Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina
Australian Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
27 Ene 2026, 12:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 65,1% Elina …: 34,9%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,66 (+0,11) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Coco … Elina … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,44 2,75 69,4%
Gamdom 1,52 2,70 65,8%
IA Fair Odds 1,54 2,86 65,1%
Edge vs Mercado: Coco …: -0,6% Elina …: +0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking #3
UTR Rating 12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking #7
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (10p)
WR Hard 25/36 = 69,4%
Elina Svitolina
Ranking #12
UTR Rating 12,66 Pro
UTR Ranking #9
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 90% (10p)
WR Hard 17/27 = 63,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 9,0000
rank_ratio 4,0000
log_rank_ratio 1,3863
rank_tier_advantage 1,0000
points_diff 3567,0000
best_rank_diff 1,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 6,4815
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 5,8992
surface_matches_ratio 1,3333
surface_tournaments_won_diff 1,0000
surface_wr_p1 69,4444
surface_wr_p2 62,9630
surface_wr_p1_stable 67,5000
surface_wr_p2_stable 61,2903
p1_surface_matches 36,0000
p2_surface_matches 27,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,3889
Confianza
p1_confidence 1,0000
p2_confidence 0,9000
combined_confidence 0,9500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 1,6047
first_serve_won_diff -1,3241
second_serve_won_diff 8,3583
bp_saved_diff -3,5861
bp_converted_diff 8,4407
aces_per_match_diff -0,1204
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,0000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 100,0000
momentum_diff 0,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 0,0000
current_streak_diff 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 1,0000
match_load_p1 4,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,6609
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,9645
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,7778
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,1667
serve_consistency_p1 6,1823
serve_consistency_p2 6,2504
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,9852
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 -0,1854
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 -0,1386
elite_surface_amplifier 6,4815
UTR
utr_diff 0,1100
utr_p1 0,5612
utr_p2 0,5482
utr_advantage 0,8651
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24353
API ID 15345425
Gamdom ID 589760
Torneo Australian Open
Superficie Hard
Ronda Quarterfinals
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24353,
    "api_id": 15345425,
    "gamdom_id": 589760,
    "player1": "Coco Gauff",
    "player2": "Elina Svitolina",
    "tournament": "Australian Open",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Quarterfinals",
    "date": "2026-01-27T08:05:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.44,
      "p2": 2.75
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.52,
      "p2": 2.7
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.5,
      "p2": 2.59
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.6505,
    "prob_p2": 0.3495,
    "winner": 1,
    "confidence": 0.6505,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 3,
      "utr_singles": 12.77,
      "utr_ranking": 7,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
      "wr_surface_wins": 25,
      "wr_surface_total": 36,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 12,
      "utr_singles": 12.66,
      "utr_ranking": 9,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 62.96296296296296,
      "wr_surface_wins": 17,
      "wr_surface_total": 27,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 90.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 12.77,
      "ranking": 7,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 12.66,
      "ranking": 9,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5611764705882353,
    "utr_p2": 0.548235294117647,
    "utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
    "rank_ratio": 4.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 3567,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -3.586111111111123,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "match_load_p1": 4,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 0.0,
    "p1_confidence": 1.0,
    "p2_confidence": 0.9,
    "surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
    "surface_wr_p2": 62.96296296296296,
    "utr_advantage": 0.8651199370821819,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 1,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 1.3862943611198906,
    "rank_advantage": 9,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": 6.481481481481481,
    "bp_converted_diff": 8.440740740740743,
    "p1_surface_matches": 36,
    "p2_surface_matches": 27,
    "serve_quality_diff": 1.6047222222222075,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9645390070921985,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -0.12037037037037024,
    "combined_confidence": 0.95,
    "current_streak_diff": 0,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 1,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -1.3240740740740904,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 6.182349929841975,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 6.2504205894859455,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.98524122948077,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.29032258064516,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 8.358333333333327,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 6.481481481481481,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1854444444444444,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13862962962962966,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.899193548387098,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}