Yanki Erel vs Alibek Kachmazov
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alibek Kachmazov
Yanki …: 12,6% Alibek …: 87,4%
¿Por qué Alibek Kachmazov?
UTR 14,05 vs 14,18 (-0,13) — Niveles similares
Alta confianza | Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
Fuente Yanki … Alibek … Prob Impl. P1
Sofascore 2,00 1,73 50,0%
IA Fair Odds 7,96 1,14 12,6%
Edge vs Mercado: Yanki …: -33,8% Alibek …: +33,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yanki Erel
Ranking #451
UTR Rating 14,05 Pro
UTR Ranking #361
Forma L5 50% (0p)
Forma L10 50% (0p)
WR Hard 0/0 = 0,0%
Alibek Kachmazov
Ranking #369
UTR Rating 14,18 Pro
UTR Ranking #295
Forma L5 0% (5p)
Forma L10 20% (10p)
WR Hard 13/30 = 43,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
rank_advantage -82,0000
rank_ratio 0,8182
log_rank_ratio -0,2007
rank_tier_advantage 0,0000
points_diff -29,0000
best_rank_diff -164,0000
Superficie
surface_wr_diff -43,3333
surface_wr_diff_adjusted 3,8235
surface_matches_ratio 0,0000
surface_tournaments_won_diff 0,0000
surface_wr_p1 0,0000
surface_wr_p2 43,3333
surface_wr_p1_stable 50,0000
surface_wr_p2_stable 44,1176
p1_surface_matches 0,0000
p2_surface_matches 30,0000
p1_surface_dominance 0,0000
Confianza
p1_confidence 0,3000
p2_confidence 1,0000
combined_confidence 0,6500
Servicio
serve_quality_diff -60,1953
first_serve_won_diff -66,8300
second_serve_won_diff -51,4900
bp_saved_diff -64,3600
bp_converted_diff -30,2200
aces_per_match_diff -5,6667
Forma
last5_wr_diff 0,5000
last3_wr_diff 0,5000
momentum_p1 50,0000
momentum_p2 0,0000
momentum_diff 50,0000
weighted_momentum_diff 22,4650
current_streak_diff 5,0000
days_since_last_match_p1 30,0000
days_since_last_match_p2 159,0000
match_load_p1 0,0000
match_load_p2 0,0000
match_load_diff 0,0000
H2H
h2h_wins_diff 0,0000
h2h_matches 0,0000
h2h_win_rate_p1 0,5000
h2h_on_surface 0,0000
h2h_recency_weighted 0,5000
h2h_confidence_score 0,0000
Consistencia
winner_ue_ratio_p1 0,0000
winner_ue_ratio_p2 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p1 0,0000
tiebreak_wr_p2 0,8182
serve_consistency_p1 10,0000
serve_consistency_p2 5,4429
Interacción
surface_rank_synergy 8,6957
rank_surface_mismatch_p1 0,4180
rank_surface_mismatch_p2 0,1487
elite_surface_amplifier 0,0000
UTR
utr_diff -0,1300
utr_p1 0,7118
utr_p2 0,7271
utr_advantage -0,9210
utr_both_pro 1,0000
utr_available 1,0000
utr_expected_prob 0,0000
utr_closeness 0,0000
utr_data_quality 0,0000
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID 24361
API ID 15428357
Gamdom ID -
Torneo Manama, Bahrain
Superficie Hard
Ronda Qualification Round 1
Status finished
JSON Data
{
  "match": {
    "id": 24361,
    "api_id": 15428357,
    "gamdom_id": null,
    "player1": "Yanki Erel",
    "player2": "Alibek Kachmazov",
    "tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
    "surface": "hard",
    "round": "Qualification Round 1",
    "date": "2026-01-26T08:00:00+00:00",
    "status": "finished"
  },
  "odds": {
    "sofascore": {
      "p1": 2.0,
      "p2": 1.7272727272727273
    },
    "gamdom": {
      "p1": null,
      "p2": null
    },
    "tnnslive": {
      "p1": 1.99,
      "p2": 1.75
    }
  },
  "prediction": {
    "prob_p1": 0.1256,
    "prob_p2": 0.8744,
    "winner": 2,
    "confidence": 0.8744,
    "model_version": "1.0.0"
  },
  "player_stats": {
    "p1": {
      "ranking": 451,
      "utr_singles": 14.05,
      "utr_ranking": 361,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 0,
      "wr_surface_wins": 0,
      "wr_surface_total": 0,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 50,
      "form_l10_wr": 50,
      "form_l5_matches": 0,
      "form_l10_matches": 0
    },
    "p2": {
      "ranking": 369,
      "utr_singles": 14.18,
      "utr_ranking": 295,
      "utr_division": "Pro",
      "utr_pro": true,
      "utr_v4_available": false,
      "wr_surface": 43.333333333333336,
      "wr_surface_wins": 13,
      "wr_surface_total": 30,
      "wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
      "form_l5_wr": 0.0,
      "form_l10_wr": 20.0,
      "form_l5_matches": 5,
      "form_l10_matches": 10
    }
  },
  "utr": {
    "p1": {
      "score": 14.05,
      "ranking": 361,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    },
    "p2": {
      "score": 14.18,
      "ranking": 295,
      "division": "Pro",
      "is_pro": true
    }
  },
  "features": {
    "utr_p1": 0.7117647058823531,
    "utr_p2": 0.7270588235294118,
    "utr_diff": -0.129999999999999,
    "rank_ratio": 0.8181818181818182,
    "h2h_matches": 0,
    "momentum_p1": 50.0,
    "momentum_p2": 0.0,
    "points_diff": -29,
    "utr_both_pro": 1.0,
    "bp_saved_diff": -64.36,
    "h2h_wins_diff": 0,
    "last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
    "match_load_p1": 0,
    "match_load_p2": 0,
    "momentum_diff": 50.0,
    "p1_confidence": 0.3,
    "p2_confidence": 1.0,
    "surface_wr_p1": 0,
    "surface_wr_p2": 43.333333333333336,
    "utr_advantage": -0.9210060219624443,
    "utr_available": 1.0,
    "best_rank_diff": -164,
    "h2h_on_surface": 0,
    "log_rank_ratio": -0.2006706954621511,
    "rank_advantage": -82,
    "tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
    "tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8181818181818182,
    "h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
    "match_load_diff": 0,
    "surface_wr_diff": -43.333333333333336,
    "bp_converted_diff": -30.219999999999995,
    "p1_surface_matches": 0,
    "p2_surface_matches": 30,
    "serve_quality_diff": -60.19533333333333,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
    "winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
    "aces_per_match_diff": -5.666666666666667,
    "combined_confidence": 0.65,
    "current_streak_diff": 5,
    "rank_tier_advantage": 0,
    "first_serve_won_diff": -66.83,
    "h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
    "h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
    "p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
    "serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
    "serve_consistency_p2": 5.442920132023816,
    "surface_rank_synergy": 8.695730136693214,
    "surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
    "surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.11764705882353,
    "second_serve_won_diff": -51.49,
    "surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
    "weighted_momentum_diff": 22.465000000000003,
    "elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
    "days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
    "days_since_last_match_p2": 159,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41800000000000004,
    "rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1486666666666666,
    "surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.823529411764706,
    "surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
  },
  "feature_importance": {}
}