Deni Zmak vs John Echeverria
UTR Carvoeiro M02 | Hard | Semifinals
25 Ene 2026, 21:15
25 Ene 2026, 21:15
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
John Echeverria
Deni …: 41,9%
John …: 58,1%
¿Por qué John Echeverria?
UTR 13,00 vs 13,43
(-0,43)
— Niveles similares
Deni …
W20-L7
74% WR
vs UTR 12,6
L1
John …
W31-L23
57% WR
vs UTR 13,3
L2
Confianza baja
| Tier: ?
Datos limitados: Esta predicción tiene baja confianza (31%).
No recomendamos usar como value bet.
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Deni … | John … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gamdom | 1,61 | 2,04 | 62,1% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,39 | 1,72 | 41,9% |
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Deni Zmak
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,00 Pro
UTR Ranking
#765
Forma L5
100% (5p)
Forma L10
70% (10p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
John Echeverria
Ranking
#-
UTR Rating
13,43 Pro
UTR Ranking
#746
Forma L5
80% (5p)
Forma L10
80% (5p)
WR Hard
0/1 = 0,0%
Momentum & Forma UTR
Deni Zmak
Record 2025
20W - 7L (74%)
Racha
1L
UTR Oponentes
12,6
Últimos 5:
L
W
W
W
W
John Echeverria
Record 2025
31W - 23L (57%)
Racha
2L
UTR Oponentes
13,3
Últimos 5:
L
L
W
L
L
Análisis Momentum
John Echeverria ha enfrentado oponentes más fuertes (UTR 13,3 vs 12,6).
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 1,0000 | |
| log_rank_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | 0,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 0,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 14,1067 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 4,0000 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 1,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,3133 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,3067 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | 0,0000 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_saved_diff | 0,0000 | |
| bp_converted_diff | 0,0000 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | 0,0000 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 100,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 98,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 2,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 1,5000 | |
| current_streak_diff | 1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 9,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 4,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 5,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 3,2018 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 8,6384 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,0000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,4300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,5882 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6388 | |
| utr_advantage | -3,2539 | |
| utr_both_pro | 0,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24356
API ID
15428219
Gamdom ID
631151
Torneo
UTR Carvoeiro M02
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Semifinals
Status
scheduled
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24356,
"api_id": 15428219,
"gamdom_id": 631151,
"player1": "Deni Zmak",
"player2": "John Echeverria",
"tournament": "UTR Carvoeiro M02",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Semifinals",
"date": "2026-01-25T17:15:00+00:00",
"status": "scheduled"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": 1.61,
"p2": 2.04
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.67,
"p2": 2.1
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.4191,
"prob_p2": 0.5809,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.5809,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.0,
"utr_ranking": 765,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": false,
"utr_v4_wins": 20,
"utr_v4_losses": 7,
"utr_v4_wr": 74.07407407407408,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 1,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 12.6,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.0,
"opponent_name": "Radu David Turcanu"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.01,
"opponent_name": "Ali Habib"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.21,
"opponent_name": "Mirko Martinez"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.11,
"opponent_name": "Maximilian Homberg"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 12.84,
"opponent_name": "Marcel Volz"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:01.332445+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 100.0,
"form_l10_wr": 70.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": null,
"utr_singles": 13.43,
"utr_ranking": 746,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_wins": 31,
"utr_v4_losses": 23,
"utr_v4_wr": 57.407407407407405,
"utr_v4_win_streak": 0,
"utr_v4_lose_streak": 2,
"utr_v4_avg_opp_utr": 13.26,
"utr_v4_recent": [
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.62,
"opponent_name": "Sergi Perez Contri"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.84,
"opponent_name": "Lucas Poullain"
},
{
"win": true,
"opponent_utr": 13.57,
"opponent_name": "Tiago Torres"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 13.81,
"opponent_name": "Rudolf Molleker"
},
{
"win": false,
"opponent_utr": 12.89,
"opponent_name": "Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka"
}
],
"utr_v4_synced": "2025-12-07T19:56:56.942070+00:00",
"utr_v4_available": true,
"wr_surface": 0.0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 1,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 80.0,
"form_l10_wr": 80.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 5
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.0,
"ranking": 765,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": false
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.43,
"ranking": 746,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.5882352941176471,
"utr_p2": 0.6388235294117647,
"utr_diff": -0.4299999999999997,
"rank_ratio": 1.0,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 99.99999999999999,
"momentum_p2": 97.99999999999999,
"points_diff": 0,
"utr_both_pro": 0.0,
"bp_saved_diff": 0,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 9,
"match_load_p2": 4,
"momentum_diff": 2.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 0.3133333333333333,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 0,
"utr_advantage": -3.253878168747633,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 0,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": 0.0,
"rank_advantage": 0,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.0,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 5,
"surface_wr_diff": 0,
"bp_converted_diff": 0,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 1,
"serve_quality_diff": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": 0,
"combined_confidence": 0.30666666666666664,
"current_streak_diff": 1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": 0,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 3.201817232805911,
"serve_consistency_p2": 8.638399195816143,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.0,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 4.0,
"second_serve_won_diff": 0,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 1.5,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 0,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 0,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.5,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.5,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 14.106666666666666,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}