Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien
Australian Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
27 Ene 2026, 06:40
27 Ene 2026, 06:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 61,6%
Learner …: 38,4%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,57
(+0,17)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Alexander … | Learner … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,47 | 2,85 | 68,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,62 | 2,61 | 61,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Alexander …: -4,0%
Learner …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking
#10
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
60% (10p)
WR Hard
32/45 = 71,1%
Learner Tien
Ranking
#29
UTR Rating
15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking
#24
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
35/50 = 70,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 26,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 9,6667 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 2,2687 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 2,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3565,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 24,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 1,1111 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 0,8692 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,9000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | -1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 71,1111 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 70,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 69,3878 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 68,5185 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 45,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 50,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,4222 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 1,0000 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 7,8541 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 2,9060 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -1,3000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 5,0707 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,4753 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 3,3956 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 2,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5380 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,2000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 1,0182 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,6667 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,4375 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,6429 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 7,3603 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,7585 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 2,5208 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1851 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,2260 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 2,2222 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1700 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,9106 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,8906 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,0859 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24351
API ID
15345265
Gamdom ID
589716
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24351,
"api_id": 15345265,
"gamdom_id": 589716,
"player1": "Alexander Zverev",
"player2": "Learner Tien",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-27T02:40:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.47,
"p2": 2.85
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.76
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6162,
"prob_p2": 0.3838,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6162,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 15.74,
"utr_ranking": 10,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
"wr_surface_wins": 32,
"wr_surface_total": 45,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 60.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 29,
"utr_singles": 15.57,
"utr_ranking": 24,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 70.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 35,
"wr_surface_total": 50,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 15.74,
"ranking": 10,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 15.57,
"ranking": 24,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.9105882352941177,
"utr_p2": 0.8905882352941177,
"utr_diff": 0.16999999999999993,
"rank_ratio": 9.666666666666666,
"h2h_matches": 2,
"momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 3565,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 5.070666666666675,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
"surface_wr_p2": 70.0,
"utr_advantage": 1.0859150431172144,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 24,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 2.268683541318364,
"rank_advantage": 26,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6428571428571429,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 1.1111111111111143,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.475333333333339,
"p1_surface_matches": 45,
"p2_surface_matches": 50,
"serve_quality_diff": 7.854111111111095,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
"aces_per_match_diff": 3.395555555555555,
"combined_confidence": 1.0,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 2,
"first_serve_won_diff": 2.9059999999999917,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5379692876806899,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
"serve_consistency_p1": 7.360301482232387,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.758486025595982,
"surface_rank_synergy": 2.520759490353745,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.51851851851852,
"second_serve_won_diff": -1.3000000000000043,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.9,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 2.2222222222222285,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18511111111111112,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22599999999999998,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.8692365835222944,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
"h2h_wins_p1": 1,
"h2h_wins_p2": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}