Radu Albot vs Neil Oberleitner
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Neil Oberleitner
Radu …: 39,2% Neil …: 60,8%
¿Por qué Neil Oberleitner?
UTR 13,86 vs 13,65 (+0,21) — Niveles similares
Confianza media | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Radu … Neil … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 1,57 2,25 63,6%
IA Fair Odds 2,55 1,65 39,2%
Edge vs Mercado: Radu …: -19,7% Neil …: +19,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Radu Albot
Ranking #432
UTR Rating 13,86 Pro
UTR Ranking #460
Forma L5 40% (5p)
Forma L10 30% (10p)
WR Hard 3/14 = 21,4%
Neil Oberleitner
Ranking #424
UTR Rating 13,65 Pro
UTR Ranking #580
Forma L5 60% (5p)
Forma L10 50% (10p)
WR Hard 8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -8,0000
rank_ratio 0,9815
log_rank_ratio -0,0187
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -3,0000
best_rank_diff 345,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -25,6303
surface_wr_diff_adjusted -10,4497
surface_matches_ratio 0,8235
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 21,4286
surface_wr_p2 47,0588
surface_wr_p1_stable 27,7778
surface_wr_p2_stable 47,6190
p1_surface_matches 14,0000
p2_surface_matches 17,0000
p1_surface_dominance -0,5714
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,4867
p2_confidence 0,5667
combined_confidence 0,5267
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -14,4651
first_serve_won_diff -7,2975
second_serve_won_diff -0,0042
bp_saved_diff -2,9050
bp_converted_diff -6,4429
aces_per_match_diff -5,4076
Forma
last5_wr_diff -0,2000
last3_wr_diff 0,0000
momentum_p1 28,0000
momentum_p2 40,0000
momentum_diff -12,0000
weighted_momentum_diff -8,9500
current_streak_diff -1,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 119,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 77,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,5000
serve_consistency_p1 4,6159
serve_consistency_p2 12,6829
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 0,4791
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,2777
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,0374
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff 0,2100
utr_p1 0,6894
utr_p2 0,6647
utr_advantage 1,5267
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24360
API ID 15428354
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24360,
    "api_id": 15428354,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Radu Albot",
    "player2": "Neil Oberleitner",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-26T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 1.5714285714285714,
      "p2": 2.25
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.54,
      "p2": 2.44
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.3922,
    "prob_p2": 0.6078,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.6078,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 432,
      "utr_singles": 13.86,
      "utr_ranking": 460,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 21.428571428571427,
      "wr_surface_wins": 3,
      "wr_surface_total": 14,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 40.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 30.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 424,
      "utr_singles": 13.65,
      "utr_ranking": 580,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
      "wr_surface_wins": 8,
      "wr_surface_total": 17,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 60.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 50.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 13.86,
      "ranking": 460,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 13.65,
      "ranking": 580,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.6894117647058823,
    "utr_p2": 0.6647058823529413,
    "utr_diff": 0.20999999999999908,
    "rank_ratio": 0.9814814814814815,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
    "momentum_p2": 40.0,
    "points_diff": -3,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -2.905042016806732,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
    "last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": -11.999999999999996,
    "p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
    "p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
    "surface_wr_p1": 21.428571428571427,
    "surface_wr_p2": 47.05882352941176,
    "utr_advantage": 1.5267175572519018,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": 345,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.01869213301215252,
    "rank_advantage": -8,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -25.630252100840334,
    "bp_converted_diff": -6.442857142857143,
    "p1_surface_matches": 14,
    "p2_surface_matches": 17,
    "serve_quality_diff": -14.465126050420167,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.407563025210084,
    "combined_confidence": 0.5266666666666666,
    "current_streak_diff": -1,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -7.297478991596627,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": -0.5714285714285714,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 4.615914499497004,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 12.68289664654486,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 0.4790840814039091,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 27.77777777777778,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -0.004201680672274222,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.8235294117647058,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": -8.949999999999996,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 119,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 77,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2777142857142857,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03741176470588242,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.449735449735446,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}