Alexander Zverev vs Learner Tien
Australian Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
27 Ene 2026, 06:40
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alexander Zverev
Alexander …: 61,6% Learner …: 38,4%
¿Por qué Alexander Zverev?
UTR 15,74 vs 15,57 (+0,17) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Alexander … Learner … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,47 2,85 68,0%
IA Fair Odds 1,62 2,61 61,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Alexander …: -4,0% Learner …: +4,0%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Alexander Zverev
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 15,74 Pro
UTR Ranking #10
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 60% (10p)
WR Hard 32/45 = 71,1%
Learner Tien
Ranking #29
UTR Rating 15,57 Pro
UTR Ranking #24
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 35/50 = 70,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 26,0000
rank_ratio 9,6667
log_rank_ratio 2,2687
rank_tier_advantage 2,0000
points_diff 3565,0000
best_rank_diff 24,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 1,1111
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 0,8692
surface_matches_ratio 0,9000
surface_tournaments_won_diff -1,0000
surface_wr_p1 71,1111
surface_wr_p2 70,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 69,3878
surface_wr_p2_stable 68,5185
p1_surface_matches 45,0000
p2_surface_matches 50,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,4222
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 1,0000
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 7,8541
first_serve_won_diff 2,9060
second_serve_won_diff -1,3000
bp_saved_diff 5,0707
bp_converted_diff -6,4753
aces_per_match_diff 3,3956
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 98,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 2,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5380
h2h_confidence_score 0,2000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 1,0182
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,6667
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,4375
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,6429
serve_consistency_p1 7,3603
serve_consistency_p2 5,7585
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 2,5208
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1851
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,2260
elite_surface_amplifier 2,2222
UTR
utr_diff 0,1700
utr_p1 0,9106
utr_p2 0,8906
utr_advantage 1,0859
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24351
API ID 15345265
Gamdom ID 589716
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24351,
    "api_id": 15345265,
    "gamdom_id": 589716,
    "player1": "Alexander Zverev",
    "player2": "Learner Tien",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-27T02:40:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.47,
      "p2": 2.85
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.76
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6162,
    "prob_p2": 0.3838,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6162,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 15.74,
      "utr_ranking": 10,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 71.11111111111111,
      "wr_surface_wins": 32,
      "wr_surface_total": 45,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 29,
      "utr_singles": 15.57,
      "utr_ranking": 24,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 70.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 35,
      "wr_surface_total": 50,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 15.74,
      "ranking": 10,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 15.57,
      "ranking": 24,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.9105882352941177,
    "utr_p2": 0.8905882352941177,
    "utr_diff": 0.16999999999999993,
    "rank_ratio": 9.666666666666666,
    "h2h_matches": 2,
    "momentum_p1": 97.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 3565,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 5.070666666666675,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 71.11111111111111,
    "surface_wr_p2": 70.0,
    "utr_advantage": 1.0859150431172144,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 24,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 2.268683541318364,
    "rank_advantage": 26,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.4375,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.6428571428571429,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 1.1111111111111143,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.475333333333339,
    "p1_surface_matches": 45,
    "p2_surface_matches": 50,
    "serve_quality_diff": 7.854111111111095,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 1.0182481751824817,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.6666666666666666,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 3.395555555555555,
    "combined_confidence": 1.0,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 2,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 2.9059999999999917,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.2,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5379692876806899,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.4222222222222222,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 7.360301482232387,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.758486025595982,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 2.520759490353745,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 69.38775510204081,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 68.51851851851852,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -1.3000000000000043,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.9,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 2.2222222222222285,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.18511111111111112,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.22599999999999998,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 0.8692365835222944,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": -1,
    "h2h_wins_p1": 1,
    "h2h_wins_p2": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}