Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina
Australian Open | Hard | Quarterfinals
27 Ene 2026, 12:05
27 Ene 2026, 12:05
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Coco Gauff
Coco …: 65,1%
Elina …: 34,9%
¿Por qué Coco Gauff?
UTR 12,77 vs 12,66
(+0,11)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Coco … | Elina … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,44 | 2,75 | 69,4% |
| Gamdom | 1,52 | 2,70 | 65,8% |
| IA Fair Odds | 1,54 | 2,86 | 65,1% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Coco …: -0,6%
Elina …: +0,6%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Coco Gauff
Ranking
#3
UTR Rating
12,77 Pro
UTR Ranking
#7
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (10p)
WR Hard
25/36 = 69,4%
Elina Svitolina
Ranking
#12
UTR Rating
12,66 Pro
UTR Ranking
#9
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
90% (10p)
WR Hard
17/27 = 63,0%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 9,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 4,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 1,3863 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 1,0000 | |
| points_diff | 3567,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 1,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 6,4815 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 5,8992 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 1,3333 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 1,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 69,4444 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 62,9630 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 67,5000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 61,2903 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 36,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 27,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,3889 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,9000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,9500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 1,6047 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -1,3241 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 8,3583 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -3,5861 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 8,4407 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -0,1204 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 0,0000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 1,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,6609 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,9645 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,7778 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,1667 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 6,1823 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 6,2504 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,9852 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | -0,1854 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | -0,1386 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 6,4815 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,1100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5612 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,5482 | |
| utr_advantage | 0,8651 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24353
API ID
15345425
Gamdom ID
589760
Torneo
Australian Open
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Quarterfinals
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24353,
"api_id": 15345425,
"gamdom_id": 589760,
"player1": "Coco Gauff",
"player2": "Elina Svitolina",
"tournament": "Australian Open",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Quarterfinals",
"date": "2026-01-27T08:05:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.44,
"p2": 2.75
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.52,
"p2": 2.7
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.5,
"p2": 2.59
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.6505,
"prob_p2": 0.3495,
"winner": 1,
"confidence": 0.6505,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 3,
"utr_singles": 12.77,
"utr_ranking": 7,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 69.44444444444444,
"wr_surface_wins": 25,
"wr_surface_total": 36,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 12,
"utr_singles": 12.66,
"utr_ranking": 9,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 62.96296296296296,
"wr_surface_wins": 17,
"wr_surface_total": 27,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 90.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
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"ranking": 7,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 12.66,
"ranking": 9,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.548235294117647,
"utr_diff": 0.10999999999999943,
"rank_ratio": 4.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 99.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 3567,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -3.586111111111123,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.0,
"match_load_p1": 4,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 0.0,
"p1_confidence": 1.0,
"p2_confidence": 0.9,
"surface_wr_p1": 69.44444444444444,
"surface_wr_p2": 62.96296296296296,
"utr_advantage": 0.8651199370821819,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 1,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 1.3862943611198906,
"rank_advantage": 9,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.7777777777777778,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.16666666666666666,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": 6.481481481481481,
"bp_converted_diff": 8.440740740740743,
"p1_surface_matches": 36,
"p2_surface_matches": 27,
"serve_quality_diff": 1.6047222222222075,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.6608996539792388,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.9645390070921985,
"aces_per_match_diff": -0.12037037037037024,
"combined_confidence": 0.95,
"current_streak_diff": 0,
"rank_tier_advantage": 1,
"first_serve_won_diff": -1.3240740740740904,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.3888888888888889,
"serve_consistency_p1": 6.182349929841975,
"serve_consistency_p2": 6.2504205894859455,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.98524122948077,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 67.5,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 61.29032258064516,
"second_serve_won_diff": 8.358333333333327,
"surface_matches_ratio": 1.3333333333333333,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 0,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 6.481481481481481,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 1,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 1,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": -0.1854444444444444,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": -0.13862962962962966,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 5.899193548387098,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 1
},
"feature_importance": {}
}