Radu Albot vs Neil Oberleitner
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 12:00
26 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Neil Oberleitner
Radu …: 39,2%
Neil …: 60,8%
¿Por qué Neil Oberleitner?
UTR 13,86 vs 13,65
(+0,21)
— Niveles similares
Confianza media
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Radu … | Neil … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 1,57 | 2,25 | 63,6% |
| IA Fair Odds | 2,55 | 1,65 | 39,2% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Radu …: -19,7%
Neil …: +19,7%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Radu Albot
Ranking
#432
UTR Rating
13,86 Pro
UTR Ranking
#460
Forma L5
40% (5p)
Forma L10
30% (10p)
WR Hard
3/14 = 21,4%
Neil Oberleitner
Ranking
#424
UTR Rating
13,65 Pro
UTR Ranking
#580
Forma L5
60% (5p)
Forma L10
50% (10p)
WR Hard
8/17 = 47,1%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -8,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,9815 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,0187 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -3,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | 345,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -25,6303 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | -10,4497 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,8235 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 21,4286 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 47,0588 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 27,7778 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 47,6190 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 14,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 17,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | -0,5714 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,4867 | |
| p2_confidence | 0,5667 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,5267 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -14,4651 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -7,2975 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -0,0042 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -2,9050 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -6,4429 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,4076 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | -0,2000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 28,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 40,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | -12,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | -8,9500 | |
| current_streak_diff | -1,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 119,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 77,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,5000 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 4,6159 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 12,6829 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 0,4791 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,2777 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,0374 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | 0,2100 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,6894 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,6647 | |
| utr_advantage | 1,5267 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24360
API ID
15428354
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24360,
"api_id": 15428354,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Radu Albot",
"player2": "Neil Oberleitner",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-26T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 1.5714285714285714,
"p2": 2.25
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.54,
"p2": 2.44
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.3922,
"prob_p2": 0.6078,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.6078,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 432,
"utr_singles": 13.86,
"utr_ranking": 460,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 21.428571428571427,
"wr_surface_wins": 3,
"wr_surface_total": 14,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 40.0,
"form_l10_wr": 30.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 424,
"utr_singles": 13.65,
"utr_ranking": 580,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 47.05882352941176,
"wr_surface_wins": 8,
"wr_surface_total": 17,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 60.0,
"form_l10_wr": 50.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 13.86,
"ranking": 460,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 13.65,
"ranking": 580,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
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"utr_p2": 0.6647058823529413,
"utr_diff": 0.20999999999999908,
"rank_ratio": 0.9814814814814815,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 28.000000000000004,
"momentum_p2": 40.0,
"points_diff": -3,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -2.905042016806732,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.0,
"last5_wr_diff": -0.19999999999999996,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": -11.999999999999996,
"p1_confidence": 0.4866666666666667,
"p2_confidence": 0.5666666666666667,
"surface_wr_p1": 21.428571428571427,
"surface_wr_p2": 47.05882352941176,
"utr_advantage": 1.5267175572519018,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": 345,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.01869213301215252,
"rank_advantage": -8,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.5,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -25.630252100840334,
"bp_converted_diff": -6.442857142857143,
"p1_surface_matches": 14,
"p2_surface_matches": 17,
"serve_quality_diff": -14.465126050420167,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.407563025210084,
"combined_confidence": 0.5266666666666666,
"current_streak_diff": -1,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -7.297478991596627,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": -0.5714285714285714,
"serve_consistency_p1": 4.615914499497004,
"serve_consistency_p2": 12.68289664654486,
"surface_rank_synergy": 0.4790840814039091,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 27.77777777777778,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 47.61904761904761,
"second_serve_won_diff": -0.004201680672274222,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.8235294117647058,
"weighted_momentum_diff": -8.949999999999996,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 119,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 77,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.2777142857142857,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.03741176470588242,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": -10.449735449735446,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}