Yanki Erel vs Alibek Kachmazov
Manama, Bahrain | Hard | Qualification Round 1
26 Ene 2026, 12:00
26 Ene 2026, 12:00
Predicción IA (XGBoost 1.0.0)
Alibek Kachmazov
Yanki …: 12,6%
Alibek …: 87,4%
¿Por qué Alibek Kachmazov?
UTR 14,05 vs 14,18
(-0,13)
— Niveles similares
Alta confianza
| Tier: ?
Comparativo de Odds
| Fuente | Yanki … | Alibek … | Prob Impl. P1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sofascore | 2,00 | 1,73 | 50,0% |
| IA Fair Odds | 7,96 | 1,14 | 12,6% |
Edge vs Mercado:
Yanki …: -33,8%
Alibek …: +33,8%
Estadísticas de Jugadores
Yanki Erel
Ranking
#451
UTR Rating
14,05 Pro
UTR Ranking
#361
Forma L5
50% (0p)
Forma L10
50% (0p)
WR Hard
0/0 = 0,0%
Alibek Kachmazov
Ranking
#369
UTR Rating
14,18 Pro
UTR Ranking
#295
Forma L5
0% (5p)
Forma L10
20% (10p)
WR Hard
13/30 = 43,3%
Features del Modelo XGBoost (60 features)
Rankings
| rank_advantage | -82,0000 | |
| rank_ratio | 0,8182 | |
| log_rank_ratio | -0,2007 | |
| rank_tier_advantage | 0,0000 | |
| points_diff | -29,0000 | |
| best_rank_diff | -164,0000 |
Superficie
| surface_wr_diff | -43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_diff_adjusted | 3,8235 | |
| surface_matches_ratio | 0,0000 | |
| surface_tournaments_won_diff | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2 | 43,3333 | |
| surface_wr_p1_stable | 50,0000 | |
| surface_wr_p2_stable | 44,1176 | |
| p1_surface_matches | 0,0000 | |
| p2_surface_matches | 30,0000 | |
| p1_surface_dominance | 0,0000 |
Confianza
| p1_confidence | 0,3000 | |
| p2_confidence | 1,0000 | |
| combined_confidence | 0,6500 |
Servicio
| serve_quality_diff | -60,1953 | |
| first_serve_won_diff | -66,8300 | |
| second_serve_won_diff | -51,4900 | |
| bp_saved_diff | -64,3600 | |
| bp_converted_diff | -30,2200 | |
| aces_per_match_diff | -5,6667 |
Forma
| last5_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| last3_wr_diff | 0,5000 | |
| momentum_p1 | 50,0000 | |
| momentum_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| momentum_diff | 50,0000 | |
| weighted_momentum_diff | 22,4650 | |
| current_streak_diff | 5,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p1 | 30,0000 | |
| days_since_last_match_p2 | 159,0000 | |
| match_load_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| match_load_diff | 0,0000 |
H2H
| h2h_wins_diff | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_matches | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_win_rate_p1 | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_on_surface | 0,0000 | |
| h2h_recency_weighted | 0,5000 | |
| h2h_confidence_score | 0,0000 |
Consistencia
| winner_ue_ratio_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| winner_ue_ratio_p2 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p1 | 0,0000 | |
| tiebreak_wr_p2 | 0,8182 | |
| serve_consistency_p1 | 10,0000 | |
| serve_consistency_p2 | 5,4429 |
Interacción
| surface_rank_synergy | 8,6957 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p1 | 0,4180 | |
| rank_surface_mismatch_p2 | 0,1487 | |
| elite_surface_amplifier | 0,0000 |
UTR
| utr_diff | -0,1300 | |
| utr_p1 | 0,7118 | |
| utr_p2 | 0,7271 | |
| utr_advantage | -0,9210 | |
| utr_both_pro | 1,0000 | |
| utr_available | 1,0000 | |
| utr_expected_prob | 0,0000 | |
| utr_closeness | 0,0000 | |
| utr_data_quality | 0,0000 |
Top 10 Features (Modelo)
Info del Partido
Match ID
24361
API ID
15428357
Gamdom ID
-
Torneo
Manama, Bahrain
Superficie
Hard
Ronda
Qualification Round 1
Status
finished
JSON Data
{
"match": {
"id": 24361,
"api_id": 15428357,
"gamdom_id": null,
"player1": "Yanki Erel",
"player2": "Alibek Kachmazov",
"tournament": "Manama, Bahrain",
"surface": "hard",
"round": "Qualification Round 1",
"date": "2026-01-26T08:00:00+00:00",
"status": "finished"
},
"odds": {
"sofascore": {
"p1": 2.0,
"p2": 1.7272727272727273
},
"gamdom": {
"p1": null,
"p2": null
},
"tnnslive": {
"p1": 1.99,
"p2": 1.75
}
},
"prediction": {
"prob_p1": 0.1256,
"prob_p2": 0.8744,
"winner": 2,
"confidence": 0.8744,
"model_version": "1.0.0"
},
"player_stats": {
"p1": {
"ranking": 451,
"utr_singles": 14.05,
"utr_ranking": 361,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 0,
"wr_surface_wins": 0,
"wr_surface_total": 0,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 50,
"form_l10_wr": 50,
"form_l5_matches": 0,
"form_l10_matches": 0
},
"p2": {
"ranking": 369,
"utr_singles": 14.18,
"utr_ranking": 295,
"utr_division": "Pro",
"utr_pro": true,
"utr_v4_available": false,
"wr_surface": 43.333333333333336,
"wr_surface_wins": 13,
"wr_surface_total": 30,
"wr_surface_source": "TennisPlayerYearStats",
"form_l5_wr": 0.0,
"form_l10_wr": 20.0,
"form_l5_matches": 5,
"form_l10_matches": 10
}
},
"utr": {
"p1": {
"score": 14.05,
"ranking": 361,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
},
"p2": {
"score": 14.18,
"ranking": 295,
"division": "Pro",
"is_pro": true
}
},
"features": {
"utr_p1": 0.7117647058823531,
"utr_p2": 0.7270588235294118,
"utr_diff": -0.129999999999999,
"rank_ratio": 0.8181818181818182,
"h2h_matches": 0,
"momentum_p1": 50.0,
"momentum_p2": 0.0,
"points_diff": -29,
"utr_both_pro": 1.0,
"bp_saved_diff": -64.36,
"h2h_wins_diff": 0,
"last3_wr_diff": 0.5,
"last5_wr_diff": 0.5,
"match_load_p1": 0,
"match_load_p2": 0,
"momentum_diff": 50.0,
"p1_confidence": 0.3,
"p2_confidence": 1.0,
"surface_wr_p1": 0,
"surface_wr_p2": 43.333333333333336,
"utr_advantage": -0.9210060219624443,
"utr_available": 1.0,
"best_rank_diff": -164,
"h2h_on_surface": 0,
"log_rank_ratio": -0.2006706954621511,
"rank_advantage": -82,
"tiebreak_wr_p1": 0.0,
"tiebreak_wr_p2": 0.8181818181818182,
"h2h_win_rate_p1": 0.5,
"match_load_diff": 0,
"surface_wr_diff": -43.333333333333336,
"bp_converted_diff": -30.219999999999995,
"p1_surface_matches": 0,
"p2_surface_matches": 30,
"serve_quality_diff": -60.19533333333333,
"winner_ue_ratio_p1": 0.0,
"winner_ue_ratio_p2": 0.0,
"aces_per_match_diff": -5.666666666666667,
"combined_confidence": 0.65,
"current_streak_diff": 5,
"rank_tier_advantage": 0,
"first_serve_won_diff": -66.83,
"h2h_confidence_score": 0.0,
"h2h_recency_weighted": 0.5,
"p1_surface_dominance": 0.0,
"serve_consistency_p1": 10.0,
"serve_consistency_p2": 5.442920132023816,
"surface_rank_synergy": 8.695730136693214,
"surface_wr_p1_stable": 50.0,
"surface_wr_p2_stable": 44.11764705882353,
"second_serve_won_diff": -51.49,
"surface_matches_ratio": 0.0,
"weighted_momentum_diff": 22.465000000000003,
"elite_surface_amplifier": 0.0,
"days_since_last_match_p1": 30,
"days_since_last_match_p2": 159,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p1": 0.41800000000000004,
"rank_surface_mismatch_p2": 0.1486666666666666,
"surface_wr_diff_adjusted": 3.823529411764706,
"surface_tournaments_won_diff": 0
},
"feature_importance": {}
}