr_diff | -0,3333 | |
| momentum_p1 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 66,6667 | |
| momentum_diff | -26,6667 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -15,2000 | |
| current_streak_diff | -2,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 2,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 1,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,7468 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,6000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,3130 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 13,2915 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | -1,2665 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2283 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2140 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | -1,4286 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,7100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,4365 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,3529 | |
| utr_advantage | 6,2528 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24350
API ID
15427051
Gamdom ID
630168
Torneo
WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Round of 32
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24350,
"api_id": 15427051,
"gamdom_id": 630168,
"player1": "Polina Kudermetova",
"player2": "Miho Kuramochi",
"tournament": "WTA 125K Manila, Philippines Women Singles",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Round of 32",
"date": "2026-01-26T09:20:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.0714285714285714,
"p2": 7.5
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.09,
"p2": 8.0
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.08,
"p2": 6.99
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.7624,
"prob_p2": 0.2376,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.7624,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 150,
"utr_singles": 11.71,
"utr_ranking": 182,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 48.57142857142857,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 35,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 364,
"utr_singles": 11.0,
"utr_ranking": 500,
"utr_division": "General",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 50.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 1,
"wr_surface_total": 2,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l10_wr": 66.66666666666666,
"form_l5_matches": 3,
"form_l10_matches": 3
}
},
"utr": {
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"ranking": 182,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
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"ranking": 500,
"division": "General",
"is_pro": false
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.35294117647058826,
"utr_diff": 0.7100000000000009,
"rank_ratio": 2.4266666666666667,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 40.0,
"momentum_p2": 66.66666666666667,
"points_diff": 317,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 30.377142857142857,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": -0.3333333333333333,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.06666666666666665,
"match_load_p1": 2,
"match_load_p2": 1,
"momentum_diff": -26.66666666666667,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.32666666666666666,
"surface_wr_p1": 48.57142857142857,
"surface_wr_p2": 50.0,
"utr_advantage": 6.252752091589615,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 306,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.8865185735404849,
"rank_advantage": 214,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.6,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 1,
"surface_wr_diff": -1.4285714285714306,
"bp_converted_diff": -4.631428571428572,
"p1_surface_matches": 35,
"p2_surface_matches": 2,
"serve_quality_diff": 13.145428571428567,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.7468354430379747,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.1,
"combined_confidence": 0.6633333333333333,
"current_streak_diff": -2,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": 7.16571428571428,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.02857142857142857,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.313018371957806,
"serve_consistency_p2": 13.291502148712297,
"surface_rank_synergy": -1.2664551050578374,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 48.717948717948715,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 50.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 11.208571428571432,
"surface_matches_ratio": 17.5,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -15.199999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": -1.4285714285714306,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 5,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.22828571428571426,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.21399999999999997,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -0.8504273504273521,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}