Deni Zmak vs John Echeverria
UTR Carvoeiro M02 | Hard | Semifinals
25 Ene 2026, 21:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
John Echeverria
Deni …: 41,9% John …: 58,1%
¿Por qué John Echeverria?
UTR 13,00 vs 13,43 (-0,43) — Niveles similares
Deni …
W20-L7
74% WR
vs UTR 12,6
L1
John …
W31-L23
57% WR
vs UTR 13,3
L2
Confianza baja | Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%). No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Deni … John … Prob Impl. P1
Gamdom 1,61 2,04 62,1%
IA Fair Odds 2,39 1,72 41,9%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Deni Zmak
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,00 Pro
UTR Ranking #765
Forma L5 100% (5p)
Forma L10 70% (10p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
John Echeverria
Ranking #-
UTR Rating 13,43 Pro
UTR Ranking #746
Forma L5 80% (5p)
Forma L10 80% (5p)
WR Hard 0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Deni Zmak
Record 2025 20W - 7L (74%)
Racha 1L
UTR Oponentes 12,6
Últimos 5:
L W W W W
John Echeverria
Record 2025 31W - 23L (57%)
Racha 2L
UTR Oponentes 13,3
Últimos 5:
L L W L L
Análisis Momentum
John Echeverria ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,3 vs 12,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage 0,0000
rank_ratio 1,0000
log_rank_ratio 0,0000
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff 0,0000
best_rank_diff 0,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 14,1067
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 0,0000
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 4,0000
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 1,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 0,3133
combined_confidence 0,3067
Servicio
serve_quality_diff 0,0000
first_serve_won_diff 0,0000
second_serve_won_diff 0,0000
bp_saved_diff 0,0000
bp_converted_diff 0,0000
aces_per_match_diff 0,0000
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 100,0000
momentum_p2 98,0000
momentum_diff 2,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 1,5000
current_streak_diff 1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 0,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 0,0000
match_load_p1 9,0000
match_load_p2 4,0000
match_load_diff 5,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,0000
serve_consistency_p1 3,2018
serve_consistency_p2 8,6384
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,0000
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,5000
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,5000
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,4300
utr_p1 0,5882
utr_p2 0,6388
utr_advantage -3,2539
utr_both_pro 0,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24356
API ID 15428219
Gamdom ID 631151
Torneo UTR Carvoeiro M02
Superficie Hard
Ronda Semifinals
Status scheduled
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24356,
    "api_id": 15428219,
    "gamdom_id": 631151,
    "player1": "Deni Zmak",
    "player2": "John Echeverria",
    "tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro M02",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Semifinals",
    "date": "2026-01-25T17:15:00+00:00",
    "status": "scheduled"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": 1.61,
      "p2": 2.04
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.67,
      "p2": 2.1
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.4191,
    "prob_p2": 0.5809,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.5809,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.0,
      "utr_ranking": 765,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": false,
      "utr_v4_wins": 20,
      "utr_v4_losses": 7,
      "utr_v4_wr": 74.07407407407408,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.6,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.0,
          "opponent_name": "Radu David Turcanu"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.01,
          "opponent_name": "Ali Habib"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.21,
          "opponent_name": "Mirko Martinez"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.11,
          "opponent_name": "Maximilian Homberg"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 12.84,
          "opponent_name": "Marcel Volz"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.332445+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 100.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 70.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": null,
      "utr_singles": 13.43,
      "utr_ranking": 746,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_wins": 31,
      "utr_v4_losses": 23,
      "utr_v4_wr": 57.407407407407405,
      "utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
      "utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
      "utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.26,
      "utr_v4_recent": [
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.62,
          "opponent_name": "Sergi Perez Contri"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.84,
          "opponent_name": "Lucas Poullain"
        },
        {
          "win": true,
          "opponent_utr": 13.57,
          "opponent_name": "Tiago Torres"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 13.81,
          "opponent_name": "Rudolf Molleker"
        },
        {
          "win": false,
          "opponent_utr": 12.89,
          "opponent_name": "Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka"
        }
      ],
      "utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.942070+00:00",
      "utr_v4_available": true,
      "wr_surface": 0.0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 1,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 80.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 5
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.0,
      "ranking": 765,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": false
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.43,
      "ranking": 746,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.5882352941176471,
    "utr_p2": 0.6388235294117647,
    "utr_diff": -0.4299999999999997,
    "rank_ratio": 1.0,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
    "momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
    "points_diff": 0,
    "utr_both_pro": 0.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": 0,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 9,
    "match_load_p2": 4,
    "momentum_diff": 2.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 0,
    "utr_advantage": -3.253878168747633,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 0,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
    "rank_advantage": 0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 5,
    "surface_wr_diff": 0,
    "bp_converted_diff": 0,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 1,
    "serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": 0,
    "combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
    "current_streak_diff": 1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 3.201817232805911,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 8.638399195816143,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
    "second_serve_won_diff": 0,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.106666666666666,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}